Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $56.1026 (-0.21%) ($56.0711 - $56.2798) on Wed. Nov. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.34% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $56.1026(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(17%)    XLV(17%)    IBB(16%)    IBUY(16%)    IVW(16%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.17% (StdDev 0.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.93(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.66(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.47(1.14%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.59% (three month std-dev: 0.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.49%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.62%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.56%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2017	53.73	55.47	55.66	55.93	55.97	56.16	56.1(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	72	30	58	115	0.11	73%	0.04	57.6	0.34%	0	1.9	68	INF
2	Nov_21_2017	53.71	55.42	55.6	55.75	55.81	55.99	56.22(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	72	30	65	93	0.19	73%	0.07	48.1	0.36%	0	2.8	72	INF
3	Nov_20_2017	53.67	55.37	55.51	55.6	55.56	55.78	55.9(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	30	39	67	0.04	71%	0.07	54.8	0.35%	0	2.3	68	INF
4	Nov_17_2017	53.63	55.34	55.46	55.52	55.45	55.63	55.76(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	59	20	55	70	0.05	58%	0.07	67.6	0.36%	0	2.2	69	INF
5	Nov_16_2017	53.59	55.32	55.42	55.44	55.35	55.35	55.68(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-0	21	41	0.04	58%	0.06	69.7	0.42%	0	2	59	INF

6	Nov_15_2017	53.56	55.29	55.37	55.36	55.28	55.27	55.18(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10	-17	20	0.07	53%	0.06	71	0.41%	0	-0.6	54	INF
7	Nov_14_2017	53.53	55.28	55.38	55.43	55.29	55.35	55.49(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	20	0	11	46	0.09	62%	0.06	76.5	0.4%	0	1.1	65	INF
8	Nov_13_2017	53.5	55.24	55.35	55.43	55.3	55.28	55.49(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10	3	33	0.06	62%	0.06	72.2	0.42%	0	1.3	50	INF
9	Nov_10_2017	53.47	55.21	55.3	55.4	55.34	55.23	55.33(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-13	19	0.04	53%	0.07	73.7	0.42%	0	0.6	50	INF
10	Nov_9_2017	53.43	55.19	55.29	55.4	55.38	55.32	55.29(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10	-15	14	0.53	53%	0.06	72.5	0.46%	0	0.5	47	INF

11	Nov_8_2017	53.4	55.17	55.27	55.39	55.39	55.45	55.52(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	10	12	24	0.81	53%	0.06	66.7	0.46%	0	1.5	61	INF
12	Nov_7_2017	53.37	55.13	55.27	55.32	55.33	55.43	55.38(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	10	17	21	0.06	53%	0.06	64.3	0.46%	0	1.1	62	INF
13	Nov_6_2017	53.34	55.1	55.22	55.28	55.29	55.33	55.45(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	10	22	30	0.08	53%	0.06	63.6	0.46%	0	1.5	64	INF
14	Nov_3_2017	53.31	55.06	55.22	55.19	55.23	55.23	55.32(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	0	1	20	0.04	53%	0.06	61.9	0.46%	0	1.1	62	INF
15	Nov_2_2017	53.28	55.03	55.21	55.18	55.18	55.26	55.26(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	10	6	32	0.08	53%	0.06	76.2	0.46%	0	1	62	INF

16	Nov_1_2017	53.25	55.01	55.19	55.15	55.17	55.23	55.21(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	10	18	38	0.05	53%	0.04	88.6	0.47%	0	0.8	62	INF
17	Oct_31_2017	53.23	54.98	55.16	55.11	55.13	55.23	55.16(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-0	-3	27	0.2	53%	0.06	100	0.47%	0	0.7	60	INF
18	Oct_30_2017	53.2	54.95	55.14	55.16	55.12	55.11	55.01(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-0	-14	34	0.06	53%	0.06	109.8	0.46%	0	0.2	59	INF
19	Oct_27_2017	53.17	54.92	55.12	55.22	55.19	55.15	55.26(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10	-3	52	0.07	53%	0.06	113.3	0.46%	0	1	70	INF
20	Oct_26_2017	53.14	54.86	55.08	55.25	55.26	55.12	55.1(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-20	-15	54	0.07	53%	0.06	105.6	0.46%	0	0.6	59	INF

21	Oct_25_2017	53.11	54.8	55.06	55.24	55.3	55.24	55.01(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-0	-12	53	0.07	53%	0.06	96.3	0.46%	0	0.5	56	INF
22	Oct_24_2017	53.08	54.74	55.04	55.22	55.24	55.4	55.43(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	20	21	71	0.08	57%	0.08	85.3	0.45%	0	1.3	76	INF
23	Oct_23_2017	53.04	54.64	54.97	55.1	55.12	55.37	55.31(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	30	48	74	0.07	57%	0.06	75.2	0.45%	0	1.2	76	INF
24	Oct_20_2017	53.01	54.55	54.9	55.01	54.98	55.09	55.4(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	10	39	66	0.07	57%	0.06	68.3	0.45%	0	1.5	82	INF
25	Oct_19_2017	52.98	54.45	54.83	54.9	54.88	54.88	55.03(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-0	4	55	0.07	57%		62.6	0.44%	0	1	82	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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