Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 31, 2017

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $48.2000 (3.77%) ($46.1500 - $48.3000) on Thu. Aug. 31, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.59% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $48.2000(3.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(35%)    IBB(29%)    IWO(27%)    VT(27%)    XLV(27%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -3.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    UNG(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.295% (StdDev 6.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.16(6.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.5(10.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.37(13.76%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   83.3%
Market Cap   $4.349b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 9.16% (three month std-dev: 6.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 5.95%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.86%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.97%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -5.14%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.89%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.87%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2017	32.53	42.37	43.5	45.16	45.02	46.48	48.2(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	220	25	50	0.86	72%	0.74	72.6	6.59%	0	1.5	71	0
2	Aug_30_2017	32.29	41.7	42.75	44.12	43.94	44.75	46.45(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	120	20	36	0.81	69%	0.69	66.5	6.58%	0	1.2	69	0
3	Aug_29_2017	32.07	41.13	42.15	43.07	43.06	43.56	44.85(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	80	11	15	0.86	69%	0.63	56.2	6.62%	0	0.9	53	0
4	Aug_28_2017	31.87	40.59	41.77	42.38	42.4	43.14	43.5(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	120	10	-10	0.53	69%	0.57	48.5	6.67%	0	0.7	33	0
5	Aug_25_2017	31.69	40.14	41.78	41.93	41.86	42.56	42.8(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	110	11	5	0.99	69%	0.51	43	6.67%	0	0.6	71	0

6	Aug_24_2017	31.53	39.73	41.65	41.57	41.38	41.67	43(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	40	8	13	0.83	69%	0.67	38.9	6.67%	0	0.8	67	0
7	Aug_23_2017	31.32	39.27	41.45	41.17	41.06	41.16	41.2(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	10	1	18	0.5	69%	0.55	35	6.65%	0	0.4	66	0
8	Aug_22_2017	31.15	38.99	41.68	41.08	41	41.1	41.4(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	10	1	35	1.07	69%	0.58	35.4	6.65%	0	0.6	66	0
9	Aug_21_2017	30.97	38.69	42.42	41.06	41.12	40.95	41.25(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-20	-5	67	0.64	69%	0.55	36.3	6.65%	0	0.6	67	0
10	Aug_18_2017	30.8	38.4	41.74	41.62	41.47	40.91	41(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-110	-7	75	1.35	69%	0.56	41.1	6.66%	0	0.6	66	0

11	Aug_17_2017	30.63	38.1	41.21	41.75	42.09	41.3	41(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-110	-7	82	1.57	66%	0.53	44.2	6.66%	0	0.7	66	0
12	Aug_16_2017	30.47	37.81	40.65	41.77	42.33	42.03	40.75(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-11	86	3.95	66%	0.53	47	6.7%	0	0.7	67	0
13	Aug_15_2017	30.31	37.5	40.12	42.35	42.47	42.88	41.3(-6.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	80	-14	96	1.26	66%	0.53	53.5	6.69%	0	0.9	63	0
14	Aug_14_2017	30.15	37.16	39.41	43.99	43.47	42.63	44.05(5.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	43	-170	12	135	1.25	66%	0.63	68.9	6.63%	0	1.6	67	0
15	Aug_11_2017	29.96	36.68	38.42	41.86	45.13	42.06	41.65(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-240	2	99	1.01	66%	0.57	60.3	6.61%	0	1.2	65	0

16	Aug_10_2017	29.79	36.26	37.67	40.53	43.15	44.3	41.1(-5.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	380	-11	74	1.23	66%	0.57	52.5	6.62%	0	1.3	65	0
17	Aug_9_2017	29.62	35.86	36.93	39.25	41.33	48.19	43.65(-11.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	78	1320	74	88	2.43	66%	0.71	45.5	6.58%	0	2.1	68	0
18	Aug_8_2017	29.41	35.32	36.04	37.51	38.39	42.01	49.5(48.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.6	99	730	106	79	9.38	73%	0.86	35.2	6.38%	0	4.3	79	0
19	Aug_7_2017	29.16	34.44	34.45	34.37	34.51	34.47	33.4(-4.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	0	-9	-27	1.53	52%	0.28	36.1	2.38%	0	-1.3	44	0
20	Aug_4_2017	29.08	34.41	34.67	34.52	34.43	34.78	35(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	60	11	-10	0.24	56%	0.35	42.9	2.31%	0	0.7	50	0

21	Aug_3_2017	28.98	34.34	34.66	34.37	34.29	34.54	34.7(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	40	17	-5	0.42	56%	0.35	45.8	2.31%	0	0.4	59	0
22	Aug_2_2017	28.88	34.25	34.71	34.17	34.11	34.09	34.95(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-4	-10	-2	-9	0.39	56%	0.35	43.7	2.32%	0	0.8	60	0
23	Aug_1_2017	28.78	34.19	34.68	34.28	34.17	34.03	33.8(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-40	-15	-1	0.37	53%	0.24	61.4	2.28%	0	-0.4	56	0
24	Jul_31_2017	28.71	34.15	34.77	34.56	34.59	34.13	34.15(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-90	-14	20	0.18	53%	0.31	67.3	2.3%	0	0	58	0
25	Jul_28_2017	28.62	34.06	34.87	34.84	34.86	34.31	34.25(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-110	-23	46	0.2	53%		71	2.31%	0	0.2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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