Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 19, 2018

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $62.3703 (-0.14%) ($62.3458 - $62.5662) on Wed. Sep. 19, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $62.3703(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DRIV(13%)    IBUY(12%)    ONLN(12%)    IBB(11%)    IYT(11%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-9%)    GDX(-9%)    SIL(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.35(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.14(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.07(0.48%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2018	60.33	62.07	62.14	62.35	62.39	62.39	62.37(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	0	12	22	0.05	52%	0.07	103.8	0.53%	0	0.9	46	2.6
2	Sep_18_2018	60.29	62.02	62.1	62.3	62.35	62.32	62.46(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-0	3	10	0.04	52%	0.08	103.6	0.53%	0	1.3	53	1.6
3	Sep_17_2018	60.24	61.96	62.07	62.21	62.27	62.32	62.07(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	20	8	4	0.03	50%	0.07	101.7	0.53%	0	0.3	48	1.1
4	Sep_14_2018	60.2	61.91	62.08	62.18	62.17	62.39	62.58(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	20	44	22	0.07	52%	0.07	91.3	0.52%	0	1.6	65	1.9
5	Sep_13_2018	60.16	61.82	62.03	61.99	62.02	62.15	62.28(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	20	35	13	0.12	52%	0.08	69.7	0.52%	0	1	69	1.6

6	Sep_12_2018	60.11	61.73	62.04	61.89	61.86	61.95	62.11(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	10	11	0.05	52%	0.07	47.3	0.52%	0	0.7	63	1
7	Sep_11_2018	60.07	61.66	62.05	61.87	61.83	61.88	62.03(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	0	6	20	0.03	52%	0.07	43.6	0.52%	0	0.6	61	0.9
8	Sep_10_2018	60.03	61.59	62.05	61.9	61.87	61.77	61.88(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10	-9	33	0.06	52%	0.05	37.5	0.52%	0	0.5	63	0.2
9	Sep_7_2018	60	61.53	62.06	61.97	61.92	61.79	61.62(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-20	-29	46	0.07	52%	0.05	40.2	0.52%	0	0.1	65	-0.7
10	Sep_6_2018	59.97	61.5	62.03	62.07	62.04	61.96	61.81(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10	-23	70	0.05	52%	0.03	48.6	0.52%	0	0.5	71	-0.4

11	Sep_5_2018	59.95	61.46	62.01	62.21	62.12	62.06	62(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10	-12	112	0.08	52%	0.05	61.5	0.52%	0	0.8	79	0.3
12	Sep_4_2018	59.92	61.41	61.96	62.21	62.21	62.11	62.19(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10	-8	131	0.18	52%	0.1	70.1	0.52%	0	1.2	68	0.5
13	Aug_31_2018	59.86	61.34	61.87	62.25	62.24	62.18	62.21(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10	-7	147	0.07	56%	0.07	77.4	0.53%	0	1.3	73	0.1
14	Aug_30_2018	59.82	61.26	61.75	62.15	62.25	62.31	62.14(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	10	19	152	0.04	59%	0.08	76.7	0.55%	0	1.4	67	0.8
15	Aug_29_2018	59.77	61.18	61.61	61.98	62.1	62.3	62.5(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	30	35	136	0.04	57%	0.07	64.8	0.56%	0	2.1	65	1.3

16	Aug_28_2018	59.73	61.05	61.39	61.77	61.85	62.19	62.19(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	59	40	43	106	0.07	57%	0.08	56.8	0.58%	0	2	62	1
17	Aug_27_2018	59.68	60.96	61.24	61.63	61.65	61.9	62.19(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	64	30	54	94	0.1	57%	0.1	55.1	0.58%	0	2.3	61	0.9
18	Aug_24_2018	59.62	60.85	61.06	61.44	61.48	61.5	61.75(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	0	24	58	0.05	55%	0.05	50	0.58%	0	2	60	1
19	Aug_23_2018	59.59	60.78	60.94	61.28	61.36	61.4	61.28(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	9	39	0.07	53%	0.07	49.3	0.57%	0	1.2	59	1
20	Aug_22_2018	59.55	60.76	60.91	61.17	61.22	61.45	61.45(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	30	36	49	0.03	53%	0.07	47	0.57%	0	1.7	64	1.2

21	Aug_21_2018	59.51	60.72	60.86	60.93	61.03	61.31	61.47(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	40	51	49	0.13	53%	0.08	33.3	0.57%	0	2	68	0.7
22	Aug_20_2018	59.46	60.66	60.82	60.8	60.74	60.99	61.24(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	30	36	41	0.04	53%	0.03	26.8	0.58%	0	1.7	60	1.1
23	Aug_17_2018	59.44	60.61	60.77	60.63	60.63	60.75	60.97(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	10	30	36	0.03	53%	0.05	17	0.58%	0	1.1	61	0.9
24	Aug_16_2018	59.41	60.58	60.74	60.56	60.63	60.49	60.72(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	1	-10	-5	18	0.04	53%	0.07	11.8	0.57%	0	0.5	53	0.2
25	Aug_15_2018	59.37	60.57	60.71	60.62	60.57	60.51	60.25(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-22	-10	-31	5	0.07	51%		19.6	0.57%	0	-1	42	-1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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