Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(First Solar, Inc.)
FSLR latest price $47.3000 (-2.73%) ($47.0700 - $48.8900) on Thu. Aug. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $47.3000(-2.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FSLR advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FSLR advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FSLR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(65%)    TAN(61%)    IWO(50%)    IWM(47%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting FSLR price   FSLR will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.75(-2.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.05(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.85(5.46%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   39.5%
Market Cap   $5.012b

First Solar, Inc. engages in designing, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of photovoltaic solar power systems and solar modules. It operates through the Modules and Systems segments. The Modules segment involves in the design, manufacture, and sale of cadmium telluride solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. The Systems segment offers development, construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic solar power systems. The company was founded by Michael J. Ahearn in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.

$. FSLR price fluctuates within 7.36% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.54%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.59%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 3.37%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -5.67%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.99%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.6%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2017	35.73	44.85	47.05	48.75	48.81	48.29	47.3(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-70	-10	115	2.19	83%	0.42	74.6	2.55%	0	0.7	69	INF
2	Aug_2_2017	35.58	44.43	46.95	48.25	48.98	49.13	48.63(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	70	14	121	2.79	86%	0.48	65.7	2.88%	0	1.2	78	INF
3	Aug_1_2017	35.41	43.96	46.64	47.62	48.17	49.33	49.65(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	200	32	131	2.43	86%	0.48	60.8	2.87%	0	1.7	81	INF
4	Jul_31_2017	35.24	43.46	46.07	46.78	47.16	48.83	49.31(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	75	270	53	139	3.83	86%	0.48	57.1	2.89%	0	1.9	84	INF
5	Jul_28_2017	35.07	42.97	45.4	45.91	46.3	47.02	48.87(9.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	68	130	47	131	9.31	86%	0.49	53.8	2.89%	0	2	84	INF

6	Jul_27_2017	34.9	42.51	44.79	45.17	45.38	45.5	44.81(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	30	-7	116	4.29	84%	0.35	55.5	2.7%	0	0.9	79	INF
7	Jul_26_2017	34.78	42.29	44.49	45.46	45.46	45.58	45.44(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	20	4	149	1.69	85%	0.38	66.3	2.68%	0	1.2	85	INF
8	Jul_25_2017	34.65	42.02	44.14	45.51	45.52	45.27	45.46(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	44	-40	3	166	2.09	85%	0.38	78.8	2.74%	0	1.4	81	INF
9	Jul_24_2017	34.52	41.74	43.6	45.22	45.55	45.34	44.98(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10	4	162	1.81	85%	0.29	87.7	2.74%	0	1.4	72	INF
10	Jul_21_2017	34.42	41.47	43.08	44.77	45.17	45.34	45.15(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	120	15	155	2.19	85%	0.29	95.1	2.74%	0	1.6	73	INF

11	Jul_20_2017	34.32	41.12	42.51	44.32	44.46	45.77	46.27(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	220	48	158	3.23	85%	0.35	100	2.71%	0	2.4	77	INF
12	Jul_19_2017	34.2	40.66	41.74	43.38	43.57	44.56	45.67(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	69	170	51	124	4.85	85%	0.26	99.6	2.71%	0	2.5	72	INF
13	Jul_18_2017	34.11	40.15	41.05	42.6	42.55	43.15	44.02(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	100	32	89	2.87	84%	0.21	89.6	2.7%	0	2	70	INF
14	Jul_17_2017	34.04	39.76	40.63	41.76	41.93	42.59	42.72(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	120	32	64	2.74	84%	0.15	80	2.7%	0	1.6	65	INF
15	Jul_14_2017	33.99	39.42	40.33	41.12	41.14	41.96	42.94(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	140	34	47	2.93	84%	0.18	67.1	2.7%	0	1.9	68	INF

16	Jul_13_2017	33.93	39.06	40.01	40.41	40.41	41.28	41.53(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	150	35	34	2.05	83%	0.24	52.2	2.7%	0	1.3	70	INF
17	Jul_12_2017	33.85	38.79	39.88	39.84	39.8	40.33	41.79(4.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	31	90	31	31	3.3	83%	0.15	41.9	2.71%	0	1.6	77	INF
18	Jul_11_2017	33.8	38.52	39.68	39.29	39.25	39.54	39.81(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	10	50	4	27	1.23	81%	0.18	32.8	2.66%	0	0.7	78	INF
19	Jul_10_2017	33.74	38.35	39.71	39.34	39.27	39.28	39.54(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-0	2	49	1.07	82%	0.15	30.3	2.66%	0	0.7	69	INF
20	Jul_7_2017	33.69	38.21	39.74	39.41	39.45	38.97	39.4(1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-80	-11	68	1.14	82%	0.15	27.3	2.7%	0	0.7	71	INF

21	Jul_6_2017	33.64	38.12	39.66	39.55	39.68	39.27	38.67(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-60	-23	84	1.48	82%	0.12	28.6	2.7%	0	0.3	69	INF
22	Jul_5_2017	33.6	38.03	39.55	39.91	39.99	39.94	39.04(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-0	-9	111	1.57	82%	0.18	30.8	2.69%	0	0.6	67	INF
23	Jul_3_2017	33.54	37.95	39.24	40.11	40.17	40.09	40.07(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10	1	122	1.05	79%	0.21	29.9	2.65%	0	1.2	71	INF
24	Jun_30_2017	33.47	37.82	38.88	40.13	40.1	40.04	39.88(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10	-4	123	1.3	79%	0.24	34.1	2.67%	0	1.3	71	INF
25	Jun_29_2017	33.39	37.73	38.49	40.11	40.13	40.26	40.08(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	20	11	127	2.02	79%		36.3	2.69%	0	1.5	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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