Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Apr. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $43.2700 (2.78%) ($42.9000 - $43.3100) on Sun. Apr. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $43.2700(2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.02(2.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.47(4.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.37(4.59%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 5.34%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.82%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.32%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 7.56%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2010	41.74	41.37	41.47	42.02	42.19	42.59	43.27(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	45	80	41	55	35.27	57%	-0.05	61	1.75%	0	2.8	63	0
2	Mar_31_2010	41.76	41.21	41.26	41.37	41.61	42.13	42.1(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	100	25	19	35.57	55%	-0.1	54.8	1.73%	0	1.7	55	0
3	Mar_30_2010	41.8	41.14	41.2	41.1	41.17	41.78	42.26(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	27	110	32	10	39.41	55%	-0.07	58.1	1.73%	0	2.3	55	0
4	Mar_29_2010	41.83	41.06	41.06	40.89	40.82	41.1	41.62(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	13	40	20	-7	34.01	55%	-0.07	78.4	1.72%	0	1.3	51	0
5	Mar_26_2010	41.86	41.01	40.97	40.79	40.75	40.55	40.83(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-40	-1	-26	31.17	53%	-0.1	73.8	1.69%	0	-0.4	45	0

6	Mar_25_2010	41.9	40.96	41.01	40.84	40.77	40.53	40.02(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-27	-50	-25	-33	35.35	51%	-0.07	63.5	1.68%	0	-1.4	37	0
7	Mar_24_2010	41.93	40.92	41.15	41.12	41	40.95	40.76(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-20	-9	-4	22.78	53%	-0.05	64.9	1.68%	0	-0.2	60	0
8	Mar_23_2010	41.95	40.86	41.23	41.29	41.17	41	41.24(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-40	-2	12	14.96	53%	-0.02	59.1	1.68%	0	0.4	56	0
9	Mar_22_2010	41.96	40.74	41.24	41.24	41.29	41.05	41.11(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-40	-6	13	14.58	53%	-0.02	49.8	1.69%	0	0.4	53	0
10	Mar_19_2010	41.97	40.65	41.26	41.17	41.28	41.34	41.08(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	20	-4	16	22.81	53%	-0.05	46.6	1.68%	0	0.4	57	0

11	Mar_18_2010	41.99	40.55	41.28	41.2	41.16	41.53	41.42(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	60	10	36	19.39	53%	-0.02	44.7	1.69%	0	0.9	69	0
12	Mar_17_2010	42	40.46	41.16	41.18	41.12	41.22	41.62(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	10	15	47	26.68	50%	-0.05	50.6	1.69%	0	1.2	75	0
13	Mar_16_2010	42.02	40.36	41.16	41.16	41.02	40.79	40.96(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-50	-12	47	21.03	50%	-0.07	58.3	1.71%	0	0.7	67	0
14	Mar_15_2010	42.05	40.29	41.07	41.25	41.18	41.02	40.75(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-30	-13	71	18.05	50%	-0.1	72.7	1.71%	0	0.5	71	0
15	Mar_12_2010	42.09	40.21	41.06	41.37	41.18	41.25	41.24(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-20	-2	95	16.88	50%	-0.07	80.5	1.7%	0	1.1	68	0

16	Mar_11_2010	42.12	40.12	40.91	41.35	41.33	41.34	41.35(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	0	5	104	17.84	50%	-0.07	91.9	1.71%	0	1.3	70	0
17	Mar_10_2010	42.15	39.99	40.69	41.12	41.27	41.42	41.51(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	40	12	91	18.06	50%	-0.07	79.6	1.71%	0	1.6	63	0
18	Mar_9_2010	42.18	39.83	40.47	40.97	40.96	41.33	41.41(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	10	82	16.45	50%	-0.07	70.6	1.71%	0	1.7	62	0
19	Mar_8_2010	42.21	39.63	40.2	40.87	40.86	41.13	41.32(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	50	22	77	15.84	47%	-0.05	51.4	1.71%	0	1.7	63	0
20	Mar_5_2010	42.23	39.44	39.98	40.72	40.78	41.13	41.18(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-30	11	68	23.46	47%	-0.07	43.6	1.73%	0	1.7	67	0

21	Mar_4_2010	42.26	39.28	39.76	40.4	40.67	40.59	40.16(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	10	-1	44	21.64	44%	-0.09	34.8	1.7%	0	0.9	53	0
22	Mar_3_2010	42.3	39.25	39.71	40.17	40.47	40.97	40.78(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	110	25	52	16.94	44%	-0.05	35.5	1.71%	0	1.6	65	0
23	Mar_2_2010	42.32	39.19	39.59	39.88	39.92	40.75	40.9(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	150	44	56	24.02	44%	-0.05	35.7	1.71%	0	1.9	67	0
24	Mar_1_2010	42.34	39.12	39.44	39.43	39.46	39.98	40.59(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	90	42	53	35.2	47%	-0.05	23.7	1.71%	0	1.8	72	0
25	Feb_26_2010	42.36	39	39.26	39.14	39.08	39.08	39.59(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-0	8	36	24.83	40%		10.9	1.78%	0	0.8	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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