Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $34.3400 (-1.04%) ($34.0200 - $34.6200) on Wed. Jul. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $34.3400(-1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(78%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(57%)    QQQ(56%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    BNDX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.03(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.87(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.1(3.75%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 1.3%(24%) Average negative next three day return: -2.79%(76%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 2.42%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.76%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2013	35.77	33.1	33.87	34.03	34.09	34.52	34.34(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	90	20	118	17.8	41%	-0.11	49	1.5%	0	1.4	75	0
2	Jul_23_2013	35.81	32.97	33.69	33.93	33.92	34.15	34.7(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	50	28	122	23.01	41%	-0.11	31.8	1.5%	0	2	74	0
3	Jul_22_2013	35.85	32.83	33.45	33.72	33.73	33.66	33.77(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10	1	101	11.2	37%	-0.11	12.6	1.46%	0	1.2	63	0
4	Jul_19_2013	35.89	32.77	33.31	33.67	33.71	33.69	33.73(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-0	2	97	19.48	41%	-0.17	4.4	1.46%	0	1.3	62	0
5	Jul_18_2013	35.95	32.69	33.15	33.57	33.65	33.8	33.63(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	40	1	83	10.42	41%	-0.14	-16.4	1.52%	0	1.3	61	0

6	Jul_17_2013	36	32.68	32.96	33.67	33.55	33.72	33.83(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	20	18	94	12.28	40%	-0.11	-18.6	1.52%	0	1.6	65	0
7	Jul_16_2013	36.04	32.7	32.78	33.4	33.54	33.49	33.62(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	0	19	80	9.43	42%	-0.14	-28.5	1.53%	0	1.2	69	0
8	Jul_15_2013	36.09	32.73	32.66	33.14	33.28	33.37	33.55(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	30	8	65	8.53	40%	-0.14	-39.2	1.55%	0	1	65	0
9	Jul_12_2013	36.14	32.74	32.54	32.88	33.01	33.59	33.21(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	130	26	52	16.14	40%	-0.14	-54.8	1.59%	0	0.5	53	0
10	Jul_11_2013	36.19	32.81	32.46	32.65	32.75	33.19	34.15(5.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	53	100	53	52	34.97	42%	-0.14	-59.7	1.56%	0	1.3	65	0

11	Jul_10_2013	36.24	32.82	32.26	32.16	32.3	32.43	32.45(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	40	12	-12	19.05	35%	-0.19	-75.1	1.4%	0	-0.4	38	0
12	Jul_9_2013	36.31	32.93	32.18	32.08	32.1	32.31	32.36(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	50	6	-55	17.91	38%	-0.11	-78.3	1.4%	0	-0.5	31	0
13	Jul_8_2013	36.35	33.07	32.14	32.1	32.05	32.16	32.21(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	20	5	-83	16.19	38%	-0.25	-75.6	1.42%	0	-0.7	31	0
14	Jul_5_2013	36.44	33.23	32.19	32.16	32.13	31.88	32.07(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-60	-8	-100	17.13	38%	-0.33	-71.1	1.42%	0	-0.9	35	0
15	Jul_3_2013	36.56	33.42	32.2	32.25	32.22	31.94	31.73(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-60	-24	-135	14.3	36%	-0.22	-66.4	1.4%	0	-1.2	28	0

16	Jul_2_2013	36.64	33.62	32.38	32.35	32.22	32.37	32.02(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-0	-2	-131	22.64	36%	-0.22	-65.9	1.41%	0	-1.1	32	0
17	Jul_1_2013	36.72	33.82	32.62	32.29	32.42	32.5	32.48(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	30	11	-136	21.18	36%	-0.19	-68.4	1.4%	0	-0.9	33	0
18	Jun_28_2013	36.79	34.02	32.81	32.18	32.2	32.46	32.52(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-36	60	5	-157	23.88	36%	-0.22	-70.4	1.41%	0	-1	31	0
19	Jun_27_2013	36.87	34.19	32.94	32.23	32.04	32.34	32.49(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	50	15	-171	22.9	36%	-0.22	-71.2	1.41%	0	-1.1	29	0
20	Jun_26_2013	36.95	34.4	33.18	32.17	32.12	31.94	32.26(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-54	-40	-7	-196	29.44	38%	-0.22	-75.1	1.41%	0	-1.3	26	0

21	Jun_25_2013	37.03	34.62	33.41	32.44	32.19	31.75	31.7(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-96	-120	-57	-214	30.86	36%	-0.24	-75.6	1.4%	0	-1.8	24	0
22	Jun_24_2013	37.12	34.9	33.73	33.01	32.76	32.3	31.94(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-83	-120	-48	-189	37.35	36%	-0.27	-76.3	1.4%	0	-2	22	0
23	Jun_21_2013	37.22	35.14	34.08	33.52	33.42	32.63	32.74(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-170	-42	-171	30.65	38%	-0.24	-79.5	1.37%	0	-1.8	23	0
24	Jun_20_2013	37.31	35.36	34.37	33.77	33.87	33.22	32.21(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-95	-130	-69	-172	50.5	39%	-0.27	-80.3	1.36%	0	-2.5	25	0
25	Jun_19_2013	37.41	35.64	34.75	34.31	34.27	34.22	33.61(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-10	-24	-133	30.94	41%		-80.6	1.31%	0	-1.8	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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