Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $45.4501 (0.04%) ($45.4114 - $45.6149) on Mon. Aug. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $45.4501(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(20%)    IBB(19%)    IVW(19%)    IWF(19%)    IYT(19%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    SHY(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    GDX(-6%)    VCIT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.17(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.31(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.24(0.46%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2016	43.54	45.24	45.31	45.17	45.22	45.43	45.45(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	40	18	-1	0.17	52%	0.05	117.5	0.91%	0	0.8	57	INF
2	Aug_5_2016	43.52	45.19	45.3	45.14	45.09	45.21	45.43(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	20	11	-4	0.08	52%	0.07	105.6	0.91%	0	0.8	55	INF
3	Aug_4_2016	43.49	45.14	45.29	45.15	45.1	45	45.05(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-20	-6	-5	0.1	52%	0.05	81.4	0.91%	0	-0.2	51	INF
4	Aug_3_2016	43.47	45.07	45.31	45.24	45.19	44.97	45.09(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-40	-19	-3	0.16	50%	0.07	76.2	0.91%	0	0	50	INF
5	Aug_2_2016	43.44	45	45.33	45.29	45.3	45.21	44.81(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-16	-10	-23	4	1.48	50%	0.07	76.5	0.92%	0	-0.3	50	INF

6	Aug_1_2016	43.41	44.93	45.36	45.46	45.42	45.42	45.3(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-0	-1	30	0.16	53%	0.07	94.2	0.91%	0	0.5	62	INF
7	Jul_29_2016	43.38	44.86	45.35	45.48	45.45	45.4	45.5(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10	-0	40	0.08	53%	0.09	99.4	0.92%	0	0.9	74	INF
8	Jul_28_2016	43.34	44.77	45.31	45.46	45.43	45.43	45.49(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	14	-0	2	50	0.15	50%	0.09	94.6	0.92%	0	1	77	INF
9	Jul_27_2016	43.3	44.64	45.27	45.38	45.4	45.49	45.36(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	20	6	68	0.12	50%	0.09	81.2	0.94%	0	0.9	84	INF
10	Jul_26_2016	43.26	44.49	45.23	45.37	45.33	45.43	45.62(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	10	14	91	0.1	50%	0.09	64.4	0.93%	0	1.2	89	INF

11	Jul_25_2016	43.22	44.29	45.16	45.26	45.26	45.31	45.41(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	10	10	102	0.15	50%	0.09	44.3	0.94%	0	1	90	INF
12	Jul_22_2016	43.18	44.14	45.08	45.21	45.18	45.22	45.39(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	0	6	110	0.08	50%	0.07	39.9	0.94%	0	1.1	77	INF
13	Jul_21_2016	43.15	44.07	44.97	45.14	45.14	45.2	45.13(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	10	3	114	0.14	50%	0.12	44.5	0.94%	0	0.9	75	INF
14	Jul_20_2016	43.1	43.98	44.82	45.15	45.13	45.14	45.29(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	37	0	7	127	0.23	50%	0.09	48	0.94%	0	1.2	84	INF
15	Jul_19_2016	43.06	43.88	44.65	45.08	45.12	45.08	45.08(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-0	1	140	0.24	50%	0.12	51.5	0.94%	0	1.1	87	INF

16	Jul_18_2016	43.01	43.8	44.48	45.04	45.09	45.12	45.15(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	10	6	168	0.12	50%	0.12	53.6	0.94%	0	1.3	90	INF
17	Jul_15_2016	42.96	43.68	44.33	44.92	45.02	45.16	45.06(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	30	18	185	0.81	50%	0.12	50.9	0.94%	0	1.4	72	INF
18	Jul_14_2016	42.91	43.58	44.19	44.76	44.86	45.06	45.14(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	40	33	177	0.27	50%	0.12	43.7	0.94%	0	1.7	55	INF
19	Jul_13_2016	42.86	43.46	43.96	44.44	44.59	44.89	44.95(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	60	37	148	0.08	53%	0.14	30.3	0.94%	0	1.7	58	INF
20	Jul_12_2016	42.8	43.35	43.69	44.15	44.24	44.67	44.89(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	70	48	113	0.09	53%	0.12	16.5	0.95%	0	1.9	57	INF

21	Jul_11_2016	42.75	43.26	43.35	43.83	43.84	44.29	44.55(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	47	70	42	60	0.17	53%	0.12	1.2	0.95%	0	1.8	56	INF
22	Jul_8_2016	42.7	43.2	43.13	43.66	43.56	43.81	44.3(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	30	31	33	0.09	53%	0.12	-6.8	0.95%	0	1.7	58	INF
23	Jul_7_2016	42.65	43.17	43.08	43.53	43.46	43.4	43.5(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10	13	31	0.1	47%	0.12	-11.1	0.92%	0	0.5	54	INF
24	Jul_6_2016	42.6	43.2	43.06	43.42	43.41	43.3	43.51(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-20	5	25	0.3	47%	0.09	-13.3	0.94%	0	0.5	54	INF
25	Jul_5_2016	42.56	43.22	43.05	43.16	43.28	43.52	43.29(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	50	30	22	0.08	47%		-21	0.94%	0	0.1	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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