Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $39.9600 (2.91%) ($39.1300 - $39.9900) on Tue. Mar. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $39.9600(2.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(58%)    SPY(57%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.31(-11.64%)
5 Day Moving Average   $38.91(2.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.21(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.61(0.88%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.27%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.57%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.72%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2012	37.36	39.61	39.21	38.91	39.05	39.23	39.96(2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	13	40	32	-46	19.4	51%	0.13	-27.9	1.54%	0	0.4	46	NAN
2	Mar_12_2012	37.31	39.58	39.23	38.47	38.63	38.96	38.83(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	70	6	-80	13.08	38%	0.13	-46.7	1.5%	0	-1	41	NAN
3	Mar_9_2012	37.26	39.59	39.31	38.54	38.36	38.88	39.03(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	80	9	-77	17.13	38%	0.19	-53.3	1.58%	0	-0.7	40	NAN
4	Mar_8_2012	37.19	39.65	39.42	38.78	38.44	38.3	38.81(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-50	-3	-72	14.42	34%	0.16	-44.8	1.59%	0	-1.1	37	NAN
5	Mar_7_2012	37.13	39.73	39.56	39.09	38.81	37.85	37.92(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-54	-190	-48	-71	13.94	28%	0.11	-29.3	1.62%	0	-2.4	35	NAN

6	Mar_6_2012	37.09	39.83	39.81	39.56	39.39	38.57	37.75(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-61	-160	-65	-47	22.38	28%	0.11	-8.7	1.62%	0	-3.3	39	NAN
7	Mar_5_2012	37.05	39.95	40.05	40.07	40.04	39.77	39.17(-2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-17	-50	-22	0	15.82	33%	0.14	35.2	1.55%	0	-1.9	50	NAN
8	Mar_2_2012	37	40.01	40.05	40.17	40.26	40.21	40.27(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-0	0	28	9.52	37%	0.16	55	1.51%	0	0.7	71	NAN
9	Mar_1_2012	36.94	40	40.17	40.15	40.11	40.32	40.32(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	30	1	30	17.68	37%	0.16	64.3	1.52%	0	0.8	52	NAN
10	Feb_29_2012	36.88	39.95	40.12	40.15	40.1	40.31	40.28(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	40	14	26	17.37	51%	0.19	62	1.66%	0	0.8	48	NAN

11	Feb_28_2012	36.81	39.88	40.04	40.12	40.02	40.31	40.29(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-30	2	20	15.07	57%	0.22	53	1.66%	0	0.9	55	NAN
12	Feb_27_2012	36.73	39.8	39.96	40.05	40.03	39.89	39.71(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-30	-13	6	10.73	57%	0.25	39	1.72%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
13	Feb_24_2012	36.64	39.79	39.89	40.16	40.14	40.16	40.16(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	0	-2	4	11.18	57%	0.25	52.9	1.71%	0	0.7	46	NAN
14	Feb_23_2012	36.55	39.74	39.88	40.19	40.17	40.18	40.14(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	0	3	9	10.41	57%	0.27	59.4	1.72%	0	0.7	52	NAN
15	Feb_22_2012	36.45	39.71	39.9	40.13	40.16	40.13	40.32(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-0	6	14	10.44	57%	0.3	65.5	1.76%	0	1.1	58	NAN

16	Feb_21_2012	36.34	39.64	39.83	39.94	40.09	40.17	39.93(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	30	6	13	13.16	52%	0.44	67.6	1.76%	0	0.5	60	NAN
17	Feb_17_2012	36.18	39.59	39.82	39.84	39.91	40.18	40.26(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	50	16	22	12.05	52%	0.19	75.2	1.79%	0	1.1	65	NAN
18	Feb_16_2012	36.11	39.51	39.84	39.57	39.69	40.01	40.32(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	70	16	17	15.96	46%	0.22	77.2	1.83%	0	1.4	54	NAN
19	Feb_15_2012	36.03	39.42	39.79	39.53	39.41	39.64	39.81(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	30	3	15	16.82	46%	0.19	87.1	1.9%	0	0.6	55	NAN
20	Feb_14_2012	35.96	39.35	39.75	39.65	39.45	39.37	39.39(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-30	-0	20	12.71	46%	0.2	92.7	1.9%	0	0.1	51	NAN

21	Feb_13_2012	35.89	39.27	39.71	39.71	39.68	39.18	39.42(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-90	-12	17	12.51	46%	0.2	104.9	1.91%	0	0.2	54	NAN
22	Feb_10_2012	35.82	39.15	39.63	39.8	39.73	39.53	38.93(-2.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-18	-40	-28	12	24.13	46%	0.22	95.7	1.93%	0	-0.2	53	NAN
23	Feb_9_2012	35.74	39.06	39.71	40.11	39.95	40.17	40.09(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	30	6	48	11.69	43%	0.2	99.6	1.89%	0	1	62	NAN
24	Feb_8_2012	35.67	38.9	39.62	40.08	40.04	39.92	40.4(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-20	11	51	18.51	43%	0.14	98.2	2.01%	0	1.4	65	NAN
25	Feb_7_2012	35.62	38.71	39.51	39.89	39.97	39.73	39.72(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-40	-5	45	12.68	43%		94.9	2.01%	0	0.9	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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