Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 13, 2005

Trading Signals: FXI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 8, 2004 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares China Large-Cap)
FXI latest price $19.2400 (0.63%) ($19.1600 - $19.2600) on Wed. Jul. 13, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $19.2400(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FXI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FXI advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FXI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(88%)    VWO(85%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(70%)    EWG(67%)
Factors Impacting FXI price   FXI will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.08(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.1(0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.93(1.64%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FXI price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.25%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.34%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.96%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.44%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2005	18.51	18.93	19.1	19.08	19.07	19.16	19.24(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	30	9	30	0.53	47%	0.05	61.4	0.97%	0	1.2	63	NAN
2	Jul_12_2005	18.5	18.89	19.09	19.06	18.99	19.08	19.12(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	20	0	41	0.25	47%	0	61.6	0.97%	0	0.9	67	NAN
3	Jul_11_2005	18.5	18.86	19.08	19.09	19.02	18.99	19.12(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-20	5	60	0.23	47%	0.05	66.4	0.97%	0	1	67	NAN
4	Jul_8_2005	18.49	18.82	19.05	19.08	19.04	18.91	18.96(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-50	-10	62	0.48	47%	0	75.5	0.96%	0	0.5	64	NAN
5	Jul_7_2005	18.49	18.8	19.03	19.1	19.08	19.04	18.94(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-20	-12	73	0.6	47%	0.05	81.2	0.96%	0	0.5	67	NAN

6	Jul_6_2005	18.48	18.77	19.02	19.1	19.13	19.17	19.17(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	4	99	0.38	50%	0	85.8	0.95%	0	1.4	76	NAN
7	Jul_5_2005	18.48	18.73	18.97	19.13	19.13	19.11	19.25(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-0	8	107	0.49	50%	0.05	87.7	0.95%	0	1.8	79	NAN
8	Jul_1_2005	18.47	18.68	18.9	19.07	19.11	19.08	19.1(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-0	6	103	0.21	50%	0	78.9	0.94%	0	1.4	76	NAN
9	Jun_30_2005	18.47	18.62	18.85	19.01	19.08	19.11	19.04(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	8	100	0.42	50%	0.05	75.3	0.93%	0	1.4	75	NAN
10	Jun_29_2005	18.46	18.57	18.8	18.95	19.02	19.13	19.07(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	50	12	91	0.25	47%	0	71.9	0.94%	0	1.6	78	NAN

11	Jun_28_2005	18.46	18.53	18.73	18.9	18.94	19.05	19.17(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	39	50	22	88	0.32	47%	0.05	74.5	0.96%	0	2.2	82	NAN
12	Jun_27_2005	18.45	18.48	18.66	18.79	18.87	18.91	18.96(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	29	30	15	72	0.32	44%	0.05	76.3	0.95%	0	1.9	82	NAN
13	Jun_24_2005	18.44	18.43	18.61	18.71	18.8	18.91	18.82(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	30	6	62	0.32	44%	0.05	74.4	0.95%	0	1.7	81	NAN
14	Jun_23_2005	18.43	18.39	18.57	18.67	18.74	18.84	18.71(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	50	12	73	0.57	44%	0.05	62.6	0.95%	0	1.3	85	NAN
15	Jun_22_2005	18.42	18.35	18.55	18.62	18.67	18.76	18.85(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	34	40	19	79	0.27	40%	0.05	54.2	0.95%	0	2.1	88	NAN

16	Jun_21_2005	18.41	18.31	18.5	18.54	18.57	18.64	18.6(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	30	8	67	0.12	37%	0	51.7	0.98%	0	1.3	73	NAN
17	Jun_20_2005	18.41	18.29	18.47	18.51	18.51	18.58	18.59(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	30	8	66	0.29	37%	0.05	48.7	0.98%	0	1.4	69	NAN
18	Jun_17_2005	18.4	18.27	18.43	18.49	18.47	18.5	18.6(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	10	5	64	0.22	41%	0.05	49.5	0.98%	0	1.7	72	NAN
19	Jun_16_2005	18.39	18.24	18.38	18.47	18.45	18.45	18.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-0	1	60	0.41	41%	0.05	52.5	1%	0	1.2	74	NAN
20	Jun_15_2005	18.38	18.22	18.34	18.47	18.46	18.44	18.46(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10	-1	63	0.28	39%	0	40.4	1%	0	1.3	76	NAN

21	Jun_14_2005	18.38	18.2	18.31	18.46	18.45	18.46	18.47(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	0	4	67	0.41	39%	0.11	29.3	1.02%	0	1.5	66	NAN
22	Jun_13_2005	18.36	18.19	18.28	18.42	18.46	18.47	18.47(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	7	65	0.44	39%	0.05	14	1.02%	0	1.6	62	NAN
23	Jun_10_2005	18.35	18.17	18.25	18.37	18.42	18.47	18.48(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	20	13	59	0.63	39%	0	-7.2	1.02%	0	2.1	60	NAN
24	Jun_9_2005	18.35	18.17	18.2	18.27	18.34	18.45	18.42(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	50	13	36	0.22	39%	0.05	-43.1	1.03%	0	2.1	58	NAN
25	Jun_8_2005	18.34	18.15	18.15	18.2	18.24	18.39	18.44(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	60	17	21	0.61	39%		-57.1	1.03%	0	2.1	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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