Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: GBT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Aug. 12, 2015 - Tue. Oct. 4, 2022)

(Global Blood Therapeutics Inc)
GBT latest price $48.7000 (-1.81%) ($48.0200 - $50.5800) on Tue. Nov. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.93% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $48.7000(-1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GBT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBT advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(55%)    IBB(51%)    ARKG(44%)    IWO(42%)    IWM(37%)
Factors Impacting GBT price   GBT will decline at least -2.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.465% (StdDev 4.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.98(-4.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.78(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.35(2.85%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   29%
Market Cap   $2.987b

Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovering, developing and commercializing novel therapeutics to treat grievous blood-based disorders. It also provides oral medicines for sickle cell diseases. The company was founded by Matthew P. Jacobson, Andrej Sali, Jack Taunton, Charles J. Homcy, Craig D. Muir and David R. Phillips in February 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

$. GBT price fluctuates within 6.55% (three month std-dev: 4.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.75%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.46%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.13%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2015	47.2	47.35	47.78	50.98	50.84	49.83	48.7(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-150	-11	67	0.52	40%	0.04	46.7	4.93%	0	0.4	49	0
2	Nov_23_2015	47.18	47.22	47.33	50.61	51.32	50.94	49.6(-4.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10	8	50	0.24	40%	0.08	40.2	5.2%	0	0.8	48	0
3	Nov_20_2015	47.14	47.07	46.82	49.4	50.04	51.85	51.85(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	290	22	31	0.36	40%	0.13	25.9	5.17%	0	1.6	55	0
4	Nov_19_2015	47.08	46.75	46.07	48.1	48.3	51.7	50.09(-8.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	510	60	24	0.36	40%	0.09	13.2	5.16%	0	1.2	56	0
5	Nov_18_2015	47.04	46.49	45.78	46.44	46.1	48.23	54.66(16.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	51	300	66	6	0.43	37%	0.26	-6.2	5.06%	0	2.9	63	0

6	Nov_17_2015	46.92	45.95	45.15	44.24	43.91	44.9	46.86(7.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	140	17	-39	0.19	37%	-0.02	-41.2	5.03%	0	0.4	50	0
7	Nov_16_2015	46.93	46.01	45.49	43.65	43.55	43.97	43.55(-3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	60	9	-37	0.19	33%	-0.11	-44	5.38%	0	-1.1	46	0
8	Nov_13_2015	46.98	46.29	45.96	43.85	43.39	42.92	45.35(8.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-10	-110	-2	-34	0.23	39%	-0.04	-40.7	5.74%	0	-0.4	47	0
9	Nov_12_2015	47	46.37	46.09	43.75	43.53	43.14	41.76(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-80	-20	-41	0.18	35%	-0.17	-45.5	5.78%	0	-2.1	41	0
10	Nov_11_2015	47.08	46.66	46.58	44.97	44.44	43.87	43.66(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-130	-16	-24	0.18	35%	-0.13	-37.3	5.79%	0	-1.6	49	0

11	Nov_10_2015	47.14	46.85	46.95	46.2	45.72	43.92	43.95(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-310	-27	-9	0.22	35%	-0.11	-26.2	5.84%	0	-1.6	51	0
12	Nov_9_2015	47.19	47.02	47.2	47.61	47.16	45.01	44.53(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-25	-350	-34	1	0.8	35%	-0.08	-7.7	5.88%	0	-1.5	42	0
13	Nov_6_2015	47.23	47.19	47.47	48.36	48.5	47.53	44.83(-6.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-12	-130	-20	12	0.26	35%	-0.08	0.9	5.93%	0	-1.5	40	0
14	Nov_5_2015	47.27	47.19	47.62	48.72	48.92	49.31	47.89(-3.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	70	5	25	0.15	37%	0.02	12.2	5.92%	0	0.3	53	0
15	Nov_4_2015	47.26	47.38	47.36	48.36	48.21	49.48	49.8(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	180	16	21	0.24	37%	0.11	18	5.94%	0	1.6	57	0

16	Nov_3_2015	47.21	47.32	46.85	47.81	47.45	48.52	51.01(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	21	140	24	13	0.17	37%	0.13	30.6	5.98%	0	2.6	60	0
17	Nov_2_2015	47.15	47.15	46.52	46.8	46.74	46.94	48.29(3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	30	8	-3	0.13	37%	0.04	42.3	5.99%	0	0.9	54	0
18	Oct_30_2015	47.13	47.18	46.56	46.53	46.44	46.39	46.63(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10	0	-7	0.06	37%	-0.02	79.2	6.03%	0	-0.4	47	0
19	Oct_29_2015	47.14	47.2	46.59	46.37	46.42	46.54	46.05(-2.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	20	2	-10	0.05	37%	-0.04	72.6	6.08%	0	-0.8	42	0
20	Oct_28_2015	47.16	47.1	46.69	46.18	46.31	46.48	47.07(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	30	7	-13	0.19	37%	0	51.9	6.13%	0	-0	46	0

21	Oct_27_2015	47.16	46.88	46.7	45.7	45.95	46.29	45.98(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	70	-3	-26	0.14	37%	-0.04	25.7	6.18%	0	-0.4	38	0
22	Oct_26_2015	47.18	46.62	46.8	46.19	46.04	46.14	46.92(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	10	-2	-22	0.12	37%	-0.02	15.6	6.23%	0	0.1	46	0
23	Oct_23_2015	47.19	46.21	46.87	46.65	46.72	45.6	45.85(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-160	-6	-21	0.11	37%	-0.04	5.7	6.29%	0	-0.1	38	0
24	Oct_22_2015	47.21	46.17	47.12	46.86	47.21	45.94	45.06(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-170	-20	-22	0.2	37%	-0.11	-3.4	6.35%	0	-0.4	47	0
25	Oct_21_2015	47.26	46.2	47.44	47.25	47.67	47.83	44.69(-7.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	50	-9	-6	0.19	37%		-9.6	6.41%	0	-0.5	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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