Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Aug. 12, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 4, 2022)

(Global Blood Therapeutics Inc)
GBT latest price $40.0500 (-1.72%) ($39.7000 - $41.5500) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.54% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $40.0500(-1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GBT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBT advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(57%)    IBB(52%)    ARKG(45%)    IWO(44%)    ARKK(41%)
Factors Impacting GBT price   GBT will decline at least -1.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.77% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.13(2.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.56(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.8(5.95%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   52.6%
Market Cap   $2.456b

Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovering, developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to treat grievous blood-based disorders. It also provides oral medicines for sickle cell diseases. The company was founded by Matthew P. Jacobson, Andrej Sali, Jack Taunton, Charles J. Homcy, Craig D. Muir and David R. Phillips in February 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

$. GBT price fluctuates within 8.28% (three month std-dev: 3.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 4.67%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2.61%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 14.12%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -5.84%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 21.84%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.01%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2017	30.63	37.8	39.56	39.13	39.07	39.73	40.05(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	110	25	27	0.65	71%	0.33	53	3.54%	0	0.7	69	INF
2	Nov_15_2017	30.53	37.41	39.47	38.95	38.61	38.44	40.75(8.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-60	6	36	1.26	71%	0.46	48.8	3.53%	0	1	72	INF
3	Nov_14_2017	30.39	37	39.29	38.57	38.58	38.42	37.45(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-30	-12	40	1.03	69%	0.33	44.6	3.4%	0	0.1	64	INF
4	Nov_13_2017	30.29	36.79	39.54	38.89	38.81	38.78	38.95(1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10	-11	79	0.82	72%	0.3	46.9	3.37%	0	0.6	72	INF
5	Nov_10_2017	30.2	36.5	39.53	39.44	39.2	38.74	38.45(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-100	-17	122	0.47	73%	0.3	53.3	3.43%	0	0.6	74	INF

6	Nov_9_2017	30.11	36.21	39.18	40.06	39.98	38.84	39.15(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-210	-15	155	0.61	73%	0.27	59.4	3.41%	0	0.9	74	INF
7	Nov_8_2017	30.03	35.9	38.71	40.05	40.38	39.66	38.85(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-100	-23	167	0.42	69%	0.37	61.7	3.41%	0	0.9	75	INF
8	Nov_7_2017	29.92	35.61	38.31	40.09	40.45	41.13	39.05(-6.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	48	140	1	189	0.85	69%	0.4	64.8	3.52%	0	1	73	INF
9	Nov_6_2017	29.8	35.3	37.76	40.24	40.13	41.1	41.7(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	81	160	34	221	0.55	73%	0.51	72.6	3.43%	0	1.9	80	INF
10	Nov_3_2017	29.65	34.78	36.81	39.63	39.45	39.77	41.55(6.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	40	37	202	2.45	75%	0.51	76.2	3.56%	0	2.3	80	INF

11	Nov_2_2017	29.5	34.29	35.89	38.19	38.54	39.16	39.1(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	140	27	165	0.81	76%	0.37	74.6	3.49%	0	1.9	77	INF
12	Nov_1_2017	29.39	33.93	35.18	37.15	37.29	39.13	39.05(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	65	360	41	135	1.82	73%	0.34	75.4	3.62%	0	2.2	74	INF
13	Oct_31_2017	29.29	33.57	34.5	36.24	36.01	37.93	39.8(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	79	350	66	118	1.65	73%	0.38	78.3	3.65%	0	2.9	75	INF
14	Oct_30_2017	29.18	33.05	33.75	34.92	34.7	35.44	38.65(12.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	55	130	48	75	3.09	73%	0.31	83.4	3.65%	0	3.4	74	INF
15	Oct_27_2017	29.09	32.65	33.13	33.62	33.7	34.1	34.35(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	90	14	34	0.94	70%	0.21	104.8	3.35%	0	1.6	67	INF

16	Oct_26_2017	29.03	32.48	32.94	33.26	33.04	33.96	33.9(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	180	21	27	1.09	70%	0.14	98.3	3.38%	0	1.2	60	INF
17	Oct_25_2017	28.99	32.27	32.83	32.88	32.59	33.29	34.5(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	120	29	22	1.07	66%	0.21	85.6	3.39%	0	1.6	64	INF
18	Oct_24_2017	28.93	31.97	32.68	32.47	32.13	32.13	33.2(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-30	5	4	1.28	65%	0.17	71.2	3.42%	0	0.8	57	INF
19	Oct_23_2017	28.88	31.73	32.64	32.41	32.14	31.88	32.15(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-80	-9	13	1.82	65%	0.14	64	3.4%	0	0.3	70	INF
20	Oct_20_2017	28.84	31.55	32.62	32.41	32.49	32.13	32.55(1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-80	-5	23	0.67	67%	0.21	64.1	3.44%	0	0.6	61	INF

21	Oct_19_2017	28.78	31.36	32.6	32.56	32.58	32.41	32(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-30	-11	28	0.93	67%	0.17	59.8	3.44%	0	0.3	58	INF
22	Oct_18_2017	28.73	31.14	32.6	32.75	32.77	32.84	32.45(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	20	-2	52	0.77	67%	0.17	63.8	3.44%	0	0.7	68	INF
23	Oct_17_2017	28.68	30.95	32.64	32.9	32.78	32.76	32.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-20	0	79	0.37	67%	0.17	70.6	3.43%	0	1	75	INF
24	Oct_16_2017	28.63	30.73	32.34	32.91	32.86	32.7	32.9(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	25	-40	3	92	0.57	67%	0.17	76.4	3.44%	0	1.1	76	INF
25	Oct_13_2017	28.58	30.47	32.16	32.68	32.79	32.79	32.55(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	10	-1	100	0.67	67%		74.8	3.44%	0	1	74	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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