Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $32.8600 (3.56%) ($32.4300 - $32.8700) on Fri. Mar. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $32.8600(3.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(97%)    KWEB(87%)    EEM(86%)    VWO(77%)    EWY(68%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.21(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.01(2.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.25(5.15%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3.26% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 38 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(47%) Sample size 38 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(55%) Sample size 38 Average positive next weekly return: 2.57%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.04%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2016	34.08	31.25	32.01	32.21	32.13	32.26	32.86(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	20	8	79	28.79	48%	-0.2	78.8	2%	0	1.6	61	INF
2	Mar_10_2016	34.15	31.03	31.77	32.23	32.09	31.94	31.73(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-50	-7	77	29.49	45%	-0.2	67.3	1.98%	0	0.6	62	INF
3	Mar_9_2016	34.22	30.91	31.64	32.3	32.3	32	31.98(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-70	-7	81	14.38	45%	-0.23	61.7	1.98%	0	0.9	64	INF
4	Mar_8_2016	34.3	30.76	31.5	32.32	32.28	32.25	31.86(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10	-5	83	25.29	44%	-0.23	57.3	1.98%	0	0.9	59	INF
5	Mar_7_2016	34.38	30.62	31.37	32.22	32.24	32.61	32.61(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	80	28	95	24.89	46%	-0.2	49.7	1.97%	0	1.6	69	INF

6	Mar_4_2016	34.45	30.47	31.23	31.75	31.89	32.3	32.99(2.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	51	100	36	95	42.54	46%	-0.2	36.1	1.97%	0	2.2	79	INF
7	Mar_3_2016	34.52	30.3	30.96	31.24	31.32	31.88	32.08(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	41	130	27	83	24.97	44%	-0.2	26	1.94%	0	1.8	79	INF
8	Mar_2_2016	34.59	30.2	30.79	30.89	30.98	31.48	32.05(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	120	36	82	27.63	44%	-0.17	20.6	1.94%	0	2.1	71	INF
9	Mar_1_2016	34.65	30.08	30.64	30.57	30.56	30.76	31.37(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	40	16	76	33.92	42%	-0.23	9.4	1.91%	0	1.7	69	INF
10	Feb_29_2016	34.73	30.03	30.53	30.41	30.32	30.49	30.28(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	30	-5	73	17.15	39%	-0.23	7.1	1.85%	0	0.3	61	INF

11	Feb_26_2016	34.81	30.06	30.43	30.41	30.41	30.36	30.42(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-30	3	84	21.07	37%	-0.26	17	1.87%	0	0.5	56	INF
12	Feb_25_2016	34.9	30.05	30.25	30.62	30.55	30.16	30.35(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-100	-10	66	20.35	37%	-0.26	20.9	1.89%	0	0.4	53	INF
13	Feb_24_2016	34.99	30.02	30.13	30.65	30.64	30.46	30.45(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-40	-17	55	28.18	37%	-0.2	24.1	1.89%	0	0.6	51	INF
14	Feb_23_2016	35.06	30.01	29.98	30.71	30.76	30.95	30.54(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	50	6	60	19.2	37%	-0.2	24.8	1.89%	0	0.7	56	INF
15	Feb_22_2016	35.13	29.97	29.84	30.66	30.72	30.81	31.32(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	30	26	54	21.17	38%	-0.17	24.7	1.87%	0	1.8	53	INF

16	Feb_19_2016	35.19	29.93	29.66	30.21	30.47	30.58	30.46(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	50	20	10	19.64	36%	-0.17	4.7	1.84%	0	0.8	43	INF
17	Feb_18_2016	35.25	29.89	29.6	29.81	30.06	30.63	30.47(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	17	160	27	-15	25.83	36%	-0.14	-19	1.84%	0	0.8	51	INF
18	Feb_17_2016	35.3	29.84	29.56	29.53	29.47	30.37	30.76(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	27	210	43	-21	36.46	36%	-0.11	-42.9	1.85%	0	1.3	56	INF
19	Feb_16_2016	35.34	29.82	29.56	29.15	29.14	29.49	30.29(4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	16	80	39	-52	37.92	36%	-0.11	-65.8	1.83%	0	0.7	50	INF
20	Feb_12_2016	35.38	29.79	29.44	28.92	28.8	28.57	29.07(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-70	-13	-86	39.42	31%	-0.2	-88.7	1.75%	0	-1.1	44	INF

21	Feb_11_2016	35.45	29.9	29.64	29.05	28.88	28.79	28.44(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-40	-26	-81	38.74	28%	-0.2	-82.7	1.72%	0	-2.1	35	INF
22	Feb_10_2016	35.52	30.02	29.83	29.35	29.28	29.02	29.07(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-70	-11	-51	42.77	30%	-0.2	-94.5	1.71%	0	-1.5	48	INF
23	Feb_9_2016	35.59	30.14	29.91	29.58	29.49	28.97	28.87(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-130	-29	-41	33.98	30%	-0.25	-100	1.7%	0	-1.9	48	INF
24	Feb_8_2016	35.68	30.27	30.06	29.76	29.77	29.54	29.14(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-50	-28	-33	35.69	30%	-0.2	-112.8	1.71%	0	-1.7	43	INF
25	Feb_5_2016	35.75	30.39	30.15	30.04	29.98	30.01	29.73(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	0	-13	-7	24.04	31%		-126.7	1.7%	0	-1	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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