Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FGEN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $21.2900 (3.25%) ($20.4600 - $21.6300) on Thu. Mar. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.81% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $21.2900(3.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(38%)    IBB(33%)    IWO(29%)    XLV(28%)    IWC(27%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -2.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    TIP(-2%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.405% (StdDev 4.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.01(6.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.15(11.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.86(12.88%)
To recent high   -30.2%
To recent low   44.2%
Market Cap   $1.921b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 6.15% (three month std-dev: 4.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.84%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.05%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.68%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4.63%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 7.36%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.93%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2016	23.29	18.86	19.15	20.01	19.93	20.66	21.29(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	240	23	80	0.46	33%	-0.21	45.9	4.81%	0	2.1	65	0
2	Mar_30_2016	23.34	18.71	18.72	19.52	19.47	19.76	20.62(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	100	14	51	0.63	33%	-0.26	38.3	4.79%	0	1.9	59	0
3	Mar_29_2016	23.4	18.57	18.39	19.22	19.14	19.2	19.91(4.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	10	7	30	0.44	35%	-0.3	33.3	4.76%	0	1.4	57	0
4	Mar_28_2016	23.47	18.44	18.31	18.95	19.02	19.18	19.02(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	70	9	16	0.35	35%	-0.38	15.6	4.75%	0	0.6	44	0
5	Mar_24_2016	23.56	18.4	18.26	18.67	18.76	19.09	19.21(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	140	18	3	0.48	35%	-0.34	-0.8	4.76%	0	0.9	49	0

6	Mar_23_2016	23.64	18.34	18.11	18.13	18.24	18.87	18.82(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	260	17	-24	0.81	37%	-0.34	-23.9	4.75%	0	0.6	51	0
7	Mar_22_2016	23.72	18.32	18.07	17.78	17.63	18.44	19.12(2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	300	19	-36	0.39	37%	-0.25	-41.6	4.81%	0	0.9	54	0
8	Mar_21_2016	23.78	18.26	17.99	17.44	17.27	17.6	18.58(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-10	100	4	-53	0.56	37%	-0.21	-54.8	4.79%	0	0.4	54	0
9	Mar_18_2016	23.83	18.3	18.13	17.62	17.29	16.83	17.63(6.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-240	-9	-35	0.89	34%	-0.25	-38.8	4.74%	0	-0.7	54	0
10	Mar_17_2016	23.89	18.4	18.32	17.81	17.79	16.93	16.48(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-20	-340	-18	-24	0.69	31%	-0.38	-21.4	4.67%	0	-2.1	45	0

11	Mar_16_2016	23.98	18.55	18.57	18.08	18.21	17.75	17.08(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-160	-18	-11	0.49	31%	-0.25	7.1	4.65%	0	-1.7	47	0
12	Mar_15_2016	24.04	18.69	18.73	18.37	18.46	18.66	17.43(-10.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	90	-5	5	0.53	31%	-0.21	44.2	4.7%	0	-1.6	47	0
13	Mar_14_2016	24.09	18.75	18.81	18.59	18.47	18.67	19.48(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	60	0	17	0.39	33%	-0.12	79.5	4.53%	0	1	60	0
14	Mar_11_2016	24.12	18.67	18.6	18.75	18.55	18.67	18.6(4.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-140	-7	8	0.5	30%	-0.12	91.3	4.49%	0	-0.1	46	0
15	Mar_10_2016	24.15	18.6	18.56	18.94	18.97	18.27	17.83(-3.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-250	-12	3	0.27	33%	-0.25	90.8	4.49%	0	-0.9	40	0

16	Mar_9_2016	24.21	18.49	18.56	18.94	19.22	18.83	18.5(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-130	-10	5	0.54	31%	-0.25	58.9	4.56%	0	0	46	0
17	Mar_8_2016	24.27	18.35	18.62	19.13	19.28	19.68	18.53(-8.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	5	170	5	3	0.44	31%	-0.29	39.2	4.61%	0	0.1	43	0
18	Mar_7_2016	24.34	18.18	18.57	19.02	19.01	19.61	20.28(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	220	27	3	0.59	33%	-0.08	17.9	4.53%	0	1.4	59	0
19	Mar_4_2016	24.36	17.99	18.57	18.43	18.35	18.88	19.57(4.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	190	14	-15	0.58	33%	-0.12	-3.8	4.51%	0	1.1	62	0
20	Mar_3_2016	24.39	17.88	18.45	18.15	18.03	18.4	18.77(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	120	9	-12	0.41	33%	-0.08	-13.9	4.48%	0	0.6	61	0

21	Mar_2_2016	24.41	17.85	18.49	18.05	17.97	17.82	18.48(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-70	1	8	0.55	33%	-0.08	-18.9	4.47%	0	0.4	71	0
22	Mar_1_2016	24.43	17.84	18.61	18.06	18.04	17.66	18(3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-150	-6	36	0.85	33%	-0.12	-25.4	4.45%	0	0.1	68	0
23	Feb_29_2016	24.46	17.91	18.68	18.05	18.23	18.13	17.33(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10	-15	61	0.59	33%	-0.2	-29.9	4.38%	0	-0.4	68	0
24	Feb_26_2016	24.51	18.05	18.74	18.47	18.41	18.43	18.19(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-0	-9	93	0.39	34%	-0.12	-23.4	4.35%	0	0.1	59	0
25	Feb_25_2016	24.54	18.08	18.66	18.79	18.78	18.33	18.26(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-170	-7	108	0.31	34%		-22.1	4.39%	0	0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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