Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $38.3300 (5.51%) ($36.8900 - $38.7300) on Fri. May. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $38.3300(5.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(78%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(68%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-14%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.15(3.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.6(4.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.62(4.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 7.58%(17%) Average negative next three day return: -1.53%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.03%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.41%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2007	35.17	36.62	36.6	37.15	37.09	37.27	38.33(5.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	30	17	41	27.75	52%	0.11	34.4	2.26%	0	2.5	62	0
2	May_10_2007	35.13	36.52	36.6	36.83	36.94	36.93	36.33(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	10	-1	15	10.96	46%	0.06	34.6	2.17%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	May_9_2007	35.11	36.55	36.35	36.86	36.97	36.91	37.28(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-0	8	20	4.75	49%	0.09	44	2.17%	0	1.3	55	0
4	May_8_2007	35.08	36.47	36.28	36.59	36.79	36.96	36.74(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	50	8	6	5.49	49%	0.09	36.4	2.17%	0	0.5	46	0
5	May_7_2007	35.05	36.44	36.23	36.34	36.53	37.03	37.06(0.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	18	110	26	-5	3.1	49%	0.11	34	2.17%	0	1.1	46	0

6	May_4_2007	35.01	36.38	36.23	35.95	36.06	36.62	36.73(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	120	23	-30	4.96	49%	0.09	29.2	2.15%	0	0.6	43	0
7	May_3_2007	34.98	36.33	36.23	35.81	35.7	36.02	36.48(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	50	14	-39	4.08	49%	0.11	28.8	2.16%	0	0.3	48	0
8	May_2_2007	34.94	36.29	36.14	35.79	35.63	35.49	35.95(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-40	-3	-49	7.64	49%	0.09	41.8	2.17%	0	-0.6	43	0
9	May_1_2007	34.91	36.27	36.24	35.93	35.82	35.37	35.49(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-100	-17	-41	7.19	49%	0.09	55.7	2.17%	0	-1.2	50	0
10	Apr_30_2007	34.88	36.25	36.43	36.09	36.11	35.76	35.1(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-70	-21	-29	5.56	49%	0.09	62.2	2.17%	0	-1.7	44	0

11	Apr_27_2007	34.85	36.22	36.66	36.33	36.33	36.27	36.03(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10	-10	-5	4.44	52%	0.11	61.9	2.18%	0	-0.2	54	0
12	Apr_26_2007	34.81	36.16	36.73	36.51	36.42	36.46	36.39(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	0	-1	13	3.16	52%	0.12	68.5	2.19%	0	0.3	60	0
13	Apr_25_2007	34.77	36.05	36.77	36.53	36.54	36.39	36.65(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-30	-1	22	2.52	47%	0.12	56.7	2.19%	0	0.6	63	0
14	Apr_24_2007	34.73	35.92	36.7	36.62	36.47	36.38	36.3(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-30	-14	23	2.95	47%	0.14	58.6	2.29%	0	0.4	63	0
15	Apr_23_2007	34.68	35.83	36.69	36.82	36.68	36.7	36.27(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10	-5	44	3.78	47%	0.14	65.8	2.3%	0	0.4	68	0

16	Apr_20_2007	34.63	35.74	36.67	37.03	36.9	36.55	36.95(1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-80	-3	67	6.98	47%	0.17	77.7	2.28%	0	1.1	80	0
17	Apr_19_2007	34.57	35.59	36.55	36.98	37	36.66	36.5(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-60	-15	68	11.38	47%	0.14	82.4	2.29%	0	0.8	68	0
18	Apr_18_2007	34.52	35.49	36.47	37.03	37.1	37.25	37.06(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	30	6	93	8.24	47%	0.17	92.3	2.29%	0	1.4	80	0
19	Apr_17_2007	34.46	35.32	36.3	36.79	36.91	37.34	37.32(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	90	18	99	4.88	47%	0.2	94.5	2.3%	0	1.7	77	0
20	Apr_16_2007	34.39	35.12	36.06	36.55	36.59	36.95	37.34(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	70	21	96	4.89	48%	0.15	93	2.3%	0	2	74	0

21	Apr_13_2007	34.34	34.87	35.74	36.26	36.27	36.48	36.69(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	40	12	81	2.57	48%	0.09	83.3	2.3%	0	1.6	71	0
22	Apr_12_2007	34.31	34.67	35.54	36.06	36.12	36.23	36.75(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	12	79	6.78	51%	0.15	77.2	2.32%	0	1.8	74	0
23	Apr_11_2007	34.26	34.46	35.25	35.83	35.92	36.05	35.86(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	30	4	63	5.02	48%	0.15	77.6	2.32%	0	1.3	63	0
24	Apr_10_2007	34.21	34.27	35.07	35.74	35.79	36.02	36.1(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	50	14	68	3.1	47%	0.15	70.3	2.32%	0	1.6	71	0
25	Apr_9_2007	34.16	34.12	34.89	35.48	35.6	35.78	35.9(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	50	17	66	4.68	43%		80.3	2.33%	0	1.6	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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