Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $38.1100 (0.85%) ($37.6400 - $38.1500) on Tue. Nov. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $38.1100(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(57%)    QQQ(56%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.58(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.43(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.92(3.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(100%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.41%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.66%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2012	34.48	36.92	37.43	37.58	37.79	37.8	38.11(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	20	19	42	18.13	67%	0.12	78.3	1.17%	0	1.5	63	NAN
2	Nov_5_2012	34.44	36.78	37.33	37.34	37.55	37.75	37.79(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	50	6	29	9.16	67%	0.09	70.1	1.16%	0	1.2	64	NAN
3	Nov_2_2012	34.41	36.65	37.29	37.29	37.36	37.77	37.46(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	80	21	48	18.97	69%	0.12	69.1	1.2%	0	0.9	64	NAN
4	Nov_1_2012	34.37	36.53	37.27	37.24	37.29	37.35	37.75(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	20	26	72	18.76	69%	0.12	70.2	1.2%	0	1.3	73	NAN
5	Oct_31_2012	34.33	36.39	37.27	37.08	37.19	36.95	36.78(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-40	-21	69	12.95	67%	0.2	68.6	1.16%	0	0.4	70	NAN

6	Oct_26_2012	34.26	36.3	37.18	37.26	37.22	37.23	36.93(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-0	-15	107	12.1	71%	0.09	68.2	1.18%	0	0.6	72	NAN
7	Oct_25_2012	34.23	36.19	37.14	37.3	37.39	37.43	37.53(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	10	11	138	14.55	74%	0.12	68.1	1.17%	0	1.2	73	NAN
8	Oct_24_2012	34.19	36.05	37	37.29	37.34	37.21	37.2(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-20	-8	145	12.04	74%	0.15	66.9	1.17%	0	1	73	NAN
9	Oct_23_2012	34.14	35.88	36.82	37.32	37.36	37.35	36.98(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	37	0	-4	158	19.24	70%	0.12	62.3	1.17%	0	1	73	NAN
10	Oct_22_2012	34.1	35.75	36.64	37.29	37.38	37.46	37.67(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	20	18	169	15.95	74%	0.15	62.3	1.18%	0	1.7	83	NAN

11	Oct_19_2012	34.05	35.59	36.37	37.09	37.17	37.37	37.13(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	40	14	156	29.51	74%	0.12	61.6	1.18%	0	1.5	80	NAN
12	Oct_18_2012	34.01	35.47	36.19	36.94	36.99	37.3	37.45(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	66	60	33	163	19	74%	0.12	59.1	1.2%	0	2	88	NAN
13	Oct_17_2012	33.97	35.31	35.96	36.66	36.71	36.97	37.35(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	50	37	151	23.59	76%	0.09	57.8	1.21%	0	2.3	84	NAN
14	Oct_16_2012	33.94	35.19	35.71	36.25	36.46	36.68	36.85(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	59	60	35	132	13.94	75%	0.09	60.6	1.22%	0	2.2	86	NAN
15	Oct_15_2012	33.91	35.06	35.51	35.88	36.09	36.46	36.65(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	52	90	32	113	14.78	75%	0.15	62.7	1.23%	0	2.4	78	NAN

16	Oct_12_2012	33.86	34.96	35.33	35.55	35.75	36.24	36.38(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	53	110	39	95	18.49	71%	0.09	72.7	1.24%	0	2.6	68	NAN
17	Oct_11_2012	33.83	34.89	35.14	35.35	35.39	35.72	36.09(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	70	31	75	20.68	71%	0.09	92.9	1.26%	0	2.7	64	NAN
18	Oct_10_2012	33.8	34.81	35	35.16	35.23	35.25	35.26(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	13	59	11.9	66%	0.06	108.5	1.23%	0	1.1	60	NAN
19	Oct_9_2012	33.78	34.74	34.87	35.09	35.16	35.06	35.02(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-3	32	10.36	66%	0.03	105.1	1.25%	0	0.6	48	NAN
20	Oct_8_2012	33.77	34.66	34.79	35.07	35.09	35.21	34.99(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	30	-2	28	14	66%	0.06	94.6	1.26%	0	0.6	56	NAN

21	Oct_5_2012	33.75	34.57	34.76	35.06	35.11	35.27	35.37(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	40	21	35	11.67	63%	0.06	90.3	1.28%	0	1.3	56	NAN
22	Oct_4_2012	33.73	34.49	34.69	34.91	34.98	34.98	35.16(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	8	14	9.06	63%	0.06	80.2	1.28%	0	1	48	NAN
23	Oct_3_2012	33.71	34.37	34.62	34.82	34.88	34.95	34.91(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	20	9	7	8.89	63%	0	60.6	1.28%	0	0.7	53	NAN
24	Oct_2_2012	33.71	34.24	34.63	34.62	34.82	34.98	34.92(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	50	19	11	8.81	63%	0	42.4	1.3%	0	0.8	61	NAN
25	Oct_1_2012	33.71	34.12	34.59	34.47	34.57	34.81	34.94(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	60	11	11	13.02	63%		32.9	1.3%	0	0.9	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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