Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: FSLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(First Solar, Inc.)
FSLR latest price $72.0300 (7.96%) ($70.1100 - $72.1200) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.26% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $72.0300(7.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FSLR advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FSLR advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FSLR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(63%)    TAN(60%)    IWO(48%)    IWM(46%)    IVW(41%)
Factors Impacting FSLR price   FSLR will decline at least -1.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.63% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.63(6.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.91(7.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.59(13.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   46.5%
Market Cap   $7.632b

First Solar, Inc. engages in designing, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of photovoltaic solar power systems and solar modules. It operates through the Modules and Systems segments. The Modules segment involves in the design, manufacture, and sale of cadmium telluride solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. The Systems segment offers development, construction, operation, and maintenance of photovoltaic solar power systems. The company was founded by Michael J. Ahearn in 1999 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.

$. FSLR price fluctuates within 7.05% (three month std-dev: 3.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 3.1%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.31%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 7.04%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -5.8%(25%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 10.08%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.79%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2016	58.77	63.59	66.91	67.63	67.44	68.39	72.03(7.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	69	90	59	97	6.39	74%	0.46	52.6	3.26%	0	1.9	81	0
2	Jan_4_2016	58.5	62.95	66.02	66.5	66.23	65.98	66.72(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-40	-10	79	2.13	70%	0.31	54.5	3.13%	0	0.9	81	0
3	Dec_31_2015	58.32	62.58	65.8	66.54	66.39	65.98	65.99(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	0	-1	114	1.52	70%	0.29	60.2	3.16%	0	0.9	81	0
4	Dec_30_2015	58.15	62.26	65.76	66.58	66.5	66.49	66.99(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-0	9	141	1.34	70%	0.33	66.4	3.18%	0	1.2	67	0
5	Dec_29_2015	57.96	61.81	65.09	66.18	66.32	66.29	66.41(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	0	1	136	1.05	70%	0.33	69.6	3.21%	0	1.2	65	0

6	Dec_28_2015	57.77	61.32	64.34	66.04	65.96	66.51	66.4(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	50	10	137	1.03	70%	0.35	72.3	3.25%	0	1.3	65	0
7	Dec_24_2015	57.57	60.8	63.29	65.45	65.73	66.35	66.92(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	80	25	123	0.92	70%	0.4	72.7	3.28%	0	1.6	64	0
8	Dec_23_2015	57.34	60.26	62.07	64.96	65.02	65.42	66.17(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	50	7	96	1.33	70%	0.37	76.7	3.32%	0	1.6	64	0
9	Dec_22_2015	57.13	59.74	61.31	64.85	64.9	65.11	64.99(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	20	17	97	1.87	70%	0.35	85.6	3.35%	0	1.5	62	0
10	Dec_21_2015	56.93	59.23	60.69	63.82	64.84	64.62	65.74(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	20	26	87	2.78	70%	0.41	80.9	3.38%	0	1.9	66	0

11	Dec_18_2015	56.7	58.65	60	62.35	63.35	64.69	63.41(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	200	26	71	3.31	68%	0.3	75.9	3.39%	0	1.5	66	0
12	Dec_17_2015	56.53	58.14	59.6	60.72	61.59	65.07	64.48(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	86	440	88	79	3.33	68%	0.39	60.6	3.42%	0	2	70	0
13	Dec_16_2015	56.31	57.6	59.04	58.69	58.94	62.01	65.62(9.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	84	380	93	56	7.21	68%	0.46	44.6	3.44%	0	2.8	71	0
14	Dec_15_2015	56.05	56.93	58.36	57.34	56.3	58.11	59.83(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	170	36	21	4.59	59%	0.18	31.9	3.14%	0	1.2	63	0
15	Dec_14_2015	55.95	56.65	58.18	57.19	56.39	55.88	58.41(5.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-110	16	20	3.44	59%	0.14	22.4	3.17%	0	0.8	64	0

16	Dec_11_2015	55.87	56.37	58	57.37	56.77	54.49	55.26(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-45	-310	-60	1	3.21	51%	-0.04	10.7	3.08%	0	-0.5	58	0
17	Dec_10_2015	55.89	56.32	58.14	58.29	57.83	56.9	54.35(-7.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-37	-140	-58	28	7.52	51%	-0.09	13.1	3.12%	0	-0.8	60	0
18	Dec_9_2015	55.94	56.36	58.41	59.31	59.14	59.05	58.85(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-20	2	90	3.19	68%	0.16	17.8	2.82%	0	1	78	0
19	Dec_8_2015	55.85	56.2	58.16	59.47	59.23	58.77	59.07(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-70	-7	103	2.75	68%	0.2	15.7	2.86%	0	1.2	82	0
20	Dec_7_2015	55.74	56.14	57.76	59.29	59.37	59.23	59.32(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10	3	107	1.85	68%	0.22	15	2.9%	0	1.4	72	0

21	Dec_4_2015	55.62	56.12	57.28	58.73	58.95	59.7	59.84(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	100	19	109	1.54	68%	0.27	13.1	2.94%	0	1.6	78	0
22	Dec_3_2015	55.47	56.01	56.63	57.98	58.24	59.52	59.46(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	170	39	101	2.7	68%	0.27	19.4	2.99%	0	1.5	69	0
23	Dec_2_2015	55.32	55.93	56.07	57.37	57.22	58.21	59.67(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	110	35	84	3.72	68%	0.31	28.3	3.05%	0	1.7	65	0
24	Dec_1_2015	55.15	55.83	55.36	56.67	56.56	56.95	58.18(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	40	24	57	1.61	68%	0.22	40.4	3.08%	0	1.1	56	0
25	Nov_30_2015	55.03	55.79	54.94	56.01	56.05	56.22	56.51(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	10	25	1.47	68%		48.3	3.11%	0	0.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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