Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $39.8300 (-0.13%) ($39.5000 - $39.8500) on Tue. Dec. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $39.8300(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(57%)    QQQ(56%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    BNDX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.78(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.78(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.28(1.4%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.92%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.75%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.78%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2013	37.27	39.28	39.78	39.78	39.8	39.81	39.83(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	0	-4	6	16.61	62%	0.16	59.6	1.22%	0	0.5	49	0
2	Dec_9_2013	37.21	39.16	39.72	39.7	39.76	40	39.88(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	50	12	-0	11.86	65%	0.16	52.3	1.23%	0	0.6	50	0
3	Dec_6_2013	37.15	39.01	39.73	39.7	39.64	39.79	40.15(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	20	11	14	21.93	65%	0.19	45.7	1.26%	0	0.9	66	0
4	Dec_5_2013	37.08	38.84	39.68	39.68	39.63	39.52	39.4(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-9	39	14.16	63%	0.16	40.9	1.24%	0	0.4	72	0
5	Dec_4_2013	37.02	38.74	39.7	39.84	39.77	39.49	39.64(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-50	-10	85	18.75	65%	0.16	42.7	1.25%	0	0.7	76	0

6	Dec_3_2013	36.96	38.62	39.72	39.78	39.89	39.74	39.43(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-20	-9	116	23.68	69%	0.16	42.3	1.26%	0	0.6	70	0
7	Dec_2_2013	36.9	38.54	39.76	39.73	39.84	40.05	39.79(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	50	3	144	17.3	69%	0.16	46.5	1.31%	0	0.9	69	0
8	Nov_29_2013	36.84	38.44	39.64	39.77	39.69	40.03	40.13(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	50	20	176	17.38	69%	0.3	53.6	1.3%	0	1.3	74	0
9	Nov_27_2013	36.73	38.31	39.33	39.68	39.63	39.63	40.19(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	-0	18	178	27.9	65%	0.22	59	1.29%	0	1.5	75	0
10	Nov_26_2013	36.65	38.17	38.98	39.56	39.51	39.36	39.38(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-30	-17	153	13.34	63%	0.19	62.5	1.29%	0	1	65	0

11	Nov_25_2013	36.58	38.05	38.75	39.66	39.62	39.62	39.17(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	33	-0	-10	163	20.85	63%	0.19	61	1.29%	0	0.9	64	0
12	Nov_22_2013	36.51	37.92	38.56	39.79	39.74	39.67	39.96(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	-20	14	183	22.52	70%	0.08	58.1	1.26%	0	1.7	63	0
13	Nov_21_2013	36.48	37.73	38.25	39.49	39.76	39.61	39.72(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10	22	152	26.15	66%	0.22	47.9	1.3%	0	1.7	63	0
14	Nov_20_2013	36.4	37.57	37.94	38.91	39.47	39.81	39.57(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	100	38	109	19.96	66%	0.22	30.1	1.33%	0	1.9	64	0
15	Nov_19_2013	36.32	37.42	37.69	38.29	38.7	39.9	39.88(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	74	250	72	78	31.8	66%	0.19	8.9	1.34%	0	2.6	66	0

16	Nov_18_2013	36.25	37.32	37.4	37.7	37.8	39.13	39.82(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	87	250	98	52	49.62	66%	0.22	-9.7	1.34%	0	3.1	69	0
17	Nov_15_2013	36.17	37.22	37.18	37.18	37.07	37.5	38.44(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	50	70	61	17	55.82	62%	0.17	-38.3	1.27%	0	2	66	0
18	Nov_14_2013	36.11	37.19	37.09	36.86	36.8	36.47	36.83(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-70	-6	-19	22.1	55%	0.11	-56.5	1.15%	0	-0.6	57	0
19	Nov_13_2013	36.07	37.25	37.17	36.82	36.81	36.65	36.49(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-30	-31	-18	15.66	59%	0.14	-57.2	1.15%	0	-1.2	53	0
20	Nov_12_2013	36.02	37.34	37.28	36.97	36.96	37.12	36.9(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	30	-0	14	35.12	63%	0.14	-47.6	1.17%	0	-0.7	51	0

21	Nov_11_2013	35.97	37.4	37.3	37.05	37.05	36.98	37.23(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10	2	7	16.56	63%	0.14	-38.5	1.22%	0	-0.3	40	0
22	Nov_8_2013	35.92	37.46	37.24	37.18	37.06	36.79	36.84(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-60	-30	-15	20.7	65%	0.14	-26.3	1.22%	0	-0.9	35	0
23	Nov_7_2013	35.87	37.53	37.24	37.38	37.35	37.12	36.64(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-50	-21	-18	30.35	61%	0.08	-16.2	1.24%	0	-1.3	33	0
24	Nov_6_2013	35.84	37.61	37.21	37.56	37.57	37.32	37.24(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-50	-15	-21	11.07	64%	0.06	-4.8	1.24%	0	-0.6	38	0
25	Nov_5_2013	35.82	37.64	37.18	37.62	37.66	37.58	37.28(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10	-9	-30	26.31	64%		-1.2	1.25%	0	-0.6	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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