Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $33.7100 (2.24%) ($33.4000 - $33.8300) on Thu. Jul. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $33.7100(2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(57%)    QQQ(56%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.98(2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.87(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.93(2.37%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.49%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.15%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.16%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2012	35.51		32.87	32.98	32.92	33.2	33.71(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	50	27	-21	19.68	38%	-0.2	-45.5	1.64%	0	1.2	60	0
2	Jul_18_2012	35.58	32.93	32.88	32.66	32.64	32.88	32.97(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	50	13	-34	12.98	36%	-0.2	-56.3	1.62%	0	0.1	54	0
3	Jul_17_2012	35.65	33.02	32.99	32.6	32.45	32.65	33.19(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	30	15	-17	22.09	36%	-0.2	-42.6	1.62%	0	0.2	59	0
4	Jul_16_2012	35.72	33.08	33.03	32.45	32.38	32.4	32.46(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-0	-2	-15	9.96	33%	-0.22	-35.4	1.6%	0	-0.7	58	0
5	Jul_13_2012	35.8	33.17	33.15	32.57	32.48	32.25	32.58(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-60	-13	-1	13.41	33%	-0.22	-22.9	1.6%	0	-0.7	52	0

6	Jul_12_2012	35.88	33.23	33.16	32.74	32.62	32.37	32.09(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-24	-60	-33	2	24.62	37%	-0.22	-17.7	1.58%	0	-1.3	49	0
7	Jul_11_2012	35.96	33.32	33.23	33.14	32.98	32.7	32.69(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-13	-70	-23	18	18.09	38%	-0.19	-5	1.64%	0	-0.7	41	0
8	Jul_10_2012	36.03	33.36	33.2	33.44	33.31	32.88	32.43(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-18	-100	-27	9	20.2	37%	-0.11	9.4	1.64%	0	-1.1	34	0
9	Jul_9_2012	36.07	33.39	33.16	33.69	33.64	33.26	33.05(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-80	-22	-1	11.62	37%	-0.22	19.3	1.64%	0	-0.4	39	0
10	Jul_6_2012	36.15	33.38	33.12	33.81	33.79	33.75	33.45(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10	-1	-4	14.33	37%	-0.19	24.2	1.65%	0	0.1	42	0

11	Jul_5_2012	36.22	33.39	33.02	33.62	33.78	34.03	34.09(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	70	24	-19	12.72	39%	-0.25	19.4	1.64%	0	0.8	52	0
12	Jul_3_2012	36.31	33.36	32.99	33.33	33.36	33.83	34.2(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	100	30	-32	12.16	37%	-0.14	11	1.65%	0	1	53	0
13	Jul_2_2012	36.36	33.28	33.02	32.93	33.01	33.54	33.65(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	20	120	40	-40	11.53	37%	-0.14	-9.3	1.63%	0	0.5	51	0
14	Jun_29_2012	36.41	33.23	33.09	32.56	32.66	32.89	33.67(3.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	60	28	-51	20.58	37%	-0.19	-21.5	1.63%	0	0.5	57	0
15	Jun_28_2012	36.48	33.18	33.15	32.33	32.27	32.48	32.49(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	40	0	-63	10.96	32%	-0.22	-29.9	1.57%	0	-0.9	50	0

16	Jun_27_2012	36.56	33.23	33.28	32.34	32.33	32.42	32.63(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	20	-0	-64	15.46	32%	-0.19	-29	1.58%	0	-0.7	43	0
17	Jun_26_2012	36.63	33.27	33.39	32.6	32.42	32.06	32.19(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-90	-35	-61	18.34	32%	-0.22	-22.5	1.57%	0	-1.4	42	0
18	Jun_25_2012	36.71	33.36	33.53	33.14	32.84	32.25	31.83(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-45	-150	-52	-25	21.34	32%	-0.24	-3.8	1.56%	0	-2	48	0
19	Jun_22_2012	36.8	33.41	33.66	33.69	33.58	32.77	32.53(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-30	-180	-45	15	13.91	34%	-0.19	14.4	1.55%	0	-1.2	53	0
20	Jun_21_2012	36.87	33.43	33.71	34.08	34.06	33.43	32.52(-4.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.2	-25	-130	-47	42	23.5	34%	-0.22	27.4	1.55%	0	-1.3	52	0

21	Jun_20_2012	36.95	33.47	33.85	34.32	34.4	34.39	33.94(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	0	-7	83	14.21	35%	-0.14	34.5	1.47%	0	0.7	54	0
22	Jun_19_2012	37	33.45	33.8	34.27	34.34	34.69	34.9(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	80	27	98	19.01	36%	-0.08	25.5	1.45%	0	2.2	63	0
23	Jun_18_2012	37.03	33.39	33.57	33.99	34.04	34.41	34.57(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	80	34	69	21.28	36%	-0.13	9.6	1.46%	0	2	54	0
24	Jun_15_2012	37.08	33.3	33.37	33.64	33.77	33.99	34.46(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	60	30	43	21.87	36%	-0.13	-27.7	1.46%	0	2.2	63	0
25	Jun_14_2012	37.13	33.23	33.19	33.31	33.47	33.68	33.74(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	60	8	12	18.06	31%		-79.3	1.44%	0	1.1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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