Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 27, 2005

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $20.4600 (1.44%) ($20.2700 - $20.4800) on Wed. Jul. 27, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $20.4600(1.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(85%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.25(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.82(3.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.47(5.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.1%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.3%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.15%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2005	18.59	19.47	19.82	20.25	20.23	20.28	20.46(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	81	10	30	235	0.66	65%	0.05	73.4	0.85%	0	2	93	0
2	Jul_26_2005	18.58	19.4	19.7	20.07	20.13	20.19	20.17(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	30	25	202	0.46	62%	0.11	78.4	0.85%	0	1.8	78	0
3	Jul_25_2005	18.56	19.34	19.59	19.91	19.96	20.18	20.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	72	80	37	175	0.54	62%	0.05	78.3	0.85%	0	2.2	74	0
4	Jul_22_2005	18.55	19.27	19.48	19.72	19.74	20.06	20.2(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	72	120	49	142	0.71	62%	0.05	74.9	0.86%	0	2.6	77	0
5	Jul_21_2005	18.54	19.19	19.35	19.53	19.51	19.74	20.24(3.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	63	80	49	103	2.52	68%	0.11	74.1	0.86%	0	3.4	79	0

6	Jul_20_2005	18.52	19.12	19.21	19.33	19.33	19.42	19.53(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	30	17	48	0.34	56%	0	103	0.84%	0	2.2	67	0
7	Jul_19_2005	18.52	19.07	19.17	19.27	19.28	19.29	19.4(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	10	9	32	0.35	58%	0	93.3	0.88%	0	1.6	58	0
8	Jul_18_2005	18.52	19.03	19.15	19.22	19.25	19.25	19.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	0	3	28	0.16	56%	0	85.5	0.88%	0	0.9	61	0
9	Jul_15_2005	18.52	19	19.14	19.2	19.21	19.27	19.25(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	20	10	37	0.19	49%	0.05	81.9	0.88%	0	1.1	67	0
10	Jul_14_2005	18.51	18.96	19.12	19.14	19.17	19.25	19.26(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	30	14	36	0.56	47%	0	70.1	0.96%	0	1.3	70	0

11	Jul_13_2005	18.51	18.93	19.1	19.08	19.07	19.16	19.24(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	30	9	30	0.53	47%	0.05	61.4	0.97%	0	1.2	63	0
12	Jul_12_2005	18.5	18.89	19.09	19.06	18.99	19.08	19.12(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	20	0	41	0.25	47%	0	61.6	0.97%	0	0.9	67	0
13	Jul_11_2005	18.5	18.86	19.08	19.09	19.02	18.99	19.12(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-20	5	60	0.23	47%	0.05	66.4	0.97%	0	1	67	0
14	Jul_8_2005	18.49	18.82	19.05	19.08	19.04	18.91	18.96(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-50	-10	62	0.48	47%	0	75.5	0.96%	0	0.5	64	0
15	Jul_7_2005	18.49	18.8	19.03	19.1	19.08	19.04	18.94(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-20	-12	73	0.6	47%	0.05	81.2	0.96%	0	0.5	67	0

16	Jul_6_2005	18.48	18.77	19.02	19.1	19.13	19.17	19.17(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	4	99	0.38	50%	0	85.8	0.95%	0	1.4	76	0
17	Jul_5_2005	18.48	18.73	18.97	19.13	19.13	19.11	19.25(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-0	8	107	0.49	50%	0.05	87.7	0.95%	0	1.8	79	0
18	Jul_1_2005	18.47	18.68	18.9	19.07	19.11	19.08	19.1(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-0	6	103	0.21	50%	0	78.9	0.94%	0	1.4	76	0
19	Jun_30_2005	18.47	18.62	18.85	19.01	19.08	19.11	19.04(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	8	100	0.42	50%	0.05	75.3	0.93%	0	1.4	75	0
20	Jun_29_2005	18.46	18.57	18.8	18.95	19.02	19.13	19.07(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	50	12	91	0.25	47%	0	71.9	0.94%	0	1.6	78	0

21	Jun_28_2005	18.46	18.53	18.73	18.9	18.94	19.05	19.17(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	39	50	22	88	0.32	47%	0.05	74.5	0.96%	0	2.2	82	0
22	Jun_27_2005	18.45	18.48	18.66	18.79	18.87	18.91	18.96(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	29	30	15	72	0.32	44%	0.05	76.3	0.95%	0	1.9	82	0
23	Jun_24_2005	18.44	18.43	18.61	18.71	18.8	18.91	18.82(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	30	6	62	0.32	44%	0.05	74.4	0.95%	0	1.7	81	0
24	Jun_23_2005	18.43	18.39	18.57	18.67	18.74	18.84	18.71(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	50	12	73	0.57	44%	0.05	62.6	0.95%	0	1.3	85	0
25	Jun_22_2005	18.42	18.35	18.55	18.62	18.67	18.76	18.85(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	34	40	19	79	0.27	40%		54.2	0.95%	0	2.1	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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