Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 15, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $44.1600 (-0.29%) ($43.7300 - $44.2200) on Thu. Oct. 15, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $44.1600(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(82%)    EWY(71%)    EWG(63%)    SPY(62%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(6%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.31(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.37(4.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.03(5.07%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3.09% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.11%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.86%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2009	40.23	42.03	42.37	43.31	43.3	44	44.16(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	110	30	112	16.86	71%	0.22	12.9	1.84%	0	1.6	67	NAN
2	Oct_14_2009	40.14	41.98	41.92	43.03	43.02	43.32	44.29(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	50	35	90	28.92	71%	0.22	10.5	1.91%	0	1.8	68	NAN
3	Oct_13_2009	40.05	41.93	41.56	42.57	42.7	42.61	42.77(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10	6	52	15.5	69%	0.07	7.1	1.88%	0	0.7	51	NAN
4	Oct_12_2009	40.02	41.9	41.41	42.32	42.55	42.71	42.45(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	40	12	32	17.95	69%	0.2	0.7	1.88%	0	0.5	43	NAN
5	Oct_9_2009	39.94	41.89	41.28	41.93	42.29	42.8	42.89(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	110	39	16	13.73	69%	0.2	-3.6	1.88%	0	0.9	48	NAN

6	Oct_8_2009	39.86	41.86	41.1	41.25	41.66	42.39	42.73(1.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	28	150	46	-25	16.07	69%	0.2	-9.7	1.89%	0	0.7	43	NAN
7	Oct_7_2009	39.78	41.84	40.92	40.64	40.81	41.78	42.02(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	8	180	35	-73	15.69	65%	0.15	-9.8	1.88%	0	0.2	38	NAN
8	Oct_6_2009	39.72	41.85	40.93	40.42	40.37	40.93	41.53(2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	90	32	-92	23.05	65%	0.15	-0.4	1.93%	0	-0.3	33	NAN
9	Oct_5_2009	39.66	41.89	41.06	40.38	40.21	39.85	40.47(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-80	-8	-106	20.52	63%	0.18	10.3	1.92%	0	-1.2	40	NAN
10	Oct_2_2009	39.59	41.94	41.28	40.56	40.49	39.82	39.51(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-55	-120	-36	-110	25.88	57%	0.15	20.6	1.92%	0	-2.1	32	NAN

11	Oct_1_2009	39.53	41.97	41.67	40.91	40.94	40.57	39.65(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-60	-27	-86	32.47	57%	0.15	27.7	1.96%	0	-2.1	33	NAN
12	Sep_30_2009	39.47	41.95	42.07	41.22	41.2	41.16	40.92(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10	-13	-64	25.02	61%	0.18	27	1.92%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
13	Sep_29_2009	39.4	41.85	42.35	41.5	41.34	41.3	41.36(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-12	-43	11.11	61%	0.18	22.1	1.92%	0	-0.3	45	NAN
14	Sep_28_2009	39.33	41.77	42.46	41.85	41.64	41.24	41.37(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-80	-18	-31	14.73	61%	0.13	24.4	1.93%	0	-0.3	44	NAN
15	Sep_25_2009	39.28	41.7	42.58	42.13	42.13	41.37	41.23(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-130	-34	-18	13.93	63%	0.18	26	1.93%	0	-0.3	55	NAN

16	Sep_24_2009	39.21	41.66	42.71	42.56	42.48	42.05	41.2(-2.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-27	-80	-41	14	27.88	65%	0.15	32.6	1.96%	0	-0.3	64	NAN
17	Sep_23_2009	39.15	41.63	42.71	43.03	43	42.89	42.32(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-20	-12	71	16.84	68%	0.2	41.4	1.96%	0	0.4	76	NAN
18	Sep_22_2009	39.07	41.54	42.87	43.33	43.27	42.92	43.14(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-60	-2	117	11.84	64%	0.21	48.1	1.94%	0	1	83	NAN
19	Sep_21_2009	38.99	41.4	42.79	43.16	43.35	43.12	42.78(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-20	-9	128	13.28	64%	0.28	50.4	1.99%	0	0.9	72	NAN
20	Sep_18_2009	38.88	41.29	42.64	43.08	43.23	43.62	43.36(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	70	11	146	15.27	64%	0.31	49.9	1.98%	0	1.3	71	NAN

21	Sep_17_2009	38.76	41.14	42.3	42.89	42.89	43.58	43.56(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	110	28	145	19.87	64%	0.31	45.5	1.98%	0	1.6	67	NAN
22	Sep_16_2009	38.64	40.96	41.83	42.69	42.61	42.84	43.8(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	30	28	130	27.66	64%	0.34	40.4	1.98%	0	2	69	NAN
23	Sep_15_2009	38.51	40.76	41.3	42.37	42.33	42.2	42.29(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-20	-4	92	16.54	58%	0.31	33.6	1.97%	0	1.2	61	NAN
24	Sep_14_2009	38.39	40.6	41.01	42.38	42.3	42.38	42.41(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	10	3	89	14.86	58%	0.26	24.3	2.01%	0	1.5	62	NAN
25	Sep_11_2009	38.29	40.52	40.74	42.13	42.34	42.46	42.39(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	30	26	82	17.18	58%		17	2.02%	0	1.6	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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