Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $43.3975 (0.85%) ($43.3685 - $43.7357) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $43.3975(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IYT(21%)    QQQ(21%)    IBB(20%)    IVW(20%)    IWF(20%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    GLD(-6%)    GDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $43.44
5 Day Moving Average   $43.05(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.39(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.44(-0.1%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2016	42.06	43.44	43.39	43.05	43.07	43.25	43.4(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	30	37	-66	0.06	41%	0.1	25.7	0.65%	0	-0.1	46	INF
2	Jun_17_2016	42.02	43.4	43.44	43	42.94	43.25	43.03(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10	-10	-87	0.1	37%	0.12	23.4	0.64%	0	-0.8	40	INF
3	Jun_16_2016	41.97	43.37	43.51	43.1	43.01	42.9	42.98(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-20	-31	-76	0.09	37%	0.12	22.4	0.65%	0	-0.7	46	INF
4	Jun_15_2016	41.92	43.35	43.6	43.32	43.21	42.98	42.92(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-40	-39	-44	0.09	37%	0.12	29	0.66%	0	-0.8	45	INF
5	Jun_14_2016	41.87	43.35	43.69	43.56	43.46	43.13	42.9(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-60	-53	-9	0.1	37%	0.12	33.3	0.66%	0	-0.7	51	INF

6	Jun_13_2016	41.82	43.33	43.77	43.79	43.75	43.45	43.17(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-50	-43	43	0.08	37%	0.1	44	0.66%	0	-0.3	66	INF
7	Jun_10_2016	41.78	43.29	43.82	43.93	43.92	43.79	43.54(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-20	-24	86	0.12	48%	0.14	46.6	0.68%	0	0.4	72	INF
8	Jun_9_2016	41.72	43.25	43.81	43.97	43.98	44.05	44.06(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	10	7	125	0.1	52%	0.17	49.3	0.67%	0	1.2	88	INF
9	Jun_8_2016	41.65	43.18	43.74	43.93	43.89	44.04	44.14(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	20	21	147	0.11	47%	0.14	52.1	0.67%	0	1.5	85	INF
10	Jun_7_2016	41.59	43.13	43.63	43.84	43.79	43.9	44.03(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	10	21	150	0.09	47%	0.07	56	0.69%	0	1.6	84	INF

11	Jun_6_2016	41.56	43.06	43.49	43.76	43.7	43.73	43.89(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	0	9	136	0.06	47%	0.14	50.8	0.69%	0	1.5	71	INF
12	Jun_3_2016	41.5	43	43.36	43.7	43.65	43.69	43.71(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	0	8	135	0.25	47%	0.12	47.9	0.69%	0	1.4	74	INF
13	Jun_2_2016	41.45	42.93	43.22	43.63	43.6	43.67	43.86(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	10	15	122	0.6	47%	0.12	38.8	0.7%	0	1.9	66	INF
14	Jun_1_2016	41.4	42.86	43.07	43.52	43.51	43.62	43.74(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	20	18	107	1.12	54%	0.12	23.4	0.7%	0	1.9	63	INF
15	May_31_2016	41.35	42.81	42.93	43.39	43.43	43.54	43.63(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	20	33	84	0.27	47%	0.17	8.3	0.71%	0	2	54	INF

16	May_27_2016	41.28	42.78	42.84	43.16	43.25	43.39	43.58(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	30	26	56	0.05	54%	0.07	-9.3	0.75%	0	2.2	61	INF
17	May_26_2016	41.25	42.75	42.71	42.96	43.03	43.32	43.32(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	50	36	34	0.1	54%	0.07	-32.5	0.75%	0	1.7	58	INF
18	May_25_2016	41.22	42.74	42.64	42.74	42.81	43.11	43.33(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	50	49	22	0.07	54%	0.05	-45.1	0.75%	0	1.5	61	INF
19	May_24_2016	41.2	42.75	42.58	42.55	42.53	42.73	43.09(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	22	30	29	-1	0.13	54%	0.05	-52	0.76%	0	0.8	58	INF
20	May_23_2016	41.18	42.77	42.57	42.41	42.39	42.51	42.48(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	9	-18	0.07	49%	0.02	-59.4	0.74%	0	-0.7	45	INF

21	May_20_2016	41.17	42.82	42.59	42.46	42.38	42.34	42.56(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10	5	-24	0.22	55%	0.02	-56.3	0.78%	0	-0.6	39	INF
22	May_19_2016	41.16	42.86	42.6	42.42	42.41	42.28	42.26(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-20	-18	-43	0.12	55%	0.02	-55.2	0.78%	0	-1.3	41	INF
23	May_18_2016	41.15	42.91	42.63	42.51	42.49	42.43	42.38(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-25	-10	-18	-47	0.28	55%	0	-48.6	0.78%	0	-1.2	38	INF
24	May_17_2016	41.15	42.97	42.64	42.6	42.61	42.55	42.38(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10	-14	-59	0.1	60%	0	-41.2	0.78%	0	-1.3	33	INF
25	May_16_2016	41.15	43.03	42.69	42.76	42.72	42.56	42.73(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-30	-9	-53	0.1	66%		-23	0.81%	0	-0.7	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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