Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $40.3200 (0.25%) ($40.1400 - $40.4600) on Mon. Feb. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $40.3200(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.64(-9.13%)
Resistance Level   $40.77
5 Day Moving Average   $40.04(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.12(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.77(-1.1%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 5.41%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.18%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.31%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.49%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 14.16%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.65%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2013	38.52	40.77	40.12	40.04	40.12	40.28	40.32(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	30	15	-85	18.37	68%	0.16	-42.4	1.11%	0	-0.6	43	0
2	Feb_14_2013	38.46	40.83	40.25	39.94	39.97	40.13	40.22(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	30	18	-85	11.97	68%	0.16	-47.3	1.11%	0	-0.8	40	0
3	Feb_13_2013	38.4	40.88	40.36	39.8	39.85	39.95	40.05(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	20	5	-101	11.99	65%	0.16	-52.5	1.12%	0	-1.1	34	0
4	Feb_12_2013	38.34	40.94	40.51	39.89	39.74	39.81	39.83(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	0	-7	-100	7.44	65%	0.16	-46.6	1.14%	0	-1.5	32	0
5	Feb_11_2013	38.28	41.02	40.68	40.04	39.87	39.75	39.77(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-30	-10	-93	13.12	65%	0.13	-44.2	1.14%	0	-1.9	29	0

6	Feb_8_2013	38.23	41.09	40.81	40.22	40.08	39.68	39.85(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-80	-38	-103	23.82	60%	0.16	-45.3	1.14%	0	-2	30	0
7	Feb_7_2013	38.17	41.18	40.94	40.61	40.38	39.99	39.52(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-60	-80	-52	-83	28.62	56%	0.1	-32.1	1.17%	0	-3.1	32	0
8	Feb_6_2013	38.13	41.27	41.16	41	40.93	40.49	40.46(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-33	-80	-29	-45	15.77	60%	0.18	-27.2	1.16%	0	-2.1	42	0
9	Feb_5_2013	38.06	41.28	41.27	41.23	41.21	40.78	40.62(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-37	-70	-39	-31	22.7	60%	0.16	-10	1.17%	0	-1.8	43	0
10	Feb_4_2013	38	41.32	41.39	41.41	41.46	41.37	40.63(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-14	-10	-17	-5	32.49	60%	0.16	28	1.17%	0	-2	43	0

11	Feb_1_2013	37.94	41.37	41.5	41.48	41.56	41.64	41.82(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	20	15	20	13.35	70%	0.18	68.5	1.11%	0	1.5	64	0
12	Jan_31_2013	37.87	41.35	41.45	41.33	41.39	41.55	41.47(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	30	5	4	11.22	70%	0.21	91.4	1.15%	0	0.4	49	0
13	Jan_30_2013	37.79	41.37	41.43	41.35	41.39	41.48	41.59(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	30	12	10	13.41	70%	0.24	126.7	1.15%	0	0.7	60	0
14	Jan_29_2013	37.7	41.32	41.39	41.33	41.3	41.23	41.55(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10	1	13	23.15	70%	0.24	145.3	1.16%	0	0.7	65	0
15	Jan_28_2013	37.61	41.22	41.37	41.37	41.36	41.13	40.96(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-40	-22	7	19.91	68%	0.21	123.3	1.16%	0	-0.7	47	0

16	Jan_25_2013	37.53	41.16	41.39	41.52	41.54	41.38	41.1(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-30	-15	14	13.32	65%	0.21	96.1	1.18%	0	-0.1	44	0
17	Jan_24_2013	37.45	41.09	41.43	41.57	41.68	41.6	41.53(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	0	24	11.28	65%	0.27	81	1.17%	0	0.7	48	0
18	Jan_23_2013	37.35	40.98	41.38	41.51	41.6	41.7	41.53(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	20	3	11	11.45	61%	0.27	68	1.17%	0	0.7	45	0
19	Jan_22_2013	37.25	40.87	41.29	41.46	41.47	41.75	41.74(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	50	17	15	14.19	63%	0.24	64.5	1.2%	0	1.1	63	0
20	Jan_18_2013	37.16	40.77	41.24	41.37	41.33	41.51	41.7(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	30	21	30	19.99	63%	0.24	57.9	1.21%	0	1	70	0

21	Jan_17_2013	37.07	40.66	41.23	41.25	41.24	41.18	41.36(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10	1	37	16.63	64%	0.22	57.5	1.21%	0	0.8	68	0
22	Jan_16_2013	36.99	40.57	41.24	41.28	41.17	41.16	41.21(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10	-7	60	10.14	64%	0.22	61.2	1.21%	0	0.7	68	0
23	Jan_15_2013	36.91	40.48	41.3	41.24	41.27	41.3	41.28(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	10	12	96	14.03	64%	0.24	62.5	1.21%	0	0.9	71	0
24	Jan_14_2013	36.82	40.38	41.23	41.1	41.21	41.19	41.31(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	0	3	98	13.26	64%	0.19	62.6	1.22%	0	1	70	0
25	Jan_11_2013	36.75	40.25	41.07	41.09	41.01	41.24	41.09(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	30	-6	94	14.57	66%		64.8	1.22%	0	0.9	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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