Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $27.9000 (6.33%) ($25.8000 - $28.0900) on Tue. Nov. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.78% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $27.9000(6.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(40%)    IBB(34%)    IWO(30%)    XLV(29%)    IWM(28%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -2.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.39% (StdDev 4.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.18(6.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.23(6.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25(11.6%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   35.9%
Market Cap   $2.517b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 6.92% (three month std-dev: 4.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(36%) Average negative next day return: -3.77%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.6%(18%) Average negative next three day return: -2.79%(82%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.4%(18%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(82%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2015	24.36	25	26.23	26.18	25.97	26.51	27.9(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	120	11	39	1.08	55%	0.21	49.7	4.78%	0	1.7	63	INF
2	Nov_16_2015	24.31	24.79	26.09	26.01	25.73	25.82	26.24(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10	2	49	0.51	53%	0.12	61.2	4.72%	0	0.9	65	INF
3	Nov_13_2015	24.28	24.74	25.97	26.05	25.89	25.43	26.2(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-140	0	59	0.65	59%	0.08	72.1	5.15%	0	0.9	68	INF
4	Nov_12_2015	24.26	24.53	25.7	25.9	25.91	25.64	25.26(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-70	-7	59	0.26	59%	0.08	69.7	5.13%	0	0.4	65	INF
5	Nov_11_2015	24.24	24.38	25.56	25.96	25.85	26.35	25.29(-6.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	120	-2	74	0.29	58%	0.08	67.5	5.14%	0	0.5	67	INF

6	Nov_10_2015	24.22	24.17	25.52	26.25	25.82	26.18	27.04(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	50	9	96	0.4	60%	0.17	65.8	5.08%	0	1.4	63	INF
7	Nov_9_2015	24.18	23.84	25.13	26.2	25.76	25.36	26.45(3.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-160	4	92	0.55	60%	0.12	65.5	5.12%	0	1.4	59	INF
8	Nov_6_2015	24.15	23.59	24.71	25.88	25.68	25.45	25.45(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-90	1	68	0.36	60%	0.12	60.5	5.14%	0	1	50	INF
9	Nov_5_2015	24.12	23.4	24.41	25.46	25.42	26.17	25.55(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	200	12	64	0.34	60%	0.08	52.7	5.18%	0	1.2	63	INF
10	Nov_4_2015	24.1	23.2	24.03	25.07	24.83	25.92	26.77(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	280	22	56	0.51	60%	0.17	48.1	5.18%	0	2	64	INF

11	Nov_3_2015	24.06	22.93	23.67	24.67	24.28	24.66	26.76(7.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	60	23	58	0.57	60%	0.21	46.1	5.22%	0	2.4	68	INF
12	Nov_2_2015	24.01	22.65	23.34	23.94	23.87	23.74	24.89(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-50	10	50	0.41	58%	0.04	39	5.18%	0	1.7	66	INF
13	Oct_30_2015	24	22.52	23.36	23.38	23.53	23.89	23.31(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	130	4	51	0.31	56%	-0.04	28	5.16%	0	0.6	59	INF
14	Oct_29_2015	24.01	22.48	23.23	23.18	23.22	24.01	23.64(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	240	17	52	0.3	56%	-0.04	15.7	5.2%	0	0.9	58	INF
15	Oct_28_2015	24.02	22.37	23.1	22.79	22.78	23.17	24.77(7.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	120	13	44	0.43	56%	0.08	-11.4	5.21%	0	2	62	INF

16	Oct_27_2015	24	22.22	22.7	22.52	22.47	22.44	23.1(4.71%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	4	-20	-4	26	0.48	53%	-0.08	-44.2	5.17%	0	0.8	57	INF
17	Oct_26_2015	24.02	22.14	22.46	22.68	22.72	22.38	22.06(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-100	-16	22	0.48	53%	-0.17	-65	5.18%	0	-0.1	55	INF
18	Oct_23_2015	24.06	22.18	22.4	23.36	23.33	22.51	22.34(3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-250	-5	42	0.43	53%	-0.12	-61.6	5.22%	0	0.1	51	INF
19	Oct_22_2015	24.09	22.28	22.4	23.27	23.61	23.07	21.69(-7.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-120	-12	33	0.52	53%	-0.17	-64.7	5.26%	0	-0.4	49	INF
20	Oct_21_2015	24.13	22.51	22.35	23.39	23.52	24.15	23.43(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	200	12	48	0.4	56%	-0.08	-56.5	5.2%	0	0.5	59	INF

21	Oct_20_2015	24.15	22.7	22.18	22.85	22.97	24.16	23.87(-6.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	380	30	38	0.47	56%	0	-56.4	5.25%	0	0.5	59	INF
22	Oct_19_2015	24.15	22.86	21.92	22.18	21.94	22.88	25.47(16.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	270	29	17	0.7	60%	0.08	-59.4	5.21%	0	1.1	67	INF
23	Oct_16_2015	24.13	22.94	21.58	21.36	21.3	21.78	21.87(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	150	9	-18	0.24	52%	-0.17	-60	4.72%	0	-0.4	44	INF
24	Oct_15_2015	24.17	23.31	21.63	21.34	21.17	21.01	22.32(7.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-80	4	-32	0.24	52%	-0.17	-53	4.76%	0	-0.3	37	INF
25	Oct_14_2015	24.21	23.63	21.55	21.19	21.24	20.83	20.71(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-130	-11	-69	0.22	48%		-51.3	4.67%	0	-0.9	21	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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