Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 7, 2012

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $35.1900 (0.57%) ($35.1300 - $35.4100) on Tue. Aug. 7, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $35.1900(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(57%)    QQQ(56%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.65(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.2(2.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.53(4.95%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.36%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.84%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.47%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.46%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2012	34.83	33.53	34.2	34.65	34.72	35.1	35.19(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	80	18	97	10.53	46%	-0.09	38.4	1.69%	0	1.8	69	0
2	Aug_6_2012	34.86	33.39	33.93	34.45	34.51	34.84	34.99(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	70	24	83	8.91	46%	-0.11	28.9	1.69%	0	1.9	65	0
3	Aug_3_2012	34.9	33.28	33.69	34.27	34.34	34.33	34.8(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	0	12	70	17.61	45%	-0.11	22.1	1.69%	0	2.1	69	0
4	Aug_2_2012	34.94	33.28	33.53	34.13	34.18	34.19	33.96(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	10	1	67	12.64	43%	-0.14	24.9	1.66%	0	1.1	63	0
5	Aug_1_2012	34.99	33.2	33.49	33.99	34.15	34.35	34.3(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	60	23	85	13.14	43%	-0.17	28.8	1.66%	0	1.6	70	0

6	Jul_31_2012	35.05	33.18	33.36	33.66	33.85	34.17	34.21(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	80	26	70	9.23	43%	-0.14	29.2	1.67%	0	1.5	62	0
7	Jul_30_2012	35.1	33.15	33.24	33.32	33.46	33.96	34.06(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	120	30	59	9.54	43%	-0.14	28.5	1.68%	0	1.4	63	0
8	Jul_27_2012	35.15	33.12	33.08	33.02	33.08	33.53	34.12(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	100	29	36	23.6	43%	-0.11	25.5	1.68%	0	1.6	57	0
9	Jul_26_2012	35.19	33.04	32.92	32.85	32.72	32.97	33.24(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	40	6	8	14.34	40%	-0.14	18.2	1.64%	0	0.3	47	0
10	Jul_25_2012	35.24	33.01	32.92	32.95	32.77	32.63	32.68(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-50	-1	-9	8.37	38%	-0.14	12.8	1.63%	0	-0.6	38	0

11	Jul_24_2012	35.29	32.99	32.81	33	32.98	32.48	32.48(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-110	-20	-28	10.53	38%	-0.2	-4.9	1.63%	0	-0.8	36	0
12	Jul_23_2012	35.36	32.99	32.82	33.15	33.06	32.92	32.6(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-40	-18	-31	19.89	37%	-0.23	-17	1.63%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	Jul_20_2012	35.44	32.97	32.86	33.12	33.18	33.48	33.26(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	70	18	-25	18.87	38%	-0.2	-31.5	1.65%	0	0.4	46	0
14	Jul_19_2012	35.51	32.97	32.87	32.98	32.92	33.2	33.71(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	50	27	-21	19.68	38%	-0.2	-45.5	1.64%	0	1.2	60	0
15	Jul_18_2012	35.58	32.93	32.88	32.66	32.64	32.88	32.97(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	50	13	-34	12.98	36%	-0.2	-56.3	1.62%	0	0.1	54	0

16	Jul_17_2012	35.65	33.02	32.99	32.6	32.45	32.65	33.19(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	30	15	-17	22.09	36%	-0.2	-42.6	1.62%	0	0.2	59	0
17	Jul_16_2012	35.72	33.08	33.03	32.45	32.38	32.4	32.46(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-0	-2	-15	9.96	33%	-0.22	-35.4	1.6%	0	-0.7	58	0
18	Jul_13_2012	35.8	33.17	33.15	32.57	32.48	32.25	32.58(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-60	-13	-1	13.41	33%	-0.22	-22.9	1.6%	0	-0.7	52	0
19	Jul_12_2012	35.88	33.23	33.16	32.74	32.62	32.37	32.09(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-24	-60	-33	2	24.62	37%	-0.22	-17.7	1.58%	0	-1.3	49	0
20	Jul_11_2012	35.96	33.32	33.23	33.14	32.98	32.7	32.69(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-13	-70	-23	18	18.09	38%	-0.19	-5	1.64%	0	-0.7	41	0

21	Jul_10_2012	36.03	33.36	33.2	33.44	33.31	32.88	32.43(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-18	-100	-27	9	20.2	37%	-0.11	9.4	1.64%	0	-1.1	34	0
22	Jul_9_2012	36.07	33.39	33.16	33.69	33.64	33.26	33.05(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-80	-22	-1	11.62	37%	-0.22	19.3	1.64%	0	-0.4	39	0
23	Jul_6_2012	36.15	33.38	33.12	33.81	33.79	33.75	33.45(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10	-1	-4	14.33	37%	-0.19	24.2	1.65%	0	0.1	42	0
24	Jul_5_2012	36.22	33.39	33.02	33.62	33.78	34.03	34.09(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	70	24	-19	12.72	39%	-0.25	19.4	1.64%	0	0.8	52	0
25	Jul_3_2012	36.31	33.36	32.99	33.33	33.36	33.83	34.2(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	100	30	-32	12.16	37%		11	1.65%	0	1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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