Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $32.3500 (2.37%) ($31.0200 - $32.5000) on Thu. Jun. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.91% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $32.3500(2.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(34%)    IBB(28%)    IWO(26%)    VT(26%)    XLV(26%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -1.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    UNG(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.455% (StdDev 2.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.7(5.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.9(8.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.87(12.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   41%
Market Cap   $2.919b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 5.4% (three month std-dev: 2.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 3.34%(29%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(71%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 3.5%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -3.35%(58%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 5.95%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.28%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2017	26.3	28.87	29.9	30.7	30.71	31.45	32.35(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	50	170	36	91	0.8	72%	0.38	64.3	2.91%	0	2.2	78	INF
2	Jun_21_2017	26.2	28.61	29.56	30.1	30.03	30.58	31.6(4.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	37	120	25	71	0.54	64%	0.38	63.4	3.06%	0	2.2	77	INF
3	Jun_20_2017	26.1	28.36	29.25	29.63	29.52	29.98	30.15(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	100	14	63	0.56	62%	0.31	56.7	3.18%	0	1.5	78	INF
4	Jun_19_2017	26.02	28.19	29.13	29.45	29.27	29.48	29.6(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	30	15	78	0.77	62%	0.23	48.7	3.18%	0	1.2	79	INF
5	Jun_16_2017	25.96	28.04	29.04	29.15	29	29.07	29.8(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	0	6	75	0.82	62%	0.27	39.9	3.17%	0	1.5	65	INF

6	Jun_15_2017	25.89	27.91	28.83	28.97	28.82	29.06	29.35(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	40	3	72	0.37	62%	0.23	40.7	3.17%	0	1.3	64	INF
7	Jun_14_2017	25.83	27.77	28.66	28.93	28.83	28.94	29.25(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	26	20	9	77	0.37	58%	0.19	38.5	3.17%	0	1.4	62	INF
8	Jun_13_2017	25.78	27.7	28.39	28.81	28.78	28.58	29.25(4.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	16	-50	-1	66	0.3	58%	0.23	38.4	3.22%	0	1.5	64	INF
9	Jun_12_2017	25.72	27.62	28.05	28.77	28.8	28.72	28.1(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-20	-8	59	0.39	55%	0.08	43.5	3.19%	0	0.5	61	INF
10	Jun_9_2017	25.7	27.59	27.97	28.89	28.91	28.98	28.9(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	20	9	76	0.58	55%	0.16	45.1	3.17%	0	1.4	65	INF

11	Jun_8_2017	25.66	27.47	27.79	28.66	28.7	28.88	29.15(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	50	11	69	0.3	58%	0.2	30.8	3.17%	0	1.9	62	INF
12	Jun_7_2017	25.61	27.37	27.59	28.35	28.38	28.84	28.65(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	120	20	64	0.29	55%	0.2	16.6	3.21%	0	1.6	63	INF
13	Jun_6_2017	25.56	27.32	27.41	27.88	27.9	28.52	29.05(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	160	31	44	0.54	52%	0.12	-6.5	3.26%	0	2.3	54	INF
14	Jun_5_2017	25.53	27.22	27.15	27.22	27.18	27.91	28.7(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	17	180	20	7	0.81	52%	0.16	-45.6	3.3%	0	2.3	53	INF
15	Jun_2_2017	25.49	27.17	26.94	26.93	26.78	27.29	27.75(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	120	16	-10	0.45	53%	0.12	-64.1	3.33%	0	1	52	INF

16	Jun_1_2017	25.46	27.2	26.88	26.81	26.68	26.46	27.6(4.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-70	3	-16	0.49	53%	0.16	-63.4	3.34%	0	0.6	57	INF
17	May_31_2017	25.42	27.23	26.78	26.75	26.79	26.27	26.3(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-130	-15	-30	0.77	50%	0.08	-56.9	3.29%	0	-1.3	45	INF
18	May_30_2017	25.4	27.37	26.95	26.87	27.05	26.91	25.75(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-13	-20	-10	-22	0.49	50%	0.16	-42.7	3.34%	0	-2.2	38	INF
19	May_26_2017	25.36	27.52	27.17	27.04	27.1	27.3	27.25(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	60	5	-7	0.27	58%	0.2	-25.9	3.29%	0	-0.4	50	INF
20	May_25_2017	25.31	27.56	27.19	26.94	26.93	27.2	27.15(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	70	5	-14	0.2	58%	0.16	-17.3	3.31%	0	-0.6	44	INF

21	May_24_2017	25.27	27.6	27.19	26.96	26.88	26.9	27.3(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-0	7	-23	0.28	58%	0.24	-5.6	3.34%	0	-0.4	42	INF
22	May_23_2017	25.21	27.63	27.14	26.84	26.87	26.65	26.9(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-50	-8	-41	0.3	58%	0.08	3.2	3.34%	0	-1.1	38	INF
23	May_22_2017	25.19	27.69	27.22	27.06	26.94	26.85	26.6(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-40	-12	-43	0.32	58%	0.2	29.3	3.34%	0	-1.5	33	INF
24	May_19_2017	25.14	27.7	27.3	27.32	27.21	27.08	26.75(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-50	-3	-39	0.3	58%	0.2	44.2	3.33%	0	-1.3	37	INF
25	May_18_2017	25.09	27.68	27.43	27.46	27.35	27.02	27.25(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-100	-2	-34	0.32	58%		52.6	3.34%	0	-0.5	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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