Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 10, 2005

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $21.6500 (2.61%) ($21.5400 - $21.7500) on Wed. Aug. 10, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $21.6500(2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(85%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.09(2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.98(3.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.42(6.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 3.62% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.66%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -0.37%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.61%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.56%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2005	18.82	20.42	20.98	21.09	21.17	21.37	21.65(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	62	80	33	147	1.4	68%	0.21	69.6	0.9%	0	1.7	77	0
2	Aug_9_2005	18.78	20.3	20.86	20.97	20.98	21.11	21.1(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	40	5	150	0.58	64%	0.11	67.6	0.87%	0	1.1	81	0
3	Aug_8_2005	18.76	20.2	20.77	21	20.97	20.98	21.12(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	-0	13	187	0.48	64%	0.11	68.1	0.87%	0	1.3	82	0
4	Aug_5_2005	18.74	20.1	20.68	20.94	20.98	20.86	20.82(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	52	-30	-1	212	0.58	61%	0.11	66.7	0.85%	0	1	82	0
5	Aug_4_2005	18.72	20.01	20.62	20.9	20.96	20.96	20.78(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	60	10	0	239	0.66	64%	0.11	64.1	0.85%	0	1	81	0

6	Aug_3_2005	18.7	19.92	20.57	20.85	20.88	21.1	21.02(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	90	80	27	278	1.02	67%	0.16	62.8	0.85%	0	1.5	86	0
7	Aug_2_2005	18.67	19.83	20.43	20.73	20.74	20.96	21.27(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	108	80	50	282	1.6	71%	0.11	62.6	0.85%	0	2.1	94	0
8	Aug_1_2005	18.65	19.72	20.24	20.51	20.54	20.66	20.83(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	50	28	256	1.25	68%	0.11	62.4	0.81%	0	1.8	94	0
9	Jul_29_2005	18.63	19.63	20.08	20.39	20.4	20.52	20.59(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	40	19	236	0.71	69%	0.11	64.5	0.81%	0	1.7	93	0
10	Jul_28_2005	18.61	19.55	19.95	20.31	20.31	20.42	20.52(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	70	40	18	225	1.09	69%	0.11	68.6	0.85%	0	1.8	93	0

11	Jul_27_2005	18.59	19.47	19.82	20.25	20.23	20.28	20.46(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	81	10	30	235	0.66	65%	0.05	73.4	0.85%	0	2	93	0
12	Jul_26_2005	18.58	19.4	19.7	20.07	20.13	20.19	20.17(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	30	25	202	0.46	62%	0.11	78.4	0.85%	0	1.8	78	0
13	Jul_25_2005	18.56	19.34	19.59	19.91	19.96	20.18	20.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	72	80	37	175	0.54	62%	0.05	78.3	0.85%	0	2.2	74	0
14	Jul_22_2005	18.55	19.27	19.48	19.72	19.74	20.06	20.2(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	72	120	49	142	0.71	62%	0.05	74.9	0.86%	0	2.6	77	0
15	Jul_21_2005	18.54	19.19	19.35	19.53	19.51	19.74	20.24(3.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	63	80	49	103	2.52	68%	0.11	74.1	0.86%	0	3.4	79	0

16	Jul_20_2005	18.52	19.12	19.21	19.33	19.33	19.42	19.53(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	30	17	48	0.34	56%	0	103	0.84%	0	2.2	67	0
17	Jul_19_2005	18.52	19.07	19.17	19.27	19.28	19.29	19.4(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	10	9	32	0.35	58%	0	93.3	0.88%	0	1.6	58	0
18	Jul_18_2005	18.52	19.03	19.15	19.22	19.25	19.25	19.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	0	3	28	0.16	56%	0	85.5	0.88%	0	0.9	61	0
19	Jul_15_2005	18.52	19	19.14	19.2	19.21	19.27	19.25(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	20	10	37	0.19	49%	0.05	81.9	0.88%	0	1.1	67	0
20	Jul_14_2005	18.51	18.96	19.12	19.14	19.17	19.25	19.26(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	30	14	36	0.56	47%	0	70.1	0.96%	0	1.3	70	0

21	Jul_13_2005	18.51	18.93	19.1	19.08	19.07	19.16	19.24(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	30	9	30	0.53	47%	0.05	61.4	0.97%	0	1.2	63	0
22	Jul_12_2005	18.5	18.89	19.09	19.06	18.99	19.08	19.12(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	20	0	41	0.25	47%	0	61.6	0.97%	0	0.9	67	0
23	Jul_11_2005	18.5	18.86	19.08	19.09	19.02	18.99	19.12(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-20	5	60	0.23	47%	0.05	66.4	0.97%	0	1	67	0
24	Jul_8_2005	18.49	18.82	19.05	19.08	19.04	18.91	18.96(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-50	-10	62	0.48	47%	0	75.5	0.96%	0	0.5	64	0
25	Jul_7_2005	18.49	18.8	19.03	19.1	19.08	19.04	18.94(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-20	-12	73	0.6	47%		81.2	0.96%	0	0.5	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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