Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Aug. 12, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 4, 2022)

(Global Blood Therapeutics Inc)
GBT latest price $23.9200 (3.28%) ($23.1700 - $23.9600) on Tue. May. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.84% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $23.9200(3.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GBT advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBT advances 10.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(55%)    IBB(51%)    ARKG(44%)    IWO(41%)    ARKK(39%)
Factors Impacting GBT price   GBT will decline at least -2.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.42% (StdDev 4.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.58(5.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.34(12.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.25(18.12%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   84.1%
Market Cap   $1.467b

Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovering, developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to treat grievous blood-based disorders. It also provides oral medicines for sickle cell diseases. The company was founded by Matthew P. Jacobson, Andrej Sali, Jack Taunton, Charles J. Homcy, Craig D. Muir and David R. Phillips in February 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

$. GBT price fluctuates within 8.35% (three month std-dev: 4.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.16%(55%) Average negative next day return: -3.9%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 6.51%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -5.9%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 6.4%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.18%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2016	18.35	20.25	21.34	22.58	22.57	23.16	23.92(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	180	25	136	0.28	62%	-0.22	35.2	4.84%	0	2.2	73	0
2	May_27_2016	18.39	20.07	20.87	21.9	21.89	22.38	23.16(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	160	17	114	0.16	62%	0.05	26.6	4.77%	0	2.2	68	0
3	May_26_2016	18.38	19.9	20.47	21.4	21.35	21.98	22.34(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	200	15	104	0.11	62%	-0.11	14.7	4.79%	0	1.9	70	0
4	May_25_2016	18.4	19.81	20.02	21.08	20.98	21.39	22.18(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	120	22	93	0.26	62%	-0.27	7.2	4.79%	0	2	66	0
5	May_24_2016	18.45	19.73	19.63	20.49	20.49	20.73	21.31(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	80	17	61	0.29	62%	-0.43	-6.1	4.78%	0	1.5	55	0

6	May_23_2016	18.53	19.67	19.37	19.9	19.96	20.57	20.52(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	220	11	24	0.1	62%	0.11	-20.4	4.79%	0	0.8	47	0
7	May_20_2016	18.51	19.69	19.24	19.68	19.53	20.25	20.64(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	240	17	10	0.2	62%	-0.64	-25.1	4.81%	0	0.9	48	0
8	May_19_2016	18.63	19.71	18.99	19.4	19.24	19.35	20.73(7.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	13	20	21	-10	0.61	62%	-0.59	-31.7	4.84%	0	0.9	52	0
9	May_18_2016	18.74	19.72	18.77	18.82	18.87	18.81	19.26(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10	2	-52	0.33	60%	-0.74	-42.6	4.77%	0	-0.4	42	0
10	May_17_2016	18.88	19.8	18.82	18.64	18.69	19.12	18.34(-5.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	170	-0	-66	0.58	61%	-0.79	-46.8	4.74%	0	-1.3	37	0

11	May_16_2016	19.03	19.89	19.07	18.75	18.64	18.93	19.41(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	90	8	-55	0.29	66%	0	-43.2	4.79%	0	-0.4	46	0
12	May_13_2016	19.03	19.97	19.19	18.73	18.54	18.26	19.26(7.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-140	3	-60	0.46	66%	-0.78	-35.7	4.88%	0	-0.6	41	0
13	May_12_2016	19.18	20.07	19.27	18.53	18.62	18.35	17.85(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-90	-9	-79	0.22	64%	-0.78	-32	4.83%	0	-2	31	0
14	May_11_2016	19.33	20.22	19.59	18.7	18.72	18.82	18.33(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	40	-9	-75	0.21	64%	-0.67	-26.1	4.84%	0	-1.9	33	0
15	May_10_2016	19.46	20.34	19.86	19.03	18.84	18.89	18.92(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10	-8	-64	0.28	64%	-0.61	-19.9	4.84%	0	-1.6	40	0

16	May_9_2016	19.58	20.34	20.01	19.45	19.15	18.62	19.27(5.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-240	-11	-50	0.41	57%	-0.61	-3.6	4.88%	0	-1.2	48	0
17	May_6_2016	19.7	20.38	20.2	19.75	19.62	18.8	18.26(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-310	-17	-38	0.32	48%	-0.81	10.3	5.69%	0	-2.3	36	0
18	May_5_2016	19.86	20.44	20.52	20.13	20.12	19.68	18.71(-6.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-19	-150	-16	-27	0.56	48%	-0.8	40.4	5.72%	0	-2.1	36	0
19	May_4_2016	20.02	20.48	20.79	20.59	20.45	20.45	19.98(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-20	-6	-7	0.24	51%	-0.69	85.6	5.7%	0	-0.7	49	0
20	May_3_2016	20.16	20.52	20.88	20.8	20.66	20.55	21.01(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-60	3	3	0.16	51%	-0.54	118.8	5.66%	0	0.6	55	0

21	May_2_2016	20.27	20.41	20.79	20.66	20.67	20.45	20.8(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-70	-5	-1	0.12	51%	-0.64	121.9	5.68%	0	0.4	61	0
22	Apr_29_2016	20.4	20.29	20.81	20.75	20.75	20.77	20.17(-3.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	10	-6	10	0.3	51%	-0.68	113.4	5.64%	0	-0.1	61	0
23	Apr_28_2016	20.54	20.11	20.93	20.97	20.97	20.89	21(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-30	0	31	0.29	51%	-0.68	106.6	5.62%	0	0.6	67	0
24	Apr_27_2016	20.68	19.87	20.89	21.02	21.01	20.73	21.04(3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-90	-2	39	0.19	48%	-0.62	94.5	5.62%	0	0.6	65	0
25	Apr_26_2016	20.81	19.58	20.84	20.97	21.06	21.05	20.28(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	10	-1	37	0.15	51%		80.6	5.67%	0	0.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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