Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 15, 2020

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $72.4400 (0.21%) ($72.4400 - $72.4400) on Tue. Dec. 15, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $72.4400(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FIVG(10%)    REMX(10%)    BOTZ(9%)    XLE(9%)    LIT(8%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    VCSH(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    XLP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.24(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.02(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.81(2.3%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.39%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.66%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.66%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.87%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2020	65.98	70.81	72.02		72.29	72.37	72.44(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	10	6	69	0.02	59%	0.14	133.3	1.25%	-0.4	1.4	83	0.8
2	Dec_14_2020	65.89	70.59	71.89	72.24	72.2	72.27	72.29(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	21	10	1	81	0.02	59%	0.21	152.1	1.26%	-0.6	1.4	84	-0.6
3	Dec_11_2020	65.75	70.35	71.75	72.28	72.23	72.21	72.25(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	26	-0	4	92	0.02	59%	0.21	155.8	1.27%	-0.5	1.5	76	0.3
4	Dec_10_2020	65.61	70.06	71.57	72.19	72.29	72.12	72.17(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	26	-10	1	100	0.02	59%	0.2	147.3	1.27%	-0.4	1.5	80	0.9
5	Dec_9_2020	65.48	69.71	71.29	72	72.19	72.26	72.07(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	10	4	105	0.02	59%	0.21	142	1.29%	2	1.6	83	1

6	Dec_8_2020	65.34	69.32	71.03	71.74	71.95	72.45	72.44(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	60	27	113	0.01	55%	0.21	131.7	1.29%	-0.5	2.2	78	1.6
7	Dec_7_2020	65.2	68.84	70.7	71.49	71.54	72.13	72.46(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	60	39	114	0.02	55%	0.23	120.8	1.34%	-0.6	2.6	79	1.1
8	Dec_3_2020	65.05	68.42	70.4	71.16	71.22	71.45	71.8(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	51	30	30	114	0.03	51%	0.22	113.8	1.34%	-0.5	2.5	80	0.9
9	Dec_2_2020	64.91	68.02	70.08	70.86	70.99	70.96	71.22(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	0	11	111	0.03	51%	0.34	91.6	1.37%	2.4	2.2	83	1
10	Nov_30_2020	64.69	67.72	69.75	70.48	70.76	71	70.76(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	40	13	116	0.02	51%	0.23	59.7	1.37%	3.1	1.5	84	1.1

11	Nov_27_2020	64.54	67.49	69.51	70.2	70.39	71.02	71.19(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	70	38	147	0.01	51%	0.23	47.6	1.37%	-0.3	1.6	90	1.1
12	Nov_24_2020	64.39	67.2	69.18	69.79	69.89	70.51	70.84(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	70	41	167	0.03	51%	0.2	39.5	1.38%	-0.4	1.5	91	1.1
13	Nov_23_2020	64.26	66.93	68.83	69.53	69.5	69.75	70.3(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	20	28	177	0.02	51%	0.12	37.6	1.38%	2.5	1.4	77	1.1
14	Nov_20_2020	64.18	66.7	68.42	69.2	69.33	69.26	69.32(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-0	11	179	0.03	49%	0.2	33.9	1.37%	2.4	1.2	76	1.2
15	Nov_19_2020	64.05	66.53	68.02	68.89	69.15	69.25	69.33(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	6	168	0.03	49%	0.2	31.7	1.37%	2.2	1.3	64	1.3

16	Nov_17_2020	63.92	66.38	67.49	68.7	68.82	69.39	69.16(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	60	23	156	0.05	49%	0.24	34.7	1.37%	-0.4	1.4	59	1.6
17	Nov_16_2020	63.77	66.23	66.86	68.46	68.6	69.04	69.54(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	69	50	44	142	0.03	49%	0.25	39.6	1.36%	-0.8	1.8	62	1.6
18	Nov_13_2020	63.61	66.05	66.3	68.04	68.32	68.25	68.67(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	10	21	108	0.03	49%	0.24	45	1.37%	-0.7	1.6	60	1.5
19	Nov_12_2020	63.46	65.96	65.8	67.52	68.01	68.16	67.75(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	40	13	73	0.03	49%	0.19	50.9	1.37%	1.3	1.2	56	1.1
20	Nov_11_2020	63.34	65.86	65.54	66.99	67.57	68.39	68.39(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	61	110	58	68	0.05	49%	0.17	51.1	1.36%	-0.7	1.7	58	1.8

21	Nov_9_2020	63.23	65.7	65.3	66.06	66.74	67.87	67.95(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	78	150	89	44	0.04	49%	0.16	47.8	1.38%	1.5	1.6	53	1.4
22	Nov_5_2020	63.13	65.51	65.03	65	65.58	66.76	67.44(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	62	150	84	-3	0.04	49%	0.1	39.1	1.37%	1.4	1.5	52	1
23	Nov_4_2020	63.07	65.32	64.83	64.32	64.4	65.6	66.09(1.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	42	130	69	-41	0.02	46%	0.11	34.3	1.34%	1.2	0.7	47	0.8
24	Nov_3_2020	63	65.19	64.79	63.84	63.83	64.4	65.08(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	20	60	51	-74	0.04	43%	0.11	26.6	1.34%	-0.9	-0.1	38	-0.6
25	Nov_2_2020	62.93	65.11	64.88	63.9	63.46	63.21	63.76(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-50	-24	-104	0.04	39%		33.3	1.32%	0.9	-1.1	39	-1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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