Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $39.7200 (0.38%) ($39.2600 - $39.7300) on Thu. Nov. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $39.7200(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(57%)    QQQ(56%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    BNDX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.49(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.25(3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.73(5.27%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.82%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.82%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2013	36.48	37.73	38.25	39.49	39.76	39.61	39.72(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10	22	152	26.15	66%	0.22	47.9	1.3%	0	1.7	63	0
2	Nov_20_2013	36.4	37.57	37.94	38.91	39.47	39.81	39.57(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	100	38	109	19.96	66%	0.22	30.1	1.33%	0	1.9	64	0
3	Nov_19_2013	36.32	37.42	37.69	38.29	38.7	39.9	39.88(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	74	250	72	78	31.8	66%	0.19	8.9	1.34%	0	2.6	66	0
4	Nov_18_2013	36.25	37.32	37.4	37.7	37.8	39.13	39.82(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	87	250	98	52	49.62	66%	0.22	-9.7	1.34%	0	3.1	69	0
5	Nov_15_2013	36.17	37.22	37.18	37.18	37.07	37.5	38.44(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	50	70	61	17	55.82	62%	0.17	-38.3	1.27%	0	2	66	0

6	Nov_14_2013	36.11	37.19	37.09	36.86	36.8	36.47	36.83(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-70	-6	-19	22.1	55%	0.11	-56.5	1.15%	0	-0.6	57	0
7	Nov_13_2013	36.07	37.25	37.17	36.82	36.81	36.65	36.49(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-30	-31	-18	15.66	59%	0.14	-57.2	1.15%	0	-1.2	53	0
8	Nov_12_2013	36.02	37.34	37.28	36.97	36.96	37.12	36.9(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	30	-0	14	35.12	63%	0.14	-47.6	1.17%	0	-0.7	51	0
9	Nov_11_2013	35.97	37.4	37.3	37.05	37.05	36.98	37.23(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10	2	7	16.56	63%	0.14	-38.5	1.22%	0	-0.3	40	0
10	Nov_8_2013	35.92	37.46	37.24	37.18	37.06	36.79	36.84(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-60	-30	-15	20.7	65%	0.14	-26.3	1.22%	0	-0.9	35	0

11	Nov_7_2013	35.87	37.53	37.24	37.38	37.35	37.12	36.64(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-50	-21	-18	30.35	61%	0.08	-16.2	1.24%	0	-1.3	33	0
12	Nov_6_2013	35.84	37.61	37.21	37.56	37.57	37.32	37.24(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-50	-15	-21	11.07	64%	0.06	-4.8	1.24%	0	-0.6	38	0
13	Nov_5_2013	35.82	37.64	37.18	37.62	37.66	37.58	37.28(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10	-9	-30	26.31	64%	0.08	-1.2	1.25%	0	-0.6	37	0
14	Nov_4_2013	35.79	37.65	37.25	37.57	37.73	37.82	37.89(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	30	20	-22	14.79	68%	0.11	-3.6	1.23%	0	0.4	45	0
15	Nov_1_2013	35.75	37.65	37.26	37.3	37.53	37.74	37.83(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	60	24	-45	14.99	69%	0.08	-12.1	1.23%	0	0.3	39	0

16	Oct_31_2013	35.72	37.65	37.28	37.02	37.23	37.64	37.57(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	90	30	-65	19.45	69%	0.08	-22.4	1.25%	0	-0.1	38	0
17	Oct_30_2013	35.69	37.65	37.32	36.81	36.91	37.32	37.54(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	90	32	-81	25.43	69%	0.08	-35.2	1.25%	0	-0.2	41	0
18	Oct_29_2013	35.66	37.64	37.38	36.68	36.66	36.82	37.03(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	30	3	-98	11.14	68%	0.03	-43.6	1.24%	0	-1	42	0
19	Oct_28_2013	35.65	37.68	37.49	36.91	36.64	36.82	36.55(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-50	-24	-88	15.2	67%	0.03	-37.6	1.25%	0	-1.8	39	0
20	Oct_25_2013	35.64	37.71	37.68	37.23	37.05	36.5	36.43(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-42	-120	-36	-61	16.4	67%	0.03	-37.7	1.25%	0	-2.2	36	0

21	Oct_24_2013	35.63	37.78	37.89	37.57	37.5	36.78	36.48(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-53	-140	-57	-42	28.79	67%	0.03	-31.5	1.25%	0	-2.7	32	0
22	Oct_23_2013	35.62	37.86	38.07	37.9	37.92	37.61	36.9(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-32	-60	-41	-6	36.85	69%	0	-27.4	1.25%	0	-2.4	46	0
23	Oct_22_2013	35.62	37.92	38.17	38.16	38.17	37.61	38.17(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	10	1	32	18.69	77%	0.06	-27.8	1.21%	0	0.7	62	0
24	Oct_21_2013	35.6	37.91	38.11	38.15	38.16	38.22	38.17(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	10	1	32	16.1	77%	0.06	-30.6	1.21%	0	0.7	61	0
25	Oct_18_2013	35.58	37.93	38.06	38.22	38.17	38.11	38.15(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-1	43	14.12	77%		-25	1.21%	0	0.6	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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