Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $25.9341 (18.59%) ($24.5055 - $27.3407) on Tue. Dec. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.18% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $25.9341(18.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC declines -8.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC advances 13.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(11%)    BOTZ(9%)    EWJ(9%)    EWG(8%)    EWI(8%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -4.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-8%)    BNDX(-8%)    BWX(-4%)    VIXM(-2%)    TLT(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.59% (StdDev 9.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.33(2.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.93(-3.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.43(15.62%)
To recent high   -31.9%
To recent low   297.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 27.28% (three month std-dev: 9.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2017	10.83	22.43	26.93	25.33	23.55	21.78	25.93(18.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-740	-16	84	16.71	73%	1.98	65.8	9.18%	0	0.6	67	0
2	Dec_22_2017	10.62	21.85	26.35	27.76	25.66	19.91	21.87(12.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-1800	-57	125	30.29	72%	1.14	82.6	8.89%	0	0	59	0
3	Dec_21_2017	10.5	21.37	26.03	29.31	29.92	25.32	19.47(-25.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-1010	-50	172	25.72	68%	0.86	94.7	8.8%	0	-0.3	59	0
4	Dec_20_2017	10.41	20.98	26.13	30.64	31.62	31.41	26.19(-21.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	52	50	-16	255	24.26	75%	1.66	102	8.17%	0	0.7	69	0
5	Dec_19_2017	10.24	20.2	25.34	30.53	30.93	34.51	33.2(-12.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	113	850	43	321	23.31	82%	2.4	102.9	7.63%	0	1.8	75	0

6	Dec_18_2017	10	19.02	23.64	28.64	28.82	31.84	38.05(28.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	144	750	84	322	20.85	87%	3.09	99.9	7.45%	0	2.8	82	0
7	Dec_15_2017	9.7	17.52	21.61	24.89	25.55	27.35	29.66(13.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	105	570	53	262	13.4	87%	2.32	95.6	7%	0	2.2	80	0
8	Dec_14_2017	9.48	16.48	20.32	22.41	23.06	25.79	26.1(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	920	41	219	9.78	83%	1.94	85.9	7.26%	0	1.9	83	0
9	Dec_13_2017	9.3	15.61	19.27	20.99	21.01	23.75	25.66(8.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	95	920	53	220	24	77%	1.97	80.3	7.39%	0	2.1	83	0
10	Dec_12_2017	9.12	14.72	18.28	19.35	19.36	20.33	23.73(22.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	78	350	38	198	22.6	76%	1.9	72.3	7.8%	0	2.1	83	0

11	Dec_11_2017	8.95	13.95	17.4	17.89	18.28	18.27	19.32(12.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	60	1	187	15.44	74%	1.36	65.5	7.36%	0	1.4	81	0
12	Dec_8_2017	8.83	13.44	16.87	17.84	17.96	18.39	17.23(-9.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	57	190	-1	231	15.76	69%	1.03	67	7.27%	0	1	80	0
13	Dec_7_2017	8.74	13.06	16.32	17.87	18.19	18.29	19(8.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	81	90	17	271	23.38	72%	1.39	69.3	7.27%	0	1.6	86	0
14	Dec_6_2017	8.62	12.57	15.48	17.24	17.78	17.54	17.46(6.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	69	-0	2	271	18.24	72%	1.29	69.5	7.25%	0	1.4	86	0
15	Dec_5_2017	8.51	12.15	14.78	17.02	17.26	18.08	16.43(-13.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	79	370	5	301	28.45	72%	1.07	72.6	7.26%	0	1.3	86	0

16	Dec_4_2017	8.42	11.8	14.16	16.8	17.11	18.03	19.06(9.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	112	430	33	348	11.97	77%	1.57	78.4	7.03%	0	2.2	90	0
17	Dec_1_2017	8.29	11.31	13.18	15.76	16.33	16.45	17.39(9.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	103	160	30	323	11.8	69%	1.34	85	7.01%	0	2.2	86	0
18	Nov_30_2017	8.18	10.89	12.37	14.53	15.33	16.19	15.88(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	84	560	27	255	16.65	70%	1.11	86.1	7.45%	0	2.1	79	0
19	Nov_29_2017	8.09	10.52	11.67	13.43	14.17	16.21	16.32(6.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	86	1170	45	210	32.45	71%	1.38	84	7.54%	0	2.7	81	0
20	Nov_28_2017	7.98	10.11	10.85	12.19	12.49	14.48	15.35(10.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	72	1190	46	149	22.19	71%	1.14	86.9	7.57%	0	3.2	80	0

21	Nov_27_2017	7.89	9.71	10.17	11.13	11.14	12.14	13.88(23.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	52	630	38	93	17.39	70%	1.02	90.4	7.48%	0	3.4	74	0
22	Nov_24_2017	7.81	9.36	9.67	10.24	10.27	10.49	11.21(7.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	160	14	39	4.67	66%	0.51	89.9	6.91%	0	2	60	0
23	Nov_22_2017	7.77	9.16	9.49	9.89	9.96	10.14	10.39(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	150	9	19	4.77	64%	0.52	73.9	6.81%	0	1.3	57	0
24	Nov_21_2017	7.73	9	9.4	9.63	9.77	10.06	10.14(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	250	15	15	5.1	64%	0.39	65	6.81%	0	1.1	64	0
25	Nov_20_2017	7.7	8.85	9.32	9.27	9.5	9.79	10.02(6.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	290	11	0	5.73	64%		53.9	6.81%	0	1.1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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