Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $57.5007 (0.21%) ($57.3629 - $57.5204) on Mon. Dec. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.34% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $57.5007(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(17%)    XLV(17%)    IBB(16%)    IBUY(16%)    IVW(16%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.17% (StdDev 0.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.06(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.03(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.46(1.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.46%(48%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 1.12%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -2.07%(41%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 1.55%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2017	54.24	56.46	57.03	57.06	57.07	57.39	57.5(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	92	40	66	168	0.05	79%	0.07	62.5	0.34%	0	1.5	77	INF
2	Dec_8_2017	54.2	56.35	56.9	56.96	56.92	57.1	57.38(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	79	20	54	153	0.06	79%	0.07	59.7	0.36%	0	1.5	77	INF
3	Dec_7_2017	54.16	56.25	56.78	56.9	56.91	56.76	57.02(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	31	-20	-4	137	0.06	77%	0.07	59	0.36%	0	1.2	75	INF
4	Dec_6_2017	54.12	56.17	56.69	56.94	56.93	56.75	56.67(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-20	-60	156	0.13	75%	0.07	64.9	0.35%	0	0.8	78	INF
5	Dec_5_2017	54.08	56.11	56.65	56.97	56.93	57.07	56.7(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	45	10	-9	206	0.06	67%	0.07	68.1	0.35%	0	0.9	70	INF

6	Dec_4_2017	54.04	56.04	56.58	56.99	57.06	57.12	57.01(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	89	10	41	232	0.1	72%	0.07	72.4	0.37%	0	1.5	76	INF
7	Dec_1_2017	54	55.96	56.46	56.82	56.87	57.05	57.1(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	85	20	40	220	0.1	72%	0.07	69.4	0.37%	0	1.8	79	INF
8	Nov_30_2017	53.96	55.86	56.31	56.64	56.67	57	57.23(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	120	40	85	224	0.1	75%	0.07	68.6	0.37%	0	2.4	83	INF
9	Nov_29_2017	53.92	55.75	56.11	56.41	56.43	56.68	56.82(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	101	30	74	181	0.76	73%	0.09	69.3	0.36%	0	2.2	72	INF
10	Nov_28_2017	53.87	55.67	55.97	56.29	56.26	56.33	56.79(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	72	10	45	153	0.06	73%	0.09	68.8	0.37%	0	2.6	73	INF

11	Nov_27_2017	53.82	55.58	55.84	56.11	56.17	56.18	56.15(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	0	14	124	0.04	69%	0.06	64.2	0.34%	0	1.5	65	INF
12	Nov_24_2017	53.79	55.53	55.75	56.03	56.09	56.19	56.19(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	20	26	118	0.01	69%	0.11	60.3	0.34%	0	1.9	68	INF
13	Nov_22_2017	53.73	55.47	55.66	55.93	55.97	56.16	56.1(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	30	58	115	0.11	73%	0.04	57.6	0.34%	0	1.9	68	INF
14	Nov_21_2017	53.71	55.42	55.6	55.75	55.81	55.99	56.22(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	72	30	65	93	0.19	73%	0.07	48.1	0.36%	0	2.8	72	INF
15	Nov_20_2017	53.67	55.37	55.51	55.6	55.56	55.78	55.9(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	30	39	67	0.04	71%	0.07	54.8	0.35%	0	2.3	68	INF

16	Nov_17_2017	53.63	55.34	55.46	55.52	55.45	55.63	55.76(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	59	20	55	70	0.05	58%	0.07	67.6	0.36%	0	2.2	69	INF
17	Nov_16_2017	53.59	55.32	55.42	55.44	55.35	55.35	55.68(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-0	21	41	0.04	58%	0.06	69.7	0.42%	0	2	59	INF
18	Nov_15_2017	53.56	55.29	55.37	55.36	55.28	55.27	55.18(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10	-17	20	0.07	53%	0.06	71	0.41%	0	-0.6	54	INF
19	Nov_14_2017	53.53	55.28	55.38	55.43	55.29	55.35	55.49(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	20	0	11	46	0.09	62%	0.06	76.5	0.4%	0	1.1	65	INF
20	Nov_13_2017	53.5	55.24	55.35	55.43	55.3	55.28	55.49(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10	3	33	0.06	62%	0.06	72.2	0.42%	0	1.3	50	INF

21	Nov_10_2017	53.47	55.21	55.3	55.4	55.34	55.23	55.33(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-13	19	0.04	53%	0.07	73.7	0.42%	0	0.6	50	INF
22	Nov_9_2017	53.43	55.19	55.29	55.4	55.38	55.32	55.29(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10	-15	14	0.53	53%	0.06	72.5	0.46%	0	0.5	47	INF
23	Nov_8_2017	53.4	55.17	55.27	55.39	55.39	55.45	55.52(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	10	12	24	0.81	53%	0.06	66.7	0.46%	0	1.5	61	INF
24	Nov_7_2017	53.37	55.13	55.27	55.32	55.33	55.43	55.38(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	10	17	21	0.06	53%	0.06	64.3	0.46%	0	1.1	62	INF
25	Nov_6_2017	53.34	55.1	55.22	55.28	55.29	55.33	55.45(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	10	22	30	0.08	53%		63.6	0.46%	0	1.5	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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