Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $38.8300 (0.41%) ($38.6900 - $39.3300) on Mon. Jan. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.44% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $38.8300(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(85%)    VWO(79%)    EWY(67%)    EWG(58%)    SPY(57%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.22% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.41(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.56(3.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.45(6.53%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3.81% (three month std-dev: 2.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(29%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -3.04%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.24%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.01%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2012	35.26	36.45	37.56	38.41	38.49	38.69	38.83(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	40	16	109	14.36	61%	0.06	76.4	2.44%	0	1.7	80	NAN
2	Jan_20_2012	35.24	36.24	37.2	37.99	38.17	38.55	38.67(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	80	19	99	18.07	61%	0	75	2.46%	0	1.9	80	NAN
3	Jan_19_2012	35.24	36.05	36.9	37.62	37.7	38.28	38.6(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	110	23	96	20.31	58%	0	76.1	2.47%	0	2.2	81	NAN
4	Jan_18_2012	35.24	35.8	36.58	37.25	37.24	37.8	38.32(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	100	25	85	24.6	58%	0.03	70.1	2.5%	0	2.4	71	NAN
5	Jan_17_2012	35.23	35.6	36.33	36.93	36.92	37.11	37.62(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	40	19	77	26.29	55%	-0.09	64.9	2.5%	0	2.3	67	NAN

6	Jan_13_2012	35.26	35.42	36.05	36.59	36.71	36.68	36.74(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	0	8	58	15.73	55%	0.03	45.7	2.5%	0	1.5	63	NAN
7	Jan_12_2012	35.25	35.3	35.86	36.28	36.53	36.73	36.84(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	60	10	49	10.99	58%	-0.03	23.2	2.51%	0	1.8	68	NAN
8	Jan_11_2012	35.26	35.18	35.63	36.05	36.14	36.74	36.74(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	120	17	40	14.68	58%	0	6.2	2.55%	0	2	63	NAN
9	Jan_10_2012	35.26	35.09	35.47	35.79	35.85	36.32	36.73(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	100	22	43	25.92	61%	0.03	-15.6	2.56%	0	2.3	72	NAN
10	Jan_9_2012	35.25	35.05	35.31	35.64	35.5	35.55	35.92(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-0	7	36	15.49	61%	0	-26.7	2.63%	0	1.5	59	NAN

11	Jan_6_2012	35.25	35.03	35.24	35.43	35.52	35.39	35.17(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-20	1	33	14.56	61%	-0.03	-41.2	2.63%	0	0.2	59	NAN
12	Jan_5_2012	35.26	35.1	35.21	35.37	35.42	35.45	35.69(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	10	3	35	14.27	63%	-0.06	-39	2.62%	0	0.9	60	NAN
13	Jan_4_2012	35.28	35.13	35.14	35.14	35.23	35.66	35.45(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	90	9	31	14.55	63%	-0.08	-29.4	2.66%	0	0.4	55	NAN
14	Jan_3_2012	35.31	35.19	34.96	35.08	35.05	35.38	35.98(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	60	16	25	18.5	60%	-0.08	-16.5	2.66%	0	1	56	NAN
15	Dec_30_2011	35.34	35.2	34.81	34.95	34.86	34.81	34.87(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-20	-1	3	7.56	54%	-0.06	-3.9	2.67%	0	-0.4	39	NAN

16	Dec_29_2011	35.36	35.29	34.74	35.04	34.96	34.72	34.85(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-50	-4	-4	12.62	54%	-0.03	14.3	2.8%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
17	Dec_28_2011	35.37	35.29	34.69	35.02	35.04	34.91	34.53(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-20	-7	-20	15.23	52%	-0.08	22.4	2.8%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
18	Dec_27_2011	35.4	35.35	34.72	35.12	35	35.21	35.18(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	30	9	-20	7.56	55%	-0.11	25.9	2.83%	0	-0.2	41	NAN
19	Dec_23_2011	35.44	35.33	34.68	34.81	34.86	35.16	35.31(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	60	13	-39	9	56%	-0.11	12.8	2.87%	0	-0	39	NAN
20	Dec_22_2011	35.48	35.24	34.76	34.65	34.55	34.78	35.31(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	40	10	-46	23.56	52%	-0.14	0.3	2.89%	0	0.1	43	NAN

21	Dec_21_2011	35.53	35.15	34.78	34.41	34.44	34.56	34.76(-0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	30	6	-59	21.73	50%	-0.2	-16.5	2.99%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
22	Dec_20_2011	35.6	35.14	34.97	34.33	34.39	34.56	35.04(4.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10	2	-60	29.2	50%	-0.2	-31.5	3.04%	0	-0.1	43	NAN
23	Dec_19_2011	35.67	35.1	35.1	34.27	34.35	34.32	33.61(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	0	-10	-58	19.49	47%	-0.25	-44	3%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
24	Dec_16_2011	35.76	35.2	35.43	34.54	34.6	34.47	34.53(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-20	-6	-38	27.37	47%	-0.22	-49.5	3.01%	0	-0.6	52	NAN
25	Dec_15_2011	35.84	35.24	35.62	34.89	34.71	34.38	34.09(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-80	-16	-16	21.88	47%		-48.7	3%	0	-1	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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