Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 24, 2011

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $35.2800 (5.44%) ($34.2200 - $35.5800) on Mon. Oct. 24, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.93% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $35.2800(5.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(80%)    EWY(68%)    EWG(59%)    REMX(58%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.465% (StdDev 2.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.71(4.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.92(4.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.8(7.56%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 4.73% (three month std-dev: 2.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.68%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 14.37%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 21.56%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_24_2011	38.13	32.8	33.92	33.71	33.52	34.05	35.28(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	90	30	85	31.86	42%	-0.21	15	2.93%	0	1.6	74	NAN
2	Oct_21_2011	38.21	32.63	33.66	33.37	33.21	32.9	33.46(2.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-80	-9	79	18.22	39%	-0.29	-0.7	2.85%	0	0.6	71	NAN
3	Oct_20_2011	38.32	32.57	33.44	33.61	33.4	32.99	32.57(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-100	-22	87	29.93	39%	-0.34	-9.4	2.82%	0	0	60	NAN
4	Oct_19_2011	38.45	32.52	33.36	33.96	33.87	33.53	33.12(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-80	-14	98	22.06	40%	-0.31	-17.5	2.82%	0	0.4	51	NAN
5	Oct_18_2011	38.57	32.54	33.17	34.28	34.08	33.8	34.14(1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-80	-7	107	27.98	41%	-0.1	-17.4	2.81%	0	1	56	NAN

6	Oct_17_2011	38.61	32.57	32.76	34.13	34.3	34.22	33.57(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-0	4	84	31.6	41%	-0.28	-21.1	2.8%	0	0.6	48	NAN
7	Oct_14_2011	38.72	32.64	32.39	33.96	34.08	34.35	34.67(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	70	21	72	21.43	42%	-0.23	-22.6	2.77%	0	1.1	59	NAN
8	Oct_13_2011	38.81	32.71	31.99	33.23	33.53	34.38	34.31(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	200	31	40	26.36	43%	-0.26	-30.2	2.77%	0	0.8	57	NAN
9	Oct_12_2011	38.91	32.78	31.82	32.66	32.81	33.82	34.72(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	230	47	34	42.24	43%	-0.23	-38.1	2.77%	0	1	61	NAN
10	Oct_11_2011	39	32.82	31.55	31.91	31.95	32.68	33.4(2.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	29	160	40	-5	26.08	40%	-0.23	-50.5	2.73%	0	0.3	48	NAN

11	Oct_10_2011	39.09	32.92	31.54	31.19	31.26	31.81	32.69(5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	130	33	-45	30.01	40%	-0.31	-60.3	2.72%	0	-0.1	41	NAN
12	Oct_7_2011	39.21	33.07	31.47	30.6	30.53	31.21	31.04(-1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	150	14	-98	18.8	36%	-0.33	-67.9	2.63%	0	-0.9	34	NAN
13	Oct_6_2011	39.34	33.31	31.59	30.56	30.21	30.71	31.44(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	80	8	-129	39.95	35%	-0.33	-71	2.63%	0	-0.8	32	NAN
14	Oct_5_2011	39.47	33.58	31.6	30.86	30.28	29.84	31(4.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-160	-12	-157	45.87	35%	-0.33	-68	2.62%	0	-1.1	31	NAN
15	Oct_4_2011	39.6	33.92	31.85	31.15	30.93	29.7	29.79(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-83	-300	-50	-181	36.16	33%	-0.33	-65.8	2.56%	0	-1.7	27	NAN

16	Oct_3_2011	39.73	34.29	32.39	31.95	31.83	30.72	29.75(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-77	-260	-50	-156	29.62	33%	-0.35	-63.5	2.58%	0	-2	28	NAN
17	Sep_30_2011	39.87	34.67	32.96	32.42	32.73	32.16	30.83(-6.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-90	-24	-133	30.47	35%	-0.33	-64.2	2.56%	0	-1.8	31	NAN
18	Sep_29_2011	40	35.04	33.53	32.71	32.87	32.93	32.91(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	30	2	-113	43.31	37%	-0.27	-60.9	2.46%	0	-1.1	36	NAN
19	Sep_28_2011	40.11	35.32	33.86	32.44	32.63	33.29	32.49(-3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	160	7	-127	26.36	37%	-0.3	-59.9	2.45%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
20	Sep_27_2011	40.23	35.6	34.2	32.67	32.4	32.8	33.76(5.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	60	8	-132	28.14	40%	-0.25	-57.3	2.42%	0	-0.9	30	NAN

21	Sep_26_2011	40.33	35.81	34.4	32.96	32.54	31.97	32.13(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-160	-29	-150	31.76	36%	-0.3	-49.3	2.33%	0	-1.8	25	NAN
22	Sep_23_2011	40.45	36.07	34.79	33.62	33.42	31.99	32.27(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-320	-56	-145	28.18	36%	-0.3	-43	2.34%	0	-2.1	25	NAN
23	Sep_22_2011	40.57	36.31	35.17	34.49	34.23	33.11	31.53(-6.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-92	-250	-77	-137	46.94	34%	-0.29	-33.8	2.31%	0	-3	17	NAN
24	Sep_21_2011	40.69	36.6	35.74	35.46	35.4	34.85	33.67(-4.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-47	-110	-30	-96	31.72	37%	-0.27	-27.4	2.2%	0	-2.5	20	NAN
25	Sep_20_2011	40.8	36.8	36.17	35.92	35.87	35.36	35.22(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-100	-19	-77	12.77	39%		-23.3	2.14%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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