Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(First Solar, Inc.)
FSLR latest price $69.0200 (-3.97%) ($68.3700 - $71.4100) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $69.0200(-3.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FSLR advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FSLR advances 6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FSLR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(63%)    TAN(60%)    IWO(47%)    IWM(45%)    IWC(44%)
Factors Impacting FSLR price   FSLR will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.57(-2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.06(2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.79(4.91%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   27%
Market Cap   $7.313b

First Solar, Inc. engages in designing, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of photovoltaic solar power systems and solar modules. It operates through the Modules and Systems segments. The Modules segment involves in the design, manufacture, and sale of cadmium telluride solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. The Systems segment offers development, construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic solar power systems. The company was founded by Michael J. Ahearn in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.

$. FSLR price fluctuates within 5.03% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.59%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.07%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.65%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.83%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2016	61.65	65.79	67.06	70.57	70.9	70.76	69.02(-3.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	0	9	107	3.35	57%	0.15	30.8	3.55%	0	1	54	INF
2	Feb_29_2016	61.56	65.75	66.47	69.12	70.14	71.45	71.87(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	180	37	97	3.4	59%	0.2	25.4	3.49%	0	1.8	62	INF
3	Feb_26_2016	61.44	65.54	65.37	67.59	67.98	71.05	70.25(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	330	60	75	3.54	59%	0.16	16.8	3.49%	0	1.5	58	INF
4	Feb_25_2016	61.34	65.3	64.46	66.1	66.17	68.82	72.25(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	80	280	89	51	5.11	59%	0.21	7.7	3.49%	0	2.4	57	INF
5	Feb_24_2016	61.21	64.92	63.58	64.35	64.18	64.92	69.45(12.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	28	70	38	-1	7.96	58%	0.16	-3	3.46%	0	1.9	54	INF

6	Feb_23_2016	61.11	64.78	63.18	63.16	63.38	63.53	61.79(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	30	-2	-38	3.26	52%	0.02	-6	3.11%	0	-1.3	39	INF
7	Feb_22_2016	61.1	64.92	63.42	63.41	63.51	63.44	64.23(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-0	14	-42	2.37	54%	0.07	2.7	3.06%	0	-0.3	37	INF
8	Feb_19_2016	61.06	65.03	63.48	62.76	63.09	63.24	62.76(-1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	30	1	-69	1.72	54%	0.03	3.9	3.06%	0	-1	34	INF
9	Feb_18_2016	61.04	65.08	63.9	62.48	62.68	63.59	63.54(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	110	13	-66	1.8	54%	0.05	4.5	3.06%	0	-0.7	45	INF
10	Feb_17_2016	61.01	64.99	64.17	62.66	62.27	62.94	63.47(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	60	10	-63	2.21	54%	0.07	-1.4	3.07%	0	-0.7	46	INF

11	Feb_16_2016	60.97	64.92	64.43	63.26	62.58	61.77	63.05(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-120	-5	-64	1.65	54%	0.03	-1.6	3.09%	0	-0.8	41	INF
12	Feb_12_2016	60.95	64.86	65.01	63.48	63.14	61.59	60.99(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-190	-45	-64	2.94	53%	0	-6.8	3.08%	0	-1.6	46	INF
13	Feb_11_2016	60.95	64.94	65.79	64.3	63.86	63.39	61.36(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-70	-42	-44	3.05	53%	0.02	-5.6	3.08%	0	-1.5	42	INF
14	Feb_10_2016	60.94	64.98	66.3	65.47	64.79	64.69	64.41(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-40	-4	-4	2.39	53%	0.08	-7.2	3.03%	0	-0.2	55	INF
15	Feb_9_2016	60.89	65.02	66.46	65.88	65.39	64.33	66.48(3.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-6	-140	-12	12	2.39	55%	0.13	-15.2	3.05%	0	0.6	63	INF

16	Feb_8_2016	60.81	64.96	66.54	65.81	65.75	64.9	64.18(-1.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-29	-90	-43	15	2.13	53%	0.07	-18.7	3.04%	0	-0.3	59	INF
17	Feb_5_2016	60.77	65.03	66.59	66.8	66.55	66.46	65.07(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-20	-16	52	1.66	53%	0.1	-8.4	3.04%	0	0	61	INF
18	Feb_4_2016	60.71	65.08	66.74	67.52	67.19	66.6	67.2(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-80	1	86	1.67	55%	0.16	-1.6	3.02%	0	0.9	65	INF
19	Feb_3_2016	60.61	65.16	66.38	67.26	67.25	66.65	66.49(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-60	-17	83	1.76	55%	0.13	1	3.01%	0	0.5	65	INF
20	Feb_2_2016	60.53	65.39	65.9	67.09	67.23	67.78	66.13(-4.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	60	-2	77	1.97	55%	0.15	7.7	3.01%	0	0.2	52	INF

21	Feb_1_2016	60.44	65.41	65.48	67.34	67.04	67.85	69.13(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	70	36	88	1.96	58%	0.22	9.9	2.96%	0	1.2	57	INF
22	Jan_29_2016	60.31	65.23	64.69	66.34	66.45	66.68	68.66(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	30	15	46	2.33	64%	0.22	0.2	3.3%	0	1.2	56	INF
23	Jan_28_2016	60.18	65.12	63.98	65.9	65.96	66.23	65.88(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	11	30	6	25	2.23	64%	0.15	-0.9	3.26%	0	0.3	48	INF
24	Jan_27_2016	60.09	65.13	63.53	65.37	65.86	66.22	65.64(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	60	25	3	1.89	62%	0.15	-5	3.29%	0	0.2	40	INF
25	Jan_26_2016	60	65.16	63.44	64.5	64.88	65.68	67.4(5.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	100	27	-27	1.92	62%		-8.9	3.29%	0	0.8	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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