Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 10, 2006

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $29.9000 (0.2%) ($29.7800 - $29.9600) on Fri. Nov. 10, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $29.9000(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(89%)    VWO(86%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-14%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.6(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.13(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.74(4.04%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.2%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.36%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.85%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.17%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2006	26.78	28.74	29.13	29.6	29.6	29.85	29.9(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	60	33	140	2.59	71%	0.22	87.1	1%	0	2	72	NAN
2	Nov_9_2006	26.72	28.64	28.95	29.41	29.48	29.53	29.84(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	20	30	117	4.39	71%	0.23	92.4	1%	0	2.3	72	NAN
3	Nov_8_2006	26.66	28.55	28.83	29.21	29.25	29.34	29.33(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	12	98	2.4	69%	0.23	91.4	0.99%	0	1.6	68	NAN
4	Nov_7_2006	26.6	28.46	28.75	29.04	29.11	29.42	29.37(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	80	30	92	2.71	69%	0.23	81	0.99%	0	1.8	69	NAN
5	Nov_6_2006	26.54	28.36	28.65	28.88	28.91	29.16	29.56(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	57	60	46	91	3.07	69%	0.23	73.2	0.99%	0	2.3	76	NAN

6	Nov_3_2006	26.48	28.24	28.52	28.58	28.68	28.8	28.97(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	40	25	51	2.02	65%	0.19	63.9	0.97%	0	1.6	64	NAN
7	Nov_2_2006	26.43	28.16	28.45	28.42	28.47	28.66	28.83(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	50	10	32	3.03	65%	0.27	59.4	0.97%	0	1.5	65	NAN
8	Nov_1_2006	26.36	28.1	28.4	28.4	28.47	28.56	28.49(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	50	14	37	3.93	62%	0.23	66.7	0.97%	0	0.9	60	NAN
9	Oct_31_2006	26.3	28.05	28.37	28.41	28.36	28.27	28.53(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-30	7	48	1.65	62%	0.23	68.3	1.01%	0	1	69	NAN
10	Oct_30_2006	26.24	27.99	28.32	28.39	28.37	28.15	28.08(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-60	-22	47	2.16	57%	0.19	68.4	1%	0	0.2	67	NAN

11	Oct_27_2006	26.19	27.94	28.33	28.44	28.45	28.46	28.15(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	0	-10	79	3.22	57%	0.15	66.1	1%	0	0.4	72	NAN
12	Oct_26_2006	26.15	27.89	28.32	28.48	28.46	28.59	28.73(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	30	16	111	2.18	68%	0.19	69.9	0.98%	0	1.6	78	NAN
13	Oct_25_2006	26.1	27.82	28.26	28.39	28.38	28.45	28.54(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	20	12	109	2.08	68%	0.12	70	0.99%	0	1.4	67	NAN
14	Oct_24_2006	26.07	27.74	28.16	28.33	28.32	28.34	28.47(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	0	10	103	1.9	75%	0.19	67.2	0.99%	0	1.5	67	NAN
15	Oct_23_2006	26.02	27.66	28.06	28.23	28.27	28.31	28.33(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	4	89	1.52	75%	0.12	68.4	1.06%	0	1.4	72	NAN

16	Oct_20_2006	25.99	27.61	27.94	28.2	28.21	28.3	28.32(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	20	8	90	1.49	75%	0.15	72.9	1.06%	0	1.5	72	NAN
17	Oct_19_2006	25.95	27.54	27.85	28.14	28.16	28.24	28.3(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	20	10	89	1.25	80%	0.15	77.3	1.08%	0	1.7	72	NAN
18	Oct_18_2006	25.91	27.47	27.78	28.1	28.1	28.12	28.24(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	0	12	87	1.3	80%	0.15	86.9	1.18%	0	1.8	69	NAN
19	Oct_17_2006	25.87	27.41	27.71	27.96	28.02	28.12	27.96(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	20	10	82	1.67	80%	0.08	83	1.18%	0	1.3	68	NAN
20	Oct_16_2006	25.85	27.34	27.63	27.85	27.9	28.08	28.19(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	50	22	81	1.54	80%	0.15	79.3	1.19%	0	2.1	76	NAN

21	Oct_13_2006	25.81	27.27	27.52	27.64	27.7	27.97	28.03(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	32	70	23	59	1.61	69%	0.12	77.6	1.19%	0	1.9	63	NAN
22	Oct_12_2006	25.78	27.19	27.43	27.51	27.5	27.72	28.07(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	50	20	47	2.16	69%	0.12	72	1.26%	0	2.3	69	NAN
23	Oct_11_2006	25.75	27.11	27.33	27.42	27.35	27.44	27.53(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	20	5	36	1.03	65%	0.12	78.4	1.25%	0	1.2	61	NAN
24	Oct_10_2006	25.72	27.07	27.29	27.43	27.37	27.29	27.42(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-30	4	37	1.07	65%	0.12	82.2	1.25%	0	1	56	NAN
25	Oct_9_2006	25.69	27.02	27.24	27.38	27.36	27.27	27.15(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-30	-6	35	1.23	65%		63.5	1.26%	0	0.3	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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