Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $48.2266 (-0.56%) ($48.0216 - $48.4317) on Thu. Jan. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $48.2266(-0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(19%)    IBB(18%)    IVW(18%)    IWF(18%)    IYT(18%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    GDX(-7%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.02(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.08(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.18(0.1%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.52% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2017	46.04	48.18		48.02	48.08	48.29	48.23(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	16	30	23	-6	0.1	70%	0.07	78.8	0.64%	0	0.2	54	INF
2	Jan_4_2017	46.01	48.15	48.08	47.94	47.96	48.13	48.5(1.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2.2	16	30	26	-16	0.15	70%	0.07	78.8	0.63%	0	1.4	49	INF
3	Jan_3_2017	45.98	48.09	48.04	47.9	47.91	47.87	47.96(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10	1	-33	0.5	68%	0.07	69	0.63%	0	-0.5	45	INF
4	Dec_30_2016	45.95	48.04	48.06	47.94	47.99	47.78	47.64(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-30	-24	-48	0.22	68%	0.04	42.2	0.62%	0	-0.9	35	INF
5	Dec_29_2016	45.93	48.01	48.12	48.03	48.07	47.95	47.77(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10	-31	-46	0.1	64%	0.04	40.2	0.63%	0	-0.5	37	INF

6	Dec_28_2016	45.91	47.98	48.15	48.13	48.16	47.95	47.83(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	10	-10	-30	0.11	64%	0.07	42.7	0.64%	0	-0.3	44	INF
7	Dec_27_2016	45.88	47.95	48.22	48.24	48.22	48.2	48.31(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-0	8	5	0.09	69%	0.07	47	0.63%	0	0.6	64	INF
8	Dec_23_2016	45.85	47.89	48.21	48.21	48.23	48.12	48.16(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10	-8	13	0.05	69%	0.07	48.7	0.64%	0	0.5	66	INF
9	Dec_22_2016	45.82	47.85	48.25	48.19	48.24	48.23	48.08(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-12	39	0.09	69%	0.07	52.1	0.64%	0	0.4	69	INF
10	Dec_21_2016	45.79	47.81	48.25	48.23	48.27	48.33	48.29(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	10	11	83	0.08	71%	0.09	59.3	0.64%	0	0.8	72	INF

11	Dec_20_2016	45.75	47.76	48.29	48.18	48.25	48.24	48.36(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	0	2	94	0.09	71%	0.07	60.3	0.66%	0	1	69	INF
12	Dec_19_2016	45.72	47.69	48.21	48.2	48.23	48.21	48.16(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-0	-9	100	0.06	71%	0.04	68.3	0.66%	0	0.8	66	INF
13	Dec_16_2016	45.7	47.62	48.13	48.22	48.31	48.26	48.07(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-0	-7	109	0.13	71%	0.07	73.8	0.66%	0	0.7	66	INF
14	Dec_15_2016	45.67	47.56	48.02	48.32	48.34	48.25	48.28(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10	-15	109	0.12	73%	0.07	84.8	0.66%	0	1.1	62	INF
15	Dec_14_2016	45.64	47.47	47.89	48.37	48.41	48.37	48.02(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-0	-8	112	0.12	73%	0.04	92	0.67%	0	0.8	62	INF

16	Dec_13_2016	45.62	47.4	47.8	48.41	48.45	48.42	48.47(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-0	16	131	0.11	70%	0.09	105.8	0.66%	0	1.6	71	INF
17	Dec_12_2016	45.58	47.28	47.67	48.22	48.31	48.45	48.27(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	30	21	112	0.15	72%	0.04	110.2	0.69%	0	1.5	71	INF
18	Dec_9_2016	45.56	47.17	47.55	48.01	48.06	48.49	48.56(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	71	70	57	113	0.16	64%	0.09	113.4	0.7%	0	2.1	80	INF
19	Dec_8_2016	45.52	47.03	47.42	47.68	47.73	48.16	48.53(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	71	70	66	86	0.1	64%	0.07	119.1	0.78%	0	2.3	76	INF
20	Dec_7_2016	45.49	46.88	47.28	47.35	47.35	47.64	48.25(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	47	40	43	60	0.19	64%	0.07	120.5	0.78%	0	2.2	77	INF

21	Dec_6_2016	45.46	46.71	47.16	47.12	47.13	47.29	47.5(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	20	22	40	0.16	61%	0.07	109.2	0.76%	0	1.2	66	INF
22	Dec_5_2016	45.43	46.58	47.1	47.04	47.09	47.05	47.24(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-0	7	39	0.1	61%	0.04	95.7	0.76%	0	0.9	69	INF
23	Dec_2_2016	45.41	46.42	47.1	47.01	47.08	46.97	46.86(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-10	-19	39	0.07	60%	0.04	72.8	0.76%	0	0.5	70	INF
24	Dec_1_2016	45.39	46.28	47.05	47.12	47.15	47.13	46.89(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-0	-11	69	0.15	60%	0.04	64.4	0.76%	0	0.6	72	INF
25	Nov_30_2016	45.37	46.14	47.02	47.19	47.24	47.18	47.09(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10	2	99	0.11	60%		58.2	0.75%	0	0.8	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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