Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Aug. 12, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 4, 2022)

(Global Blood Therapeutics Inc)
GBT latest price $21.3900 (-2.77%) ($21.1200 - $22.2800) on Tue. Aug. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.91% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $21.3900(-2.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GBT advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBT advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(55%)    IBB(50%)    ARKG(44%)    IWO(41%)    ARKK(39%)
Factors Impacting GBT price   GBT will decline at least -2.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.455% (StdDev 4.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.3(5.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.29(10.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.57(15.19%)
To recent high   -19.3%
To recent low   45.5%
Market Cap   $1.312b

Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovering, developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to treat grievous blood-based disorders. It also provides oral medicines for sickle cell diseases. The company was founded by Matthew P. Jacobson, Andrej Sali, Jack Taunton, Charles J. Homcy, Craig D. Muir and David R. Phillips in February 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

$. GBT price fluctuates within 7.54% (three month std-dev: 4.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 3.82%(71%) Average negative next day return: -2.79%(29%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 7.75%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.38%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 8.41%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.84%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2016	19.34	18.57	19.29	20.3	20.48	21.71	21.39(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	450	26	101	0.45	58%	0.47	58.1	4.91%	0	2	73	INF
2	Aug_15_2016	19.25	18.41	18.93	19.62	19.54	21.08	22(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	55	540	43	89	0.37	58%	0.16	51.8	4.9%	0	2.9	80	INF
3	Aug_12_2016	19.22	18.19	18.47	18.79	18.56	19.25	21.95(17.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.2	39	220	33	57	1.14	60%	0.42	42.5	4.98%	0	3.8	78	INF
4	Aug_11_2016	19.14	17.9	18.03	18.04	18	18	18.64(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10	2	19	0.34	55%	0.16	27.6	4.49%	0	1.3	56	INF
5	Aug_10_2016	19.11	17.8	17.92	18	18.04	17.88	17.53(-2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-60	-5	10	0.18	53%	0.1	22.5	4.44%	0	-0.5	42	INF

6	Aug_9_2016	19.09	17.8	17.96	18.12	18.15	17.99	17.98(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-60	-2	11	0.15	55%	0.1	33.8	4.44%	0	0.3	43	INF
7	Aug_8_2016	19.07	17.79	17.88	18.1	18.14	18.21	17.85(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	0	30	0	1	0.11	55%	0.1	44.1	4.49%	0	0.1	42	INF
8	Aug_5_2016	19.05	17.77	17.82	18.07	18.05	18.32	18.18(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	100	5	-3	0.26	52%	0.16	43.9	4.5%	0	0.7	52	INF
9	Aug_4_2016	19.02	17.74	17.79	18.01	17.91	18.06	18.45(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	40	8	5	0.28	52%	0.16	48.9	4.56%	0	1.2	68	INF
10	Aug_3_2016	18.99	17.67	17.77	17.84	17.78	17.78	18.13(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10	2	8	0.25	52%	0.11	47.1	4.6%	0	0.8	67	INF

11	Aug_2_2016	18.97	17.6	17.8	17.79	17.74	17.76	17.89(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-0	4	16	0.2	52%	0.05	50.9	4.59%	0	0.5	57	INF
12	Aug_1_2016	18.96	17.54	17.86	17.62	17.69	17.77	17.7(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	40	4	13	0.21	52%	0.11	57.4	4.61%	0	0.3	48	INF
13	Jul_29_2016	18.94	17.52	17.89	17.52	17.52	17.73	17.88(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	80	1	11	0.45	52%	0.16	65.8	4.64%	0	0.6	54	INF
14	Jul_28_2016	18.91	17.46	17.76	17.54	17.47	17.62	17.61(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	50	-1	4	0.17	52%	0.11	63.5	4.66%	0	0.2	51	INF
15	Jul_27_2016	18.89	17.39	17.67	17.69	17.56	17.32	17.86(4.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-120	-5	5	0.28	52%	0.11	55.3	4.66%	0	0.7	57	INF

16	Jul_26_2016	18.87	17.29	17.61	17.84	17.81	17.33	17.05(-0.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-8	-190	-14	12	0.23	51%	-0.05	44	4.65%	0	-0.3	56	INF
17	Jul_25_2016	18.88	17.19	17.71	18.14	18.17	17.8	17.22(-4.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-140	-10	35	0.3	51%	0.05	25	4.68%	0	0	57	INF
18	Jul_22_2016	18.87	17.12	17.74	18.28	18.36	18.29	17.95(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10	5	50	0.15	51%	0.11	18.5	4.65%	0	0.8	55	INF
19	Jul_21_2016	18.85	17.05	17.71	18	18.16	18.54	18.35(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	170	13	49	0.36	51%	0.16	1.4	4.65%	0	1.3	63	INF
20	Jul_20_2016	18.82	17	17.58	17.63	17.66	18.43	18.61(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	310	17	42	0.43	51%	0.16	-18.2	4.65%	0	1.7	68	INF

21	Jul_19_2016	18.79	17	17.37	17.35	17.24	17.79	18.55(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	200	13	36	1	51%	0.21	-43.4	4.68%	0	1.8	70	INF
22	Jul_18_2016	18.75	16.95	17.18	17.24	17.09	16.89	17.96(8.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-110	3	42	0.75	51%	0.16	-58.9	4.71%	0	1.1	73	INF
23	Jul_15_2016	18.72	16.93	17.11	17.15	17.23	16.7	16.52(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-200	-14	47	0.29	47%	0.11	-90.3	4.57%	0	-0.4	58	INF
24	Jul_14_2016	18.7	17.04	17.13	17.37	17.51	17.3	16.51(-4.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-60	-9	58	0.27	47%	0.11	-91.7	4.61%	0	-0.5	50	INF
25	Jul_13_2016	18.68	17.18	17.1	17.48	17.64	17.77	17.23(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	80	5	60	0.51	47%		-96.7	4.58%	0	0	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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