Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $42.0600 (4.06%) ($41.0900 - $42.3800) on Thu. Jul. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.66% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $42.0600(4.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(82%)    EWY(71%)    EWG(63%)    SPY(62%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(6%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.33% (StdDev 2.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.69(3.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.33(6.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.58(9.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   37.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3.91% (three month std-dev: 2.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.42%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.13%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.35%(13%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.29%(88%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2009	33.96	38.58	39.33	40.69	40.87	40.99	42.06(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	30	28	121	37.34	68%	0.5	71.9	2.66%	0	2.3	70	0
2	Jul_22_2009	33.79	38.31	38.82	40.03	40.26	40.5	40.42(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	60	5	84	16.34	66%	0.54	67	2.63%	0	1.6	57	0
3	Jul_21_2009	33.61	38.08	38.43	39.75	39.84	40.75	40.72(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	170	32	76	22.5	66%	0.54	55.9	2.67%	0	2	60	0
4	Jul_20_2009	33.43	37.84	38.03	39.09	39.33	40.01	40.92(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	47	140	46	49	30.17	66%	0.51	37.2	2.68%	0	2.5	58	0
5	Jul_17_2009	33.26	37.64	37.71	38.24	38.47	38.94	39.34(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	100	23	11	19.3	64%	0.45	12	2.69%	0	1.7	54	0

6	Jul_16_2009	33.11	37.53	37.51	37.75	37.77	38.66	38.73(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	16	170	24	-7	20.35	64%	0.39	-16.1	2.69%	0	1.3	54	0
7	Jul_15_2009	32.98	37.45	37.48	37.43	37.31	38	39.02(4.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	25	120	35	-4	30.36	64%	0.4	-36.2	2.69%	0	1.8	61	0
8	Jul_14_2009	32.85	37.36	37.38	36.93	36.94	36.89	37.42(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10	10	-18	15.42	62%	0.4	-61.3	2.67%	0	0.1	61	0
9	Jul_13_2009	32.72	37.39	37.51	36.81	36.75	36.61	36.71(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-30	-15	-18	26.74	62%	0.37	-66.2	2.66%	0	-0.8	56	0
10	Jul_10_2009	32.6	37.53	37.67	37.1	36.95	37	36.87(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-0	-3	3	19.48	62%	0.34	-48.4	2.66%	0	-0.7	49	0

11	Jul_9_2009	32.49	37.68	37.79	37.21	37.2	36.89	37.15(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-60	-8	9	19.77	64%	0.37	-34.1	2.68%	0	-0.5	51	0
12	Jul_8_2009	32.37	37.77	37.78	37.53	37.29	36.9	36.51(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-16	-90	-25	10	31.21	64%	0.37	-20.9	2.72%	0	-1.1	47	0
13	Jul_7_2009	32.25	37.86	37.75	37.9	37.87	37.52	36.8(-3.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-70	-14	20	20.53	64%	0.16	-15.1	2.72%	0	-1	49	0
14	Jul_6_2009	32.2	37.95	37.7	38.3	38.14	37.69	38.17(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-100	-13	23	22.1	68%	0.53	-9.3	2.69%	0	0.2	49	0
15	Jul_2_2009	32.03	37.99	37.61	38.34	38.34	38.22	37.44(-3.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-20	-11	13	19.63	71%	0.34	-1.4	2.66%	0	-0.5	38	0

16	Jul_1_2009	31.92	38.05	37.59	38.44	38.53	38.59	38.72(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	20	13	11	21.6	75%	0.38	12.2	2.69%	0	0.6	40	0
17	Jun_30_2009	31.8	38.01	37.44	38.07	38.17	38.59	38.37(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	60	14	-11	27.99	68%	0.32	14	2.7%	0	0.3	45	0
18	Jun_29_2009	31.7	38.02	37.32	37.56	37.86	38.47	38.78(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	16	140	29	-25	16.02	68%	0.35	15.2	2.82%	0	0.7	53	0
19	Jun_26_2009	31.59	38.05	37.23	37.02	37.16	37.86	38.37(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	140	20	-47	19.77	70%	0.35	21.5	2.83%	0	0.3	49	0
20	Jun_25_2009	31.48	38	37.32	36.8	36.68	37.25	37.97(2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	100	17	-52	29.55	70%	0.38	25.3	2.9%	0	-0	44	0

21	Jun_24_2009	31.36	37.92	37.5	36.64	36.67	36.45	36.88(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-40	4	-57	24.38	69%	0.38	22.4	2.88%	0	-0.8	40	0
22	Jun_23_2009	31.24	37.87	37.72	36.73	36.68	36.1	35.81(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-110	-23	-61	22.68	72%	0.35	21.5	2.88%	0	-1.5	40	0
23	Jun_22_2009	31.13	37.86	37.97	37.02	37.02	36.89	36.08(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-20	-16	-50	34.09	72%	0.35	26.5	3.12%	0	-1.3	38	0
24	Jun_19_2009	31.02	37.82	38.23	37.45	37.34	37.25	37.27(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-30	-9	-40	14.39	75%	0.42	36	3.11%	0	-0.4	38	0
25	Jun_18_2009	30.89	37.71	38.41	37.91	37.58	37.16	37.16(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-100	-20	-25	19.29	75%		44.2	3.13%	0	-0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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