Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 3, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $39.6800 (2.48%) ($39.1100 - $39.7100) on Thu. Sep. 3, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $39.6800(2.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(82%)    EWY(71%)    EWG(63%)    SPY(62%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(6%)    LQD(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.94(-11.95%)
Resistance Level   $40.32
5 Day Moving Average   $39.19(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.78(-0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.32(-1.59%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.4%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.27%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.15%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091003

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_3_2009	37.71	40.32	39.78	39.19	39.09	39.14	39.68(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	0	3	-39	24.88	53%	0.16	-76.5	2%	0	-0.6	41	0
2	Sep_2_2009	37.65	40.43	39.87	39.31	39.22	38.82	38.72(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-80	-19	-51	21.79	51%	0.19	-72.3	1.99%	0	-1.6	30	0
3	Sep_1_2009	37.58	40.59	40.01	39.62	39.57	39.04	38.41(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-100	-30	-53	36.27	56%	0.16	-62.1	2%	0	-2	30	0
4	Aug_31_2009	37.52	40.81	40.01	40.04	39.92	39.62	39.31(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-60	-22	-40	28.66	58%	0.05	-50.7	2.11%	0	-1.4	35	0
5	Aug_28_2009	37.5	41.02	40.2	40.26	40.31	40.09	39.81(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-30	-10	-44	17.73	58%	0.21	-44.9	2.14%	0	-1.2	35	0

6	Aug_27_2009	37.42	41.12	40.32	40.45	40.46	40.23	40.3(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-40	-10	-43	19.19	58%	0.27	-42.7	2.15%	0	-0.8	38	0
7	Aug_26_2009	37.32	41.21	40.45	40.51	40.57	40.52	40.26(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-0	-4	-40	17.01	58%	0.3	-42.8	2.15%	0	-1	36	0
8	Aug_25_2009	37.21	41.26	40.57	40.47	40.6	40.7	40.53(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	30	8	-39	16.29	58%	0.24	-39.6	2.15%	0	-0.7	40	0
9	Aug_24_2009	37.12	41.38	40.65	40.37	40.32	40.63	40.4(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	50	12	-50	17.3	58%	0.27	-33.1	2.16%	0	-0.9	33	0
10	Aug_21_2009	37.02	41.49	40.79	40.12	40.12	40.5	40.78(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	70	15	-69	21.44	58%	0.27	-33.1	2.16%	0	-0.7	30	0

11	Aug_20_2009	36.92	41.57	40.88	40.17	39.78	40.02	40.6(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	10	-2	-75	21.72	58%	0.33	-19.8	2.17%	0	-1	44	0
12	Aug_19_2009	36.8	41.64	41.01	40.41	40	39.74	40.06(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-80	-10	-71	28.06	58%	0.33	1.2	2.18%	0	-1.5	40	0
13	Aug_18_2009	36.68	41.68	41.19	40.7	40.54	39.55	40.03(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-180	-28	-66	25.58	62%	0.33	16	2.18%	0	-1.7	46	0
14	Aug_17_2009	36.56	41.73	41.47	40.97	40.92	40.27	39.13(-4.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-51	-110	-47	-63	42.6	61%	0.27	41.7	2.27%	0	-2.8	33	0
15	Aug_14_2009	36.46	41.83	41.92	41.52	41.51	41.53	41.04(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	0	-7	-24	29.96	66%	0.3	82.8	2.19%	0	-0.9	41	0

16	Aug_13_2009	36.35	41.77	42.01	41.68	41.51	41.58	41.78(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10	1	-18	16.08	66%	0.36	82.9	2.17%	0	0	48	0
17	Aug_12_2009	36.22	41.63	42.04	41.72	41.66	41.49	41.54(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-30	-9	-22	24.65	66%	0.39	82.4	2.2%	0	-0.1	48	0
18	Aug_11_2009	36.08	41.52	42.02	41.77	41.83	41.73	41.37(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10	-8	-15	34.74	61%	0.33	77	2.2%	0	-0.1	58	0
19	Aug_10_2009	35.96	41.34	42.17	42.05	41.77	41.83	41.88(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-10	-12	6	24.55	61%	0.45	71.6	2.27%	0	0.3	58	0
20	Aug_7_2009	35.8	41.1	42.25	42.39	41.97	41.93	41.81(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-40	-0	32	32.33	64%	0.42	67	2.33%	0	0.4	57	0

21	Aug_6_2009	35.65	40.87	42.3	42.39	42.36	41.71	41.99(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-110	-6	47	25.25	64%	0.39	62.2	2.36%	0	0.5	65	0
22	Aug_5_2009	35.51	40.64	42.32	42.4	42.31	42.01	41.79(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-60	-21	60	23.61	64%	0.42	55.8	2.39%	0	0.5	67	0
23	Aug_4_2009	35.36	40.39	42.2	42.29	42.52	43.01	42.79(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	100	12	79	17.94	69%	0.45	49.1	2.39%	0	1	70	0
24	Aug_3_2009	35.2	40.1	42	42.31	42.19	42.61	43.56(4.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	60	17	95	21.92	69%	0.49	46.9	2.61%	0	1.5	79	0
25	Jul_31_2009	35.03	39.82	41.73	42.13	42.02	42.02	41.86(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10	2	109	15.52	67%		46.7	2.59%	0	0.9	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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