Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $46.1700 (-0.11%) ($45.7600 - $46.3000) on Tue. Oct. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $46.1700(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(81%)    EWY(70%)    EWG(61%)    SPY(61%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.08(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.98(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.97(2.67%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.97%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.94%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.95%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.39%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2010	41.59	44.97	45.98	46.08	46.06	46.18	46.17(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	20	14	97	13.77	69%	0.19	71.4	1.16%	0	0.9	66	0
2	Oct_25_2010	41.51	44.79	45.84	45.89	46.05	46.03	46.22(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	10	8	89	14.36	69%	0.19	66.3	1.16%	0	1.1	66	0
3	Oct_22_2010	41.43	44.62	45.71	45.91	45.86	45.95	45.67(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	10	-12	102	14.36	71%	0.15	68.1	1.15%	0	0.8	70	0
4	Oct_21_2010	41.37	44.48	45.59	46.02	45.95	46.08	46.14(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	20	15	132	16.82	71%	0.17	70	1.19%	0	1.2	75	0
5	Oct_20_2010	41.3	44.27	45.38	45.97	45.96	45.77	46.18(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	-30	2	137	21.29	73%	0.19	70.5	1.19%	0	1.4	77	0

6	Oct_19_2010	41.22	44.07	45.18	45.88	45.93	45.83	45.24(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	29	-10	-10	144	29.26	72%	0.1	73	1.21%	0	0.9	75	0
7	Oct_18_2010	41.18	43.93	45.09	45.77	45.98	46.15	46.33(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	40	26	181	20.5	77%	0.17	72.4	1.16%	0	1.8	89	0
8	Oct_15_2010	41.11	43.73	44.8	45.46	45.6	46.04	46.2(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	64	80	30	166	27.55	71%	0.17	72.7	1.23%	0	1.9	86	0
9	Oct_14_2010	41.04	43.51	44.48	45.1	45.25	45.82	45.88(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	100	52	157	30.22	71%	0.2	74.3	1.24%	0	1.9	80	0
10	Oct_13_2010	40.96	43.29	44.18	44.7	44.81	45.16	45.74(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	66	60	41	139	29.15	71%	0.2	73.7	1.25%	0	2.2	84	0

11	Oct_12_2010	40.88	43.09	43.87	44.4	44.37	44.68	44.68(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	50	15	121	15.56	68%	0.15	81.9	1.22%	0	1.6	75	0
12	Oct_11_2010	40.82	42.96	43.65	44.32	44.23	44.46	44.82(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	30	31	125	10.77	68%	0.17	92.6	1.23%	0	2	72	0
13	Oct_8_2010	40.75	42.81	43.43	44.02	44.06	44.06	44.4(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	0	17	104	21.39	68%	0.17	90.2	1.24%	0	1.7	69	0
14	Oct_7_2010	40.68	42.63	43.27	43.76	43.85	44	43.86(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	30	10	96	13.68	68%	0.15	84.5	1.23%	0	1.4	71	0
15	Oct_6_2010	40.62	42.48	43.08	43.56	43.64	44.06	44.24(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	70	34	98	13.22	70%	0.15	79.9	1.23%	0	1.9	78	0

16	Oct_5_2010	40.56	42.3	42.87	43.25	43.34	43.69	44.27(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	52	60	40	86	21.93	70%	0.15	80.5	1.25%	0	2.2	74	0
17	Oct_4_2010	40.5	42.11	42.67	42.9	43.01	43.21	43.35(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	40	20	61	20.85	68%	0.1	87.2	1.23%	0	1.6	64	0
18	Oct_1_2010	40.46	41.99	42.58	42.75	42.78	42.99	43.1(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	40	12	55	15.09	68%	0.1	91.3	1.24%	0	1.4	64	0
19	Sep_30_2010	40.42	41.87	42.46	42.7	42.66	42.81	42.82(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	20	18	68	16.76	68%	0.07	99.5	1.24%	0	1.2	72	0
20	Sep_29_2010	40.39	41.75	42.34	42.52	42.61	42.57	42.72(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-0	11	61	19.62	60%	0.07	94.3	1.24%	0	1.2	69	0

21	Sep_28_2010	40.36	41.58	42.26	42.52	42.42	42.51	42.49(-0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	20	-5	57	16.63	60%	0.05	78.7	1.34%	0	1	70	0
22	Sep_27_2010	40.34	41.43	42.21	42.41	42.38	42.66	42.63(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	40	15	81	12.91	60%	0.12	69.3	1.34%	0	1.2	72	0
23	Sep_24_2010	40.29	41.3	42.14	42.38	42.33	42.32	42.85(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10	16	90	22.78	60%	0.12	66.5	1.35%	0	1.5	68	0
24	Sep_23_2010	40.24	41.12	41.94	42.2	42.23	42.11	41.89(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-6	75	12.18	57%	0.07	55.6	1.33%	0	0.7	65	0
25	Sep_22_2010	40.21	41.01	41.85	42.14	42.21	42.34	42.21(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	30	7	84	13.13	57%		48.1	1.33%	0	1.1	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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