Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 25, 2007

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $47.2000 (1.88%) ($46.4600 - $47.6100) on Wed. Jul. 25, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $47.2000(1.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(68%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-14%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.64(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.52(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.61(3.49%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   34.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.89%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.13%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.18%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.04%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2007	38.58	45.61	46.52	46.64	46.93	46.98	47.2(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	30	10	44	8.55	73%	0.39	74.7	1.65%	0	1.2	66	0
2	Jul_24_2007	38.43	45.36	46.39	46.64	46.65	47.11	46.33(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	90	13	40	7.53	72%	0.44	61.3	1.64%	0	0.6	62	0
3	Jul_23_2007	38.26	45.18	46.34	46.29	46.3	46.88	47.53(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	90	32	64	6.78	76%	0.42	60.7	1.6%	0	1.5	74	0
4	Jul_20_2007	38.1	44.94	46.2	46.06	46.04	46.2	46.08(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	20	10	71	5.83	74%	0.37	63.9	1.59%	0	0.7	73	0
5	Jul_19_2007	37.96	44.81	46.16	46.24	46.06	45.72	46.07(1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-60	-14	90	6.78	74%	0.34	77.6	1.59%	0	0.8	71	0

6	Jul_18_2007	37.83	44.61	46.02	46.39	46.3	45.89	45.45(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-70	-24	107	7.37	74%	0.37	86.8	1.6%	0	0.5	69	0
7	Jul_17_2007	37.69	44.45	45.96	46.49	46.59	46.4	46.33(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-20	-4	146	7.89	77%	0.32	97.4	1.58%	0	1.1	81	0
8	Jul_16_2007	37.57	44.23	45.72	46.37	46.45	46.71	46.35(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	40	1	155	5.85	77%	0.29	103.3	1.58%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Jul_13_2007	37.46	43.96	45.4	46.35	46.31	46.78	47(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	70	30	171	3.79	77%	0.29	107.1	1.58%	0	1.7	76	0
10	Jul_12_2007	37.35	43.61	45.01	46.07	46.11	46.19	46.83(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	10	30	161	6.18	78%	0.3	108.4	1.58%	0	1.8	70	0

11	Jul_11_2007	37.24	43.22	44.63	45.6	45.8	45.85	45.95(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	20	8	140	6.49	77%	0.3	99.5	1.59%	0	1.4	73	0
12	Jul_10_2007	37.13	42.84	44.24	45.35	45.46	46.03	45.7(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	100	27	137	7.75	77%	0.24	88.6	1.6%	0	1.4	71	0
13	Jul_9_2007	37.04	42.51	43.93	44.95	45.09	45.75	46.25(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	80	110	59	141	6.85	77%	0.3	84.5	1.58%	0	1.8	76	0
14	Jul_6_2007	36.93	42.12	43.57	44.29	44.4	44.88	45.62(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	80	40	119	6.24	77%	0.27	78.4	1.58%	0	1.7	78	0
15	Jul_5_2007	36.83	41.73	43.31	43.8	43.81	44.42	44.5(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	100	31	121	7.11	76%	0.3	71.6	1.57%	0	1.3	79	0

16	Jul_3_2007	36.72	41.4	43.06	43.51	43.49	43.92	44.66(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	70	47	143	4.51	76%	0.27	67.9	1.55%	0	1.5	83	0
17	Jul_2_2007	36.62	41.09	42.8	42.98	43.04	43.21	43.74(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	30	17	140	8.03	75%	0.22	66.5	1.55%	0	1.3	83	0
18	Jun_29_2007	36.54	40.8	42.61	42.74	42.77	43.06	42.95(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	50	8	152	6.44	75%	0.22	66.7	1.56%	0	1	74	0
19	Jun_28_2007	36.46	40.56	42.42	42.72	42.69	42.88	43.17(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	30	12	174	3.99	75%	0.22	69.8	1.59%	0	1.2	77	0
20	Jun_27_2007	36.38	40.28	42.11	42.75	42.67	42.47	43.02(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	-40	2	197	7.17	75%	0.22	70.4	1.6%	0	1.3	79	0

21	Jun_26_2007	36.3	39.98	41.72	42.55	42.79	42.51	42.01(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	41	-30	-12	198	8.49	74%	0.19	66.7	1.58%	0	1	74	0
22	Jun_25_2007	36.23	39.73	41.38	42.58	42.78	42.87	42.56(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	30	1	211	8.69	74%	0.22	65	1.57%	0	1.4	72	0
23	Jun_22_2007	36.15	39.46	41.02	42.44	42.61	43.07	42.86(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	80	90	30	231	7.48	74%	0.25	63.7	1.56%	0	1.7	75	0
24	Jun_21_2007	36.06	39.14	40.6	42.05	42.28	42.69	43.31(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	93	80	49	225	10.36	74%	0.25	56.8	1.57%	0	2.2	78	0
25	Jun_20_2007	35.97	38.85	40.02	41.38	41.68	42.15	42.03(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	79	100	41	194	14.4	71%		51.2	1.55%	0	1.9	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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