Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $42.4800 (1.24%) ($42.0100 - $42.5400) on Mon. Sep. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $42.4800(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(86%)    VWO(81%)    EWY(70%)    EWG(61%)    SPY(61%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.99(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.52(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.75(4.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.93%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.95%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.23%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.78%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2010	40.17	40.75	41.52	41.99	41.85	42.08	42.48(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	30	19	108	15.3	60%	0.02	39.6	1.37%	0	1.7	80	0
2	Sep_17_2010	40.16	40.64	41.36	41.88	41.78	41.7	41.96(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-20	11	111	14.31	60%	0.02	42.5	1.36%	0	1.4	68	0
3	Sep_16_2010	40.15	40.56	41.23	41.65	41.77	41.62	41.59(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-20	0	109	14.66	60%	0.02	40.1	1.37%	0	1.2	71	0
4	Sep_15_2010	40.14	40.51	41.11	41.51	41.6	41.85	41.83(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	50	9	116	17.54	62%	0.02	40.5	1.36%	0	1.6	69	0
5	Sep_14_2010	40.13	40.45	40.86	41.29	41.41	41.93	42.1(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	100	39	111	26.96	62%	0	33.2	1.39%	0	2.1	71	0

6	Sep_13_2010	40.13	40.36	40.59	40.98	41.08	41.35	41.93(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	50	29	85	23.23	62%	0	13.9	1.39%	0	2.3	65	0
7	Sep_10_2010	40.13	40.25	40.38	40.78	40.83	40.89	40.79(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	2	60	10.15	62%	-0.02	-7.9	1.35%	0	1	51	0
8	Sep_9_2010	40.14	40.21	40.23	40.77	40.87	40.82	40.91(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-0	9	50	12.2	62%	-0.02	-25.5	1.38%	0	1.3	53	0
9	Sep_8_2010	40.15	40.17	40.09	40.64	40.76	40.77	40.72(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	10	8	31	15.6	64%	-0.05	-50	1.38%	0	1	48	0
10	Sep_7_2010	40.17	40.19	39.98	40.36	40.61	40.91	40.54(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	70	22	8	28.34	64%	-0.1	-66.2	1.4%	0	0.6	46	0

11	Sep_3_2010	40.21	40.26	39.91	40.12	40.24	40.76	40.95(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	21	100	30	-8	15.65	60%	-0.07	-57.7	1.43%	0	0.9	53	0
12	Sep_2_2010	40.24	40.3	39.85	39.93	39.88	40.32	40.71(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	24	70	36	-13	14.48	63%	-0.07	-55.9	1.43%	0	0.5	55	0
13	Sep_1_2010	40.27	40.36	39.81	39.63	39.66	39.72	40.3(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	10	19	-33	22.16	60%	-0.1	-57	1.46%	0	-0.1	53	0
14	Aug_31_2010	40.31	40.44	39.84	39.48	39.49	39.43	39.29(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10	-8	-48	14.19	57%	-0.12	-54.5	1.45%	0	-1.2	41	0
15	Aug_30_2010	40.36	40.57	39.99	39.54	39.5	39.61	39.36(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	20	-2	-47	11.23	57%	-0.12	-48.2	1.47%	0	-1.2	31	0

16	Aug_27_2010	40.41	40.72	40.11	39.66	39.52	39.55	39.97(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10	-1	-56	21.27	64%	-0.1	-42.4	1.46%	0	-0.8	29	0
17	Aug_26_2010	40.45	40.79	40.12	39.77	39.65	39.4	39.22(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-30	-50	-16	-70	15.4	62%	-0.1	-41.3	1.55%	0	-1.6	24	0
18	Aug_25_2010	40.49	40.89	40.21	40.02	39.91	39.5	39.55(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-80	-26	-80	18.58	62%	-0.1	-38.1	1.55%	0	-1.5	25	0
19	Aug_24_2010	40.53	40.98	40.28	40.25	40.2	39.9	39.58(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-42	-60	-27	-85	20.28	62%	-0.12	-26.6	1.56%	0	-1.7	24	0
20	Aug_23_2010	40.58	41.06	40.45	40.5	40.47	40.32	39.98(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-30	-13	-74	14.17	62%	0	-14.6	1.55%	0	-1.4	29	0

21	Aug_20_2010	40.58	41.14	40.66	40.61	40.65	40.5	40.54(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-20	-0	-65	18.02	60%	-0.07	2.9	1.59%	0	-0.8	29	0
22	Aug_19_2010	40.61	41.19	40.79	40.51	40.64	40.62	40.44(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	10	-0	-63	23.71	60%	-0.05	16.3	1.65%	0	-1.1	45	0
23	Aug_18_2010	40.63	41.23	40.94	40.42	40.51	40.79	40.71(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	60	11	-57	13.89	60%	-0.02	20.7	1.65%	0	-0.7	48	0
24	Aug_17_2010	40.64	41.2	41.08	40.31	40.31	40.66	40.84(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	60	13	-55	16.62	60%	-0.02	13.6	1.65%	0	-0.5	48	0
25	Aug_16_2010	40.65	41.17	41.18	40.4	40.15	40.23	40.5(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-0	-6	-53	17.28	60%		11.2	1.65%	0	-0.8	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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