Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $28.4700 (4.75%) ($27.6900 - $28.7000) on Fri. Feb. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.54% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $28.4700(4.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(87%)    VWO(83%)    EWY(73%)    EWG(65%)    SPY(64%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -2.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.77% (StdDev 5.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.48(7.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.82(10.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.57(11.34%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   34.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 4.58% (three month std-dev: 5.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.14%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.47%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090306

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2009	27.7	25.57	25.82	26.48	26.67	27.54	28.47(4.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	30	250	23	52	43.02	65%	-0.22	-70.3	5.54%	0	2.5	58	0
2	Feb_5_2009	27.76	25.56	25.4	25.8	25.85	26.56	27.18(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	200	16	29	46.26	60%	-0.14	-84.4	5.61%	0	1.3	56	0
3	Feb_4_2009	27.8	25.63	25.06	25.28	25.47	25.81	26.21(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	120	8	8	43.95	60%	-0.36	-80.7	5.72%	0	0.4	55	0
4	Feb_3_2009	27.9	25.87	24.93	25.22	25.13	25.15	25.53(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	-10	1	1	26.86	60%	-0.32	-54.3	5.78%	0	-0.2	49	0
5	Feb_2_2009	27.99	26.14	24.76	25.11	25.13	25.13	24.99(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-10	1	-11	25.52	60%	-0.46	-41.6	5.78%	0	-0.5	45	0

6	Jan_30_2009	28.12	26.42	24.84	25.04	25.24	25.11	25.11(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	-10	1	-19	36.27	64%	-0.46	-33.8	5.78%	0	-0.5	39	0
7	Jan_29_2009	28.25	26.62	24.88	24.91	25.07	25.36	24.54(-5.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	100	3	-31	31.29	64%	-0.49	-32.3	6.04%	0	-0.8	33	0
8	Jan_28_2009	28.39	26.83	24.94	24.78	24.86	25.38	25.93(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	160	10	-46	35.21	69%	-0.42	-34.3	6.01%	0	-0.4	35	0
9	Jan_27_2009	28.51	26.95	24.92	24.61	24.39	24.79	24.98(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	90	7	-64	24.01	65%	-0.52	-39.8	6.49%	0	-0.8	25	0
10	Jan_26_2009	28.66	27.11	25.02	24.36	24.32	24.35	24.62(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	0	-0	-85	31.49	65%	-0.52	-47.4	6.63%	0	-1	24	0

11	Jan_23_2009	28.81	27.29	25.31	24.63	24.25	23.99	24.5(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-120	-7	-92	38.71	61%	-0.48	-51	6.76%	0	-1.1	25	0
12	Jan_22_2009	28.95	27.46	25.72	24.85	24.74	24.3	23.85(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-140	-6	-89	42.81	57%	-0.58	-56.1	6.75%	0	-1.5	34	0
13	Jan_21_2009	29.12	27.72	26.25	25.12	25.07	24.51	25.1(5.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-160	-7	-83	54.29	54%	-0.58	-58.3	6.86%	0	-1.2	38	0
14	Jan_20_2009	29.29	28	26.86	25.27	25.23	25.19	23.74(-8.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-20	-10	-73	56.45	56%	-0.61	-58.5	6.94%	0	-2	35	0
15	Jan_16_2009	29.47	28.35	27.63	25.76	25.58	25.63	25.95(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10	-2	-54	43.02	59%	-0.61	-58.6	6.92%	0	-1.3	43	0

16	Jan_15_2009	29.65	28.59	28.13	26.11	25.72	25.27	25.61(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-170	-12	-44	75.86	54%	-0.6	-56.4	7%	0	-1.6	41	0
17	Jan_14_2009	29.83	28.87	28.5	26.74	26.41	25.53	25.18(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-270	-16	-31	43.56	54%	-0.57	-45.2	7.25%	0	-2	42	0
18	Jan_13_2009	30	29.08	28.9	27.57	27.23	26.18	25.88(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-310	-22	-21	32.31	58%	-0.53	-39.9	7.26%	0	-1.9	39	0
19	Jan_12_2009	30.16	29.3	29.18	28.7	28.17	27.3	26.17(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-270	-21	-9	36.01	58%	-0.53	-18.3	7.7%	0	-2.1	34	0
20	Jan_9_2009	30.32	29.52	29.42	29.76	29.45	28.28	27.71(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-10	-310	-14	4	29.65	58%	-0.43	16.1	7.69%	0	-1.4	38	0

21	Jan_8_2009	30.45	29.69	29.48	30.44	30.3	29.03	28.78(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-310	-13	8	27.26	58%	-0.43	48.1	7.73%	0	-0.7	41	0
22	Jan_7_2009	30.58	29.72	29.39	30.5	30.81	30.63	29.3(-7.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10	-4	4	40.86	56%	-0.36	58.3	7.73%	0	-0.3	40	0
23	Jan_6_2009	30.69	29.77	29.35	30.39	30.63	31.57	31.56(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	240	13	9	30.92	55%	-0.29	77.5	7.71%	0	1.4	62	0
24	Jan_5_2009	30.78	29.58	29.21	29.73	29.82	30.98	31.46(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	13	280	17	2	25.23	55%	-0.29	71.1	7.76%	0	1.6	56	0
25	Jan_2_2009	30.87	29.31	29.07	29.05	29.01	29.69	31.11(6.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	9	160	15	-8	26.75	54%		50.6	7.77%	0	1.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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