Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FSLR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(First Solar, Inc.)
FSLR latest price $61.9400 (0.36%) ($61.6600 - $62.6900) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.9% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $61.9400(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FSLR advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FSLR declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FSLR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(63%)    TAN(61%)    IWO(48%)    IWM(46%)    IWC(44%)
Factors Impacting FSLR price   FSLR will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $63.4
5 Day Moving Average   $60.83(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.74(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.4(-2.3%)
To recent high   -15.4%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $6.563b

First Solar, Inc. engages in designing, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of photovoltaic solar power systems and solar modules. It operates through the Modules and Systems segments. The Modules segment involves in the design, manufacture, and sale of cadmium telluride solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. The Systems segment offers development, construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic solar power systems. The company was founded by Michael J. Ahearn in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.

$. FSLR price fluctuates within 5.65% (three month std-dev: 2.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.88%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 10.85%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -6.54%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.72%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.46%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	65.26	63.4	60.74	60.83	60.94	61.61	61.94(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	80	20	-43	1.48	50%	0.05	-68.1	2.9%	0	-0.4	29	0
2	Apr_20_2016	65.23	63.7	60.65	60.52	60.45	60.94	61.72(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	50	12	-73	1.9	50%	0.06	-73.1	2.93%	0	-0.5	26	0
3	Apr_19_2016	65.19	64.15	60.72	60.51	60.4	60.28	60.52(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	-20	3	-96	1.28	50%	0.06	-68.2	2.92%	0	-0.9	20	0
4	Apr_18_2016	65.15	64.68	60.89	60.47	60.67	59.95	60.36(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-70	-10	-123	1.21	50%	0.06	-66	2.92%	0	-1	19	0
5	Apr_15_2016	65.11	65.27	61.53	60.39	60.74	60.52	59.59(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-46	-10	-18	-131	1.69	50%	-0.09	-62.7	2.94%	0	-1.3	20	0

6	Apr_14_2016	65.17	65.94	62.28	60.6	60.84	61.38	60.42(-2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-27	70	5	-123	1.8	50%	0.08	-57.3	2.93%	0	-1.3	21	0
7	Apr_13_2016	65.12	66.53	63.05	60.77	60.9	60.96	61.65(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	10	9	-119	2.62	46%	0.08	-53.9	2.92%	0	-1.1	25	0
8	Apr_12_2016	65.07	66.99	63.75	60.99	60.92	60.3	60.34(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-70	-20	-131	1.49	46%	0.09	-50.4	3%	0	-1.6	13	0
9	Apr_11_2016	65.01	67.54	64.63	61.41	61.55	60.85	59.96(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-61	-70	-36	-137	2.36	46%	0.09	-49.5	3%	0	-1.9	11	0
10	Apr_8_2016	64.95	68.09	65.5	62.86	62.43	61.53	60.63(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-64	-120	-42	-128	2.15	46%	0.12	-43.8	3%	0	-2	11	0

11	Apr_7_2016	64.87	68.56	66.32	64.23	64.04	62.25	61.26(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-66	-200	-47	-122	2.43	44%	0.11	-39.6	3%	0	-2.3	11	0
12	Apr_6_2016	64.8	68.97	67.06	65.67	65.5	63.33	62.76(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-81	-240	-69	-118	3.19	42%	0.17	-33.8	3.04%	0	-2.3	19	0
13	Apr_5_2016	64.69	69.22	67.93	66.92	67.03	65.83	62.42(-7.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-65	-120	-56	-93	4.83	47%	0.14	-29	3.07%	0	-2.9	26	0
14	Apr_4_2016	64.6	69.6	68.84	68.29	68.41	67.66	67.24(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-70	-14	-54	1.58	50%	0.23	-24.5	3.11%	0	-1.3	35	0
15	Apr_1_2016	64.45	69.73	69.35	68.52	68.68	68.23	67.48(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-40	-19	-49	1.79	50%	0.22	-24.3	3.11%	0	-1.3	40	0

16	Mar_31_2016	64.31	69.85	69.91	68.72	68.88	69.16	68.47(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	40	3	-28	1.39	50%	0.23	-29.4	3.13%	0	-0.9	49	0
17	Mar_30_2016	64.16	69.9	70.26	68.67	68.67	69.12	68.97(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	50	4	-20	1.27	50%	0.2	-31.8	3.13%	0	-0.6	55	0
18	Mar_29_2016	64.03	69.91	70.46	69.14	68.72	68.59	69.3(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-30	-3	-7	1.26	50%	0.19	-3.1	3.13%	0	-0.4	63	0
19	Mar_28_2016	63.91	70.03	70.63	69.52	69.27	68.21	68.4(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-120	-26	-6	1.34	50%	0.24	24.8	3.13%	0	-1	49	0
20	Mar_24_2016	63.76	70.13	70.85	70.33	70.1	68.85	68.46(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-34	-130	-45	1	1.51	50%	0.16	61	3.13%	0	-1	48	0

21	Mar_23_2016	63.66	70.32	70.98	71.28	71.39	70.33	68.23(-4.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-17	-100	-30	21	1.93	50%	0.16	106.8	3.14%	0	-1.3	47	0
22	Mar_22_2016	63.56	70.4	71.06	72.05	72.13	71.35	71.29(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-70	-18	38	1.37	53%	0.22	93.1	3.09%	0	0.4	59	0
23	Mar_21_2016	63.42	69.96	70.66	71.95	72.24	72.45	71.24(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	30	-4	37	1.6	55%	0.24	81.1	3.1%	0	0.5	60	0
24	Mar_18_2016	63.27	69.63	70.46	71.88	71.91	72.91	72.44(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	100	24	41	2.28	55%	0.35	76.9	3.12%	0	0.9	50	0
25	Mar_17_2016	63.05	69.17	70.15	71.45	71.26	72.03	73.21(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	70	32	37	1.64	55%		72.5	3.12%	0	1.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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