Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 13, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $26.4400 (1.81%) ($25.9900 - $26.6800) on Fri. Mar. 13, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.86% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $26.4400(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(83%)    EWY(72%)    EWG(64%)    SPY(64%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(7%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.93% (StdDev 3.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.36(4.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.69(7.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.98(5.84%)
To recent high   -16.2%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 4.12% (three month std-dev: 3.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.3%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.57%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2009	26.22	24.98	24.69	25.36	25.6	25.96	26.44(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	130	22	22	31.32	45%	0.08	-42.2	3.86%	0	1.4	56	0
2	Mar_12_2009	26.2	24.97	24.46	24.87	24.95	25.43	25.97(3.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	140	14	-3	35.7	45%	0.08	-58.5	3.89%	0	1	53	0
3	Mar_11_2009	26.18	25	24.32	24.48	24.57	25.23	25.1(-1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	200	10	-23	29.64	45%	-0.04	-61.8	3.86%	0	0.1	49	0
4	Mar_10_2009	26.19	25.08	24.34	24.55	24.31	24.48	25.61(8.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	20	17	-18	44.37	45%	-0.19	-52.2	3.87%	0	0.5	50	0
5	Mar_9_2009	26.24	25.2	24.36	24.09	24.35	23.92	23.68(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-7	-90	2	-34	30.79	35%	-0.15	-44.8	3.85%	0	-1.1	46	0

6	Mar_6_2009	26.28	25.43	24.48	23.91	24.26	24.15	24(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	10	-8	-53	43.87	46%	-0.19	-34.9	4.02%	0	-1	39	0
7	Mar_5_2009	26.33	25.59	24.6	23.97	24.08	24.79	23.99(-5.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	220	1	-55	49.25	46%	-0.11	-26.3	4.05%	0	-1.1	41	0
8	Mar_4_2009	26.36	25.7	24.6	24.14	24.12	24.38	25.46(9.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	70	12	-52	73.21	52%	-0.23	-23.5	4.11%	0	-0.2	43	0
9	Mar_3_2009	26.42	25.71	24.75	24.15	24.09	23.37	23.3(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-220	-22	-75	44.91	40%	-0.38	-21.9	3.98%	0	-1.7	32	0
10	Mar_2_2009	26.52	25.81	24.92	24.72	24.63	23.86	22.8(-6.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-230	-24	-76	56.83	40%	-0.19	-10.8	3.99%	0	-2.3	25	0

11	Feb_27_2009	26.57	25.95	25.33	25.12	25.21	24.82	24.31(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-100	-12	-66	38.83	48%	-0.08	-0.2	4.08%	0	-1.5	28	0
12	Feb_26_2009	26.59	25.98	25.55	25.28	25.43	25.4	24.81(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	10	-5	-62	31.57	62%	-0.11	6.8	4.11%	0	-1.1	39	0
13	Feb_25_2009	26.62	26.04	25.76	25.43	25.39	25.61	25.51(-2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	60	1	-50	32.08	62%	-0.11	14.5	4.35%	0	-0.5	48	0
14	Feb_24_2009	26.65	26.03	25.89	25.45	25.46	25.46	26.15(5.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	0	8	-41	43.03	62%	-0.15	19.9	4.35%	0	0.1	55	0
15	Feb_23_2009	26.69	25.96	26.07	25.2	25.44	25.18	24.8(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-40	-10	-42	41.5	57%	-0.3	8	4.3%	0	-1	53	0

16	Feb_20_2009	26.77	25.95	26.43	25.6	25.38	25.45	25.14(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10	-10	-14	47.19	70%	-0.3	13.4	4.72%	0	-0.7	53	0
17	Feb_19_2009	26.85	25.91	26.65	25.86	25.84	25.7	25.57(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-40	-1	8	28.7	60%	-0.33	13.9	4.77%	0	-0.3	59	0
18	Feb_18_2009	26.94	25.89	26.73	26.14	25.92	25.31	25.57(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-190	-13	11	34.89	60%	-0.33	17.5	4.89%	0	-0.3	50	0
19	Feb_17_2009	27.03	25.81	26.75	26.4	26.3	25.98	24.9(-7.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-11	-100	-20	18	48.27	60%	-0.59	13.9	4.9%	0	-0.7	53	0
20	Feb_13_2009	27.19	25.87	26.8	27.07	26.92	26.53	26.81(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-120	-8	43	29.93	66%	-0.37	22.5	4.91%	0	0.7	63	0

21	Feb_12_2009	27.29	25.8	26.65	27.4	27.27	26.63	26.46(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-180	-11	52	38.37	66%	-0.37	19.2	5.25%	0	0.5	63	0
22	Feb_11_2009	27.39	25.74	26.48	27.55	27.78	27.31	26.98(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-90	-3	63	44.89	66%	-0.33	8	5.27%	0	1	69	0
23	Feb_10_2009	27.48	25.67	26.37	27.39	27.73	27.92	26.86(-4.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	90	2	66	43.32	66%	-0.36	-15.4	5.33%	0	1	59	0
24	Feb_9_2009	27.58	25.63	26.19	27.13	27.4	28.24	28.25(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	240	20	73	29.68	66%	-0.43	-41	5.31%	0	2.1	71	0
25	Feb_6_2009	27.7	25.57	25.82	26.48	26.67	27.54	28.47(4.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	30	250	23	52	43.02	65%		-70.3	5.54%	0	2.5	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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