Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $41.2500 (2.46%) ($40.9200 - $41.2900) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $41.2500(2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    VT(62%)    EWG(58%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.35(2.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.12(2.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.39(2.13%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.13%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.21%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.95%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.82%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	39.89	40.39	40.12	40.35	40.47	40.64	41.25(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	17	40	31	-25	16.29	58%	0	41.5	1.49%	0	1.2	54	INF
2	Dec_19_2014	39.89	40.32	40.13	39.99	40.02	40.34	40.26(-0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	60	9	-36	16.56	56%	0	25.1	1.47%	0	-0.1	56	INF
3	Dec_18_2014	39.89	40.24	40.28	39.85	39.86	40.31	40.53(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	80	28	-24	20.47	56%	0	11.3	1.48%	0	0.4	50	INF
4	Dec_17_2014	39.89	40.15	40.37	39.75	39.66	39.7	40.34(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	0	12	-31	29.76	56%	-0.03	3.6	1.48%	0	0.2	46	INF
5	Dec_16_2014	39.9	40.15	40.36	39.67	39.67	39.41	39.36(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-50	-18	-44	30.09	53%	-0.03	-2.6	1.45%	0	-0.8	50	INF

6	Dec_15_2014	39.91	40.08	40.49	39.85	39.88	39.62	39.45(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-40	-30	-34	22.97	52%	-0.03	3	1.45%	0	-0.7	49	INF
7	Dec_12_2014	39.92	40.13	40.52	40.3	40.06	39.92	39.56(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-40	-35	-15	17.57	52%	-0.03	22	1.46%	0	-0.6	50	INF
8	Dec_11_2014	39.93	40.15	40.64	40.78	40.61	40.15	40.06(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-90	-20	39	18.52	52%	0.03	38.8	1.45%	0	-0.1	61	INF
9	Dec_10_2014	39.92	40.12	40.64	41.07	41.04	40.19	39.9(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-13	-150	-40	70	21.49	50%	0.03	47.4	1.45%	0	-0.2	59	INF
10	Dec_9_2014	39.91	40.1	40.73	41.15	41.04	41.07	40.29(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-30	-29	89	33.76	50%	0.05	48.5	1.46%	0	0.2	60	INF

11	Dec_8_2014	39.89	40.06	40.71	41.2	41.36	41.88	41.68(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	100	31	129	20.03	54%	0.08	48.3	1.41%	0	1.7	64	INF
12	Dec_5_2014	39.86	39.93	40.53	40.77	40.98	41.64	41.98(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	130	51	110	18.45	54%	0.1	35.9	1.4%	0	2.3	56	INF
13	Dec_4_2014	39.82	39.79	40.18	40.49	40.4	40.83	41.51(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	70	26	73	23.87	54%	0.08	31.4	1.4%	0	2.3	59	INF
14	Dec_3_2014	39.79	39.68	39.9	40.38	40.2	40.32	40.3(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	10	14	57	14.69	54%	0.05	33.5	1.35%	0	1	55	INF
15	Dec_2_2014	39.77	39.65	39.75	40.25	40.35	39.97	40.51(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-60	2	37	18.47	54%	0.05	32.1	1.41%	0	1.4	56	INF

16	Dec_1_2014	39.75	39.59	39.62	40.16	40.21	40.08	39.54(-2.61%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-17	-20	-29	20	21.39	51%	0.05	40.9	1.38%	0	-0.1	53	INF
17	Nov_28_2014	39.73	39.61	39.71	40.23	40.35	40.73	40.6(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	70	34	63	14.75	53%	0.13	54.3	1.34%	0	1.7	60	INF
18	Nov_26_2014	39.68	39.55	39.6	39.81	40.18	40.34	40.93(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	44	60	44	45	23.05	53%	0.05	46.7	1.34%	0	2.6	62	INF
19	Nov_25_2014	39.66	39.47	39.44	39.35	39.59	39.97	39.69(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	90	12	3	12.08	49%	0.05	40.5	1.28%	0	0.5	52	INF
20	Nov_24_2014	39.64	39.45	39.42	39.18	39.27	40.03	40.02(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	35	140	46	2	17.46	49%	0	32.6	1.28%	0	1.1	51	INF

21	Nov_21_2014	39.64	39.35	39.34	39.02	38.94	39.21	39.91(3.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	17	40	28	-18	42.95	48%	0.05	23	1.28%	0	1.1	53	INF
22	Nov_20_2014	39.62	39.29	39.27	39.13	38.76	38.5	38.49(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-80	-29	-44	12.72	43%	0	32.1	1.2%	0	-1.5	34	INF
23	Nov_19_2014	39.62	39.3	39.36	39.37	39.23	38.68	38.64(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-110	-28	-28	15.25	43%	0.03	49.3	1.21%	0	-1.2	43	INF
24	Nov_18_2014	39.61	39.29	39.45	39.53	39.51	39.02	38.82(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-90	-42	-22	13.2	43%	0.05	59.3	1.2%	0	-0.8	45	INF
25	Nov_17_2014	39.59	39.28	39.55	39.66	39.7	39.78	39.25(-2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	20	-11	6	17.18	43%		65.4	1.2%	0	-0.1	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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