Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $47.9300 (0.21%) ($47.6800 - $47.9900) on Mon. Nov. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $47.9300(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(81%)    EWY(70%)    EWG(61%)    SPY(60%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.33(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.4(3.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.12(3.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.56%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.33%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2010	42.15	46.12	46.4	47.33	47.52	47.82	47.93(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	60	33	100	14.19	67%	0.17	81.6	1.2%	0	1.9	70	0
2	Nov_5_2010	42.08	45.96	46.21	46.83	47.05	47.75	47.83(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	63	120	57	80	12.24	67%	0.17	78.6	1.2%	0	2.1	58	0
3	Nov_4_2010	42.01	45.78	45.98	46.26	46.49	47.21	47.88(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	68	120	75	48	23.94	67%	0.17	68.6	1.2%	0	2.4	59	0
4	Nov_3_2010	41.94	45.58	45.78	45.7	45.76	46.35	46.99(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	90	48	5	30.71	65%	0.14	64.2	1.18%	0	1.8	57	0
5	Nov_2_2010	41.88	45.44	45.68	45.32	45.39	45.78	46.01(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	60	32	-21	11.34	66%	0.14	63	1.16%	0	0.8	52	0

6	Nov_1_2010	41.82	45.36	45.61	45.35	45.12	45.17	45.43(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10	-2	-27	15	64%	0.12	67.4	1.2%	0	0.1	58	0
7	Oct_29_2010	41.77	45.26	45.69	45.51	45.25	45.01	44.97(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-50	-17	-9	9.95	64%	0.12	68.4	1.2%	0	-0.3	54	0
8	Oct_28_2010	41.72	45.18	45.82	45.65	45.62	45.06	45.11(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-19	-90	-29	13	10.19	64%	0.17	66.1	1.2%	0	-0.1	58	0
9	Oct_27_2010	41.65	45.08	45.9	45.86	45.76	45.49	45.08(-2.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-23	-50	-44	40	28.84	64%	0.14	69.3	1.2%	0	0	62	0
10	Oct_26_2010	41.59	44.97	45.98	46.08	46.06	46.18	46.17(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	20	14	97	13.77	69%	0.19	71.4	1.16%	0	0.9	66	0

11	Oct_25_2010	41.51	44.79	45.84	45.89	46.05	46.03	46.22(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	10	8	89	14.36	69%	0.19	66.3	1.16%	0	1.1	66	0
12	Oct_22_2010	41.43	44.62	45.71	45.91	45.86	45.95	45.67(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	10	-12	102	14.36	71%	0.15	68.1	1.15%	0	0.8	70	0
13	Oct_21_2010	41.37	44.48	45.59	46.02	45.95	46.08	46.14(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	20	15	132	16.82	71%	0.17	70	1.19%	0	1.2	75	0
14	Oct_20_2010	41.3	44.27	45.38	45.97	45.96	45.77	46.18(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	-30	2	137	21.29	73%	0.19	70.5	1.19%	0	1.4	77	0
15	Oct_19_2010	41.22	44.07	45.18	45.88	45.93	45.83	45.24(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	29	-10	-10	144	29.26	72%	0.1	73	1.21%	0	0.9	75	0

16	Oct_18_2010	41.18	43.93	45.09	45.77	45.98	46.15	46.33(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	40	26	181	20.5	77%	0.17	72.4	1.16%	0	1.8	89	0
17	Oct_15_2010	41.11	43.73	44.8	45.46	45.6	46.04	46.2(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	64	80	30	166	27.55	71%	0.17	72.7	1.23%	0	1.9	86	0
18	Oct_14_2010	41.04	43.51	44.48	45.1	45.25	45.82	45.88(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	100	52	157	30.22	71%	0.2	74.3	1.24%	0	1.9	80	0
19	Oct_13_2010	40.96	43.29	44.18	44.7	44.81	45.16	45.74(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	66	60	41	139	29.15	71%	0.2	73.7	1.25%	0	2.2	84	0
20	Oct_12_2010	40.88	43.09	43.87	44.4	44.37	44.68	44.68(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	50	15	121	15.56	68%	0.15	81.9	1.22%	0	1.6	75	0

21	Oct_11_2010	40.82	42.96	43.65	44.32	44.23	44.46	44.82(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	30	31	125	10.77	68%	0.17	92.6	1.23%	0	2	72	0
22	Oct_8_2010	40.75	42.81	43.43	44.02	44.06	44.06	44.4(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	0	17	104	21.39	68%	0.17	90.2	1.24%	0	1.7	69	0
23	Oct_7_2010	40.68	42.63	43.27	43.76	43.85	44	43.86(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	30	10	96	13.68	68%	0.15	84.5	1.23%	0	1.4	71	0
24	Oct_6_2010	40.62	42.48	43.08	43.56	43.64	44.06	44.24(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	70	34	98	13.22	70%	0.15	79.9	1.23%	0	1.9	78	0
25	Oct_5_2010	40.56	42.3	42.87	43.25	43.34	43.69	44.27(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	52	60	40	86	21.93	70%		80.5	1.25%	0	2.2	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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