Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: FGEN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(FibroGen Inc.)
FGEN latest price $28.0300 (1.19%) ($27.3400 - $28.5000) on Mon. Sep. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.32% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $28.0300(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FGEN advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FGEN advances 9.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FGEN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(41%)    IBB(36%)    IWO(31%)    XLV(30%)    IWM(28%)
Factors Impacting FGEN price   FGEN will decline at least -2.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.66% (StdDev 5.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.22(2.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.39(10.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.59(13.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.6%
Market Cap   $2.529b

FibroGen, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. FGEN price fluctuates within 7.44% (three month std-dev: 5.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 2.56%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(67%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 3%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -5.02%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 2.81%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.45%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2015	24.23	24.59	25.39	27.22	27.21	28.02	28.03(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	210	23	112	0.5	80%	0.66	63.7	5.32%	0	1.9	76	0
2	Sep_11_2015	24.07	24.46	25.02	26.25	26.46	27.54	27.7(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	310	33	97	1.11	80%	0.67	0	5.44%	0	1.9	67	0
3	Sep_10_2015	23.91	24.18	24.61	25.23	25.13	26.41	28(7.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	38	340	28	68	0.86	80%	0.76	0	5.54%	0	2.4	63	0
4	Sep_9_2015	23.73	23.88	24.09	24.34	24.15	25.38	26.13(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	330	28	39	0.54	76%	0.51	0	5.51%	0	1.7	54	0
5	Sep_8_2015	23.61	23.67	23.73	23.68	23.5	23.85	26.24(13.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	14	80	16	8	0.97	76%	0.55	0	5.64%	0	2	54	0

6	Sep_4_2015	23.48	23.48	23.27	23.34	23.09	22.91	23.17(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-90	-10	-28	0.22	64%	-0.09	0	5%	0	-0.3	39	0
7	Sep_3_2015	23.5	23.48	23.25	23.62	23.5	23.15	22.63(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-120	-7	-3	0.33	64%	-0.17	0	5.11%	0	18.9	35	0
8	Sep_2_2015	23.54	23.48	23.38	23.86	23.77	23.27	23.54(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-160	-4	-2	0.34	64%	0	0	5.16%	0	19.5	58	0
9	Sep_1_2015	23.54	23.48	23.49	23.76	23.83	23.84	22.84(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	10	-3	-1	0.32	64%	-0.21	0	5.28%	0	18.3	55	0
10	Aug_31_2015	23.59	23.48	23.68	23.72	23.73	24.26	24.5(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	160	16	6	0.61	86%	0.25	0	5.12%	0	19.3	63	0

11	Aug_28_2015	23.53	23.48	23.76	23.18	23.3	23.81	24.58(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	170	15	6	0.28	86%	0.34	0	5.29%	0	19.1	60	0
12	Aug_27_2015	23.45	23.48	23.86	23.18	22.66	23.2	23.84(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	140	4	2	0.26	86%	0.13	0	5.45%	0	18.3	50	0
13	Aug_26_2015	23.42	23.48	23.71	22.86	22.57	22.8	23.04(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	30	-1	-0	0.35	86%	-0.13	0	5.61%	0	17.1	50	0
14	Aug_25_2015	23.45	23.48	23.67	23.23	22.92	22.11	22.64(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-290	-11	-4	0.35	86%	-0.34	0	5.84%	0	16.2	50	0
15	Aug_24_2015	23.53	23.48	23.63	23.65	23.45	22.34	21.8(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-360	-26	-10	0.65	86%	-0.72	0	6%	0	15.1	50	0

16	Aug_21_2015	23.7	23.48	23.74	24.39	24.26	23.74	22.96(-3.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-170	-18	-7	0.54	86%	-0.34	0	6.09%	0	16.5	50	0
17	Aug_20_2015	23.78	23.48	23.74	24.98	24.86	24.57	23.85(-4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	3	-100	3	1	0.46	86%	0	0	6.27%	0	16.4	50	0
18	Aug_19_2015	23.78	23.48	23.74	24.65	24.78	24.77	24.88(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	10	6	2	0.29	86%	0.68	0	6.4%	0	16.3	50	0
19	Aug_18_2015	23.62	23.48	23.74	24.15	24.22	25.15	24.77(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	280	13	5	0.57	86%	0.81	0	6.89%	0	15.7	50	0
20	Aug_17_2015	23.43	23.48	23.74	23.59	23.53	24.78	25.51(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	360	21	8	0.69	86%	1.83	0	7.2%	0	15.7	50	0

21	Aug_14_2015	23.01	23.48	23.74	23.01	22.73	23.29	25.9(16.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	71	140	83	33	1.55	86%	3.23	0	7.7%	0	17.7	50	0
22	Aug_13_2015	22.29	23.48	23.74	17.83	22.4	22.28	22.18(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	18.9	302	730	355	142	0.31	0%	-0.13	0	1.87%	0	96.4	50	0
23	Aug_12_2015	22.32	23.48	23.74	13.39	22.4	22.28	22.38(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	34.6	374	-10000	440	176	0.26	0%	0.13	0	2.28%	0	86.1	50	0
24	Aug_11_2015	22.29	23.48	23.74	8.92	22.4	22.28	21.98(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	42.1	0	-10000	0	0	0.23	0%	-1.37	0	0%	0	70.9	50	0
25	Aug_10_2015	22.6	23.48	23.74	4.52	22.4	22.28	22.6(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.24	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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