Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Oct. 7, 2007

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $63.8700 (5.75%) ($62.1700 - $63.8700) on Sun. Oct. 7, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $63.8700(5.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.8(3.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.52(5.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.77(12.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   60%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 8.09% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2.85%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.01%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -4.09%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.44%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.94%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2007	46.09	56.77	60.52	61.8	61.71	61.49	63.87(5.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	66	-30	37	151	17.47	65%	0.57	69.2	2.86%	0	1.5	82	0
2	Oct_4_2007	45.83	56.02	59.75	61.03	61.22	60.18	60.4(0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-110	-34	129	14.28	63%	0.48	67.6	2.79%	0	1	77	0
3	Oct_3_2007	45.61	55.51	59.2	61.09	61.36	61.93	59.82(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	38	80	-2	159	21.18	64%	0.48	69.2	2.81%	0	1	78	0
4	Oct_2_2007	45.39	55.01	58.73	60.86	61.28	62.27	63.16(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	89	130	52	201	15.33	67%	0.55	72.4	2.72%	0	1.9	91	0
5	Oct_1_2007	45.14	54.37	57.84	59.84	60.12	60.8	61.75(2.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	90	29	190	16.51	67%	0.53	71.7	2.72%	0	1.8	91	0

6	Sep_28_2007	44.9	53.76	56.84	59.05	59.23	60.29	60(-1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	71	130	32	187	13.43	67%	0.54	75.1	2.71%	0	1.7	90	0
7	Sep_27_2007	44.66	53.19	56.04	58.28	58.62	59.44	60.7(3.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	88	120	52	195	11.6	67%	0.54	77.1	2.7%	0	2.1	95	0
8	Sep_26_2007	44.42	52.6	55.08	57.05	57.53	58.17	58.69(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	100	28	166	9.82	66%	0.52	81	2.68%	0	1.9	83	0
9	Sep_25_2007	44.19	52	54.3	56.26	56.56	57.8	58.05(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	65	170	34	159	10.23	66%	0.48	83.8	2.69%	0	2	83	0
10	Sep_24_2007	43.98	51.62	53.52	55.54	55.88	56.89	57.81(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	82	140	59	152	10.94	66%	0.5	103.9	2.7%	0	2.3	73	0

11	Sep_21_2007	43.76	51.1	52.7	54.29	54.73	55.32	56.16(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	100	32	113	10.43	66%	0.46	116.6	2.69%	0	2.2	72	0
12	Sep_20_2007	43.56	50.59	51.97	53.46	53.65	54.88	54.53(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	170	32	96	8.67	65%	0.44	124.2	2.69%	0	1.7	73	0
13	Sep_19_2007	43.37	50.16	51.52	52.8	52.86	54.14	54.75(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	170	53	93	15.12	65%	0.44	127.9	2.69%	0	2	70	0
14	Sep_18_2007	43.18	49.58	50.98	52.03	51.94	52.42	54.43(5.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	46	60	35	79	14.72	66%	0.47	109.2	2.69%	0	2	76	0
15	Sep_17_2007	42.98	48.99	50.59	51.22	51.24	51.58	51.58(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	50	12	52	6.56	64%	0.37	92.9	2.62%	0	1	51	0

16	Sep_14_2007	42.82	48.51	50.44	50.86	50.89	51.45	52.01(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	80	25	58	8.62	66%	0.38	75.6	2.63%	0	1.2	62	0
17	Sep_13_2007	42.66	47.93	50.11	50.24	50.41	50.9	51.23(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	80	21	53	6.71	66%	0.35	56.8	2.64%	0	1	65	0
18	Sep_12_2007	42.51	47.43	49.92	50.03	49.81	50.33	50.89(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	60	12	60	10.68	65%	0.35	46.5	2.64%	0	1	64	0
19	Sep_11_2007	42.36	47.02	49.54	49.78	49.73	49.92	50.39(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	11	71	9.36	65%	0.33	43.6	2.66%	0	0.9	70	0
20	Sep_10_2007	42.22	46.66	49.58	49.89	49.63	49.3	49.78(1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-60	-8	106	10.82	65%	0.31	44.5	2.66%	0	0.9	70	0

21	Sep_7_2007	42.09	46.34	49.4	49.95	49.86	49.54	48.93(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-50	-12	138	9.42	66%	0.31	45.9	2.67%	0	0.7	71	0
22	Sep_6_2007	41.96	46.07	49.15	49.93	50.25	49.97	50.17(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	-20	3	178	6.81	66%	0.31	44.1	2.64%	0	1.1	77	0
23	Sep_5_2007	41.83	45.8	48.74	49.77	49.88	50.18	49.62(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	55	50	5	204	10.16	66%	0.31	44.4	2.65%	0	1.1	72	0
24	Sep_4_2007	41.7	45.48	48.13	49.23	49.62	50.52	50.94(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	71	150	26	207	7.64	66%	0.43	36.8	2.63%	0	1.6	68	0
25	Aug_31_2007	41.52	45.1	47.3	49.24	48.95	49.57	50.1(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	71	70	24	213	10.84	67%		36.8	2.61%	0	1.6	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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