Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $22.1600 (0.05%) ($21.8800 - $22.3700) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.93% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $22.1600(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 8.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(37%)    IBB(31%)    IWO(28%)    XLV(27%)    IWC(26%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -1.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.465% (StdDev 2.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.81(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.66(7.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.47(13.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   49.2%
Market Cap   $1.999b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 8.27% (three month std-dev: 2.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 3.01%(41%) Average negative next day return: -2.35%(59%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 4.56%(27%) Average negative next three day return: -3.6%(73%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 5.56%(41%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.64%(59%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	18.11	19.47	20.66	21.81	21.82	22.01	22.16(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	60	60	21	178	0.32	67%	0.33	59.3	2.93%	0	1.7	78	INF
2	Sep_22_2016	18.05	19.23	20.28	21.39	21.48	21.77	22.15(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	110	21	167	0.33	67%	0.33	52.5	2.96%	0	1.9	80	INF
3	Sep_21_2016	17.99	19.02	19.98	20.96	21.03	21.63	21.83(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	65	210	30	169	0.39	67%	0.28	48.2	2.97%	0	2.1	80	INF
4	Sep_20_2016	17.94	18.86	19.71	20.42	20.54	21.2	21.59(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	71	240	41	160	0.62	67%	0.17	45.1	2.98%	0	2.3	74	INF
5	Sep_19_2016	17.91	18.72	19.44	19.81	19.85	20.43	21.3(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	56	210	30	135	0.56	67%	0.17	35.2	2.99%	0	2.5	74	INF

6	Sep_16_2016	17.88	18.56	19.08	19.36	19.32	19.88	20.1(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	200	27	110	0.77	62%	0.11	23.9	2.97%	0	1.9	66	INF
7	Sep_15_2016	17.86	18.47	18.81	19	18.95	19.27	20(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	110	16	82	0.62	62%	0.06	13.1	2.98%	0	2	68	INF
8	Sep_14_2016	17.85	18.38	18.54	18.86	18.7	18.75	19.12(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10	-0	63	0.29	61%	-0.06	9.5	2.93%	0	1.1	59	INF
9	Sep_13_2016	17.86	18.34	18.4	18.9	18.78	18.63	18.54(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-70	-5	51	0.29	57%	-0.11	6.1	2.91%	0	0.3	45	INF
10	Sep_12_2016	17.88	18.37	18.31	18.99	18.93	18.66	19.06(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-110	4	46	0.39	57%	-0.11	8.4	2.95%	0	1	49	INF

11	Sep_9_2016	17.9	18.36	18.19	18.75	18.9	18.93	18.3(-5.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	11	40	5	27	0.55	52%	-0.11	-6.8	2.96%	0	-0.1	50	INF
12	Sep_8_2016	17.92	18.37	18.13	18.55	18.63	19.2	19.27(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	230	25	14	0.26	55%	0	-23.6	2.92%	0	1.3	56	INF
13	Sep_7_2016	17.92	18.31	17.99	18.16	18.16	18.87	19.32(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	20	270	31	-12	0.37	53%	-0.06	-53.1	2.92%	0	1.6	58	INF
14	Sep_6_2016	17.93	18.3	17.94	17.83	17.75	18.06	19.01(6.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	10	110	23	-28	0.44	55%	-0.22	-68.6	2.95%	0	1.1	55	INF
15	Sep_2_2016	17.97	18.31	17.92	17.56	17.54	17.46	17.84(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-40	-1	-58	0.29	50%	-0.17	-72.3	2.94%	0	-0.7	35	INF

16	Sep_1_2016	18	18.41	17.98	17.58	17.59	17.45	17.33(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-50	-6	-67	0.22	49%	-0.17	-64.2	2.95%	0	-1.4	30	INF
17	Aug_31_2016	18.03	18.53	18.09	17.63	17.71	17.62	17.31(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-20	-8	-65	0.28	49%	-0.17	-57	2.95%	0	-1.6	41	INF
18	Aug_30_2016	18.06	18.66	18.2	17.77	17.77	17.73	17.68(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-20	-15	-60	0.23	49%	-0.17	-49.5	2.94%	0	-1.4	46	INF
19	Aug_29_2016	18.09	18.74	18.28	18.06	18.03	17.79	17.63(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-100	-14	-50	0.23	49%	-0.22	-33.6	2.97%	0	-1.5	38	INF
20	Aug_26_2016	18.13	18.85	18.44	18.34	18.38	17.81	17.93(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-210	-14	-36	0.29	49%	-0.17	-12.7	2.96%	0	-1.4	37	INF

21	Aug_25_2016	18.16	18.91	18.56	18.44	18.63	18.26	17.6(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-110	-19	-40	0.49	49%	-0.27	-0.3	2.95%	0	-2.1	31	INF
22	Aug_24_2016	18.21	18.98	18.66	18.61	18.77	18.95	18.03(-5.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	90	-2	-36	0.38	49%	-0.16	16.3	2.94%	0	-1.7	35	INF
23	Aug_23_2016	18.24	19.03	18.66	18.67	18.69	19	19.11(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	120	15	-44	0.29	52%	-0.05	29.1	2.86%	0	0.1	40	INF
24	Aug_22_2016	18.25	18.98	18.69	18.53	18.48	18.59	19.05(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	30	2	-59	0.4	52%	-0.16	30.1	2.86%	0	0.1	49	INF
25	Aug_19_2016	18.28	18.93	18.72	18.57	18.5	18.38	18.41(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-60	-8	-64	0.24	50%		33.4	2.85%	0	-0.8	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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